Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register

05-23-2009 , 03:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sevenfold
And I'm curious as well.

Since we always bet the Rangers, regardless of who's pitching or playing, why research at all?
looooooool...good point
Quote
05-23-2009 , 01:16 PM
Updated YTD: 9-27, -0.70 units, 40 units wagered, -1.8% ROI

I am feeling sad today after another disappointing loss. The Rangers were up 5-0 going into the bottom of the 6th and then they gave it away. After a brief reign of success, the Texas Rangers 2½ System is negative again. To help brighten the mood, let's relive a classic Silver Boot moment.

July 4, 2005.

In one game, the Rangers hit a club record 8 home runs. That includes two epic Grand Slams by Mark Teixeira and Hank Blalock, making them the first Rangers to hit grand slams in the same game.

Saturday (1 Play)
1 Unit on Texas Rangers -2½ +200 (Greek)
Quote
05-24-2009 , 01:41 PM
Updated YTD: 10-27, +1.30 units, 41 units wagered, +3.2% ROI

Early games cut into my research time so I'm going to have to make this a quick update. The good news is that Michael Young and Ian Kinsler are both back in the line-up after missing yesterday.

I am really looking forward to tomorrow's game against the Yankees. The Rangers are back home and it's going to be sold out. That means over 45,000 Rangers fans in attendance.

Sunday (1 Play)
1 Unit on Texas Rangers -2½ +210 (Greek)
Quote
05-24-2009 , 02:29 PM
what are you researching? You bet 1u on the same **** every game!
Quote
05-24-2009 , 04:51 PM
LOL

anyway it was a winner today...ship it
Quote
05-24-2009 , 08:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TomG
I am really looking forward to tomorrow's game against the Yankees. The Rangers are back home and it's going to be sold out. That means over 45,000 Rangers fans in attendance.
More importantly, you've got a Yankee pitcher that can be knocked around.

Hughes is starting, and after a great debut against Det. early in the year, he hasn't had a quality start since.

In his last four starts:
4 IP, 7 H, 3 ER
1.2 IP, 8 H, 8 ER
5 IP, 6H, 3 ER
5 IP, 6H 3 ER (though he had nine! Ks in this game, his last start).

Hitters are feasting on him at a .326 clip so far this season.

Plus, in every single start this year, he has gotten more fly ball outs than ground ball outs. In the five game started this year: (6 GB, 8FB/3&13/6&7/7&11/5&6).

Since your strategy involves winning those game the Rangers go deep, hopefully with men on, this is exactly the type of pitcher you want, one that has the ball in the air a lot.

And if Hughes gets in trouble early, we get into the Yankee bullpen. Theoretically, if they are a couple three runs down, they will need a semi-long man, and they won't bring in their best trailing. Of the Yankee top relivers in innings pitched:

Take your pick: (Rivera has 2nd most reliever innings, clearly not to be considered here)

Albaladejo 21 IP, 24H, 16 R, 14 ER, 6.00 ERA
Coke 19.1 IP, 15H, 12 R, 9 ER, 4.19 ERA
Veras 19.1 IP, 15H, 12 R, 12 ER, 5.59 ERA
Ramirez 17.1 IP, 18H, 11R, 10ER, 5.19 ERA


My point here, and others as well, is that if you continue betting every single game one unit, you will have a hard time staying ahead of the game.

Finding a play that has value, like against Contreras, and here, against a hot Yankee team where you should get a decent price, is how you will stay in the black.



Good luck. Go Texas!

7
Quote
05-24-2009 , 10:48 PM
Errata

Should read as in 2nd quote. Theory is the same.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Sevenfold
Plus, in every single start this year, he has gotten more fly ball outs than ground ball outs. In the five game started this year: (6 GB, 8FB/3&13/6&7/7&11/5&6).

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sevenfold
Plus, in every single start this year, he has gotten more fly balls than ground balls. In the five game started this year: (6 GB, 8FB/3&13/6&7/7&11/5&6).
Quote
05-25-2009 , 06:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TomG
I am really looking forward to tomorrow's game against the Yankees. The Rangers are back home and it's going to be sold out. That means over 45,000 fans in attendance.
FYP
Quote
05-25-2009 , 01:06 PM
Updated YTD: 11-27, +3.40 units, 42 units wagered, +8.1% ROI

Today's game was a difficult decision. Usually when the run total creeps over 11.0, I like to lay the 2½ on both teams. Not today. I can't do it. The Rangers are hot right now and I don't want to go against that. So we're taking the unit we would have put on the Yankees and are rolling it over onto the Rangers.

Monday (1 Play)
2 Unit on Texas Rangers -2½ +240 (Greek)

Now I know this is the Texas Rangers 2½ System--we bet the Rangers to win by 3 or more runs. But no one is more familiar with Texas Rangers Home-Runs than the Texas Rangers 2½ System. Well, recently I found a way to take advantage of our knowledge. Today we're adding another bet.

Rangers/Yankees Total Home Runs Over 2½ -140 (BetPhoenix)
Risking 1.4 units to win 1 unit

Although I didn't intend it this way, we have all of our profits in play today. It's double-or-nothing today folks!
Quote
05-25-2009 , 01:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TomG

Rangers/Yankees Total Home Runs Over 2½ -140 (BetPhoenix)
Risking 1.4 units to win 1 unit
Wouldn't you rather (or also) bet Texas team runs O5.5 at -105?
Quote
05-25-2009 , 02:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MacauBungee
Wouldn't you rather (or also) bet Texas team runs O5.5 at -105?
I do like that Rangers Team Total Over. The only thing I don't like is that when they go over the 5.5, it becomes likely they will win by 3 or more. But you have to lay odds on the Team Total whereas we take odds on the -2½. In general like the Rangers Team Total Over best when it creeps down around 3.5 or 4.0 as that is a very safe bet (it hasn't gotten that low in a while).
Quote
05-25-2009 , 02:52 PM
I guess only exception to this would be playing the red hot Yankees who are about to score 15 runs in the first half alone.
Quote
05-25-2009 , 04:02 PM
10-0 No HRs... Ridic...
Quote
05-25-2009 , 04:44 PM
Updated YTD: 11-29, +0.00 units, 45.4 units wagered, +0.0% ROI

It is unbelievable that a team can score that many runs without hitting any homers.
Quote
05-25-2009 , 04:46 PM
I don't follow baseball closely, but ... what the F was that. Equivalent of Rockets beating Lakers in game 3, I guess. Or Magic beating Cavaliers in series (TBA).

I'm looking forward to the release of a Texas Rangers +9.5 system. It should be flawless. Save 1-2 games a season.
Quote
05-25-2009 , 04:53 PM
Well folks, after 45.4 units wagered we're exactly where we started over 5 weeks ago. I've been thinking about taking a little break and now seems like a good time. It seems a shame to just end it all, so I'm accepting applicants for someone to take over the reigns for a little bit. You will be responsible for the daily updates and analysis. I expect you to get the best price on the Rangers -2½. There is some room for personal discretion regarding bet sizing. It's also okay to sometimes bet the opposing team -2½ as long as it's also combined with the Rangers -2½. Contact me via PM or post in the thread.
Quote
05-25-2009 , 05:26 PM
Legendary end to a legendary system.
Quote
05-25-2009 , 05:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MacauBungee
I guess only exception to this would be waiting till the Yankees are up 6-0 in the 3rd inning, then advocating a play on the red hot Yankees who are about to score 15 runs in the first half alone.
FYP
Quote
05-25-2009 , 05:38 PM
Keep your head up TomG.

Gambling is a cruel game that is much like life, full of ups and downs, good times and bad. Losing is tough but the sweet aint as sweet without the sour. During the tough times I try to think about what matters most in life, things like family. If that doesn't make you feel something then don't rule out a little substance abuse.
Quote
05-25-2009 , 05:55 PM
LOL we have to PM you for the rights to this system? Or will you give us info on how to research every game to bet the same damn 1u per game?

Anyway it was a good run while it lasted. You're smart to get out now IMO, this system was a disaster waiting to happen. I admire you though for trying to stir up something new.

I wonder who's gonna keep bumping this thread...lol
Quote
05-25-2009 , 06:48 PM
I can't blame you for wanting to take a break TomG, there's way too much research that goes into a system like this. The low point for you had to be spending hours scouring the interwebs for any news on Josh Hamilton's groin.
Quote
05-25-2009 , 06:49 PM
Bump.
Quote
05-25-2009 , 07:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Vincepcion
You're smart to get out now IMO
I begged him to get out about 15 pages ago when he first got back into the black and was greeted with a few GTFO's..

With how much he talks, it's truly remarkable how little intuition or skill OP has.

Oh, and bump.
Quote
05-25-2009 , 08:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fusilli Jerry
I begged him to get out about 15 pages ago when he first got back into the black and was greeted with a few GTFO's..

With how much he talks, it's truly remarkable how little intuition or skill OP has.

Oh, and bump.
LOL 15 pages...and....

GTFO
Quote
05-25-2009 , 10:25 PM
I went for a hike alone in the woods today. I do that sometimes when I need to get away and think about things. My time alone made me realize how foolish I was today. I got greedy, folks. I wasn't happy with my YTD of +3.4 units and 8.1% ROI that I had earned grinding away the last 5 weeks. Every other time when the run total was 11.0 or higher I would lay the 2½ on both sides. I didn't do that today because I was greedy and I wanted the big score on the Rangers. I also forgot that this is the "Texas Rangers 2½ System" and not some donkish home-run prop system. If I had more discipline I would be looking at +1.0 unit or so day today. Instead I paid the price and got wiped out. Story of my life.

My goal one day is to become a professional sports bettor. I know that I'm not there yet and that I need more discipline and patience. To cleanse the past and help me move onward psychological, I'm going to use a little trick that I learned from an actual professional gambler...

Updated YTD: 11-29, +0.00 units, 45.4 units wagered, +0.0% ROI

Updated YTD: 0-0, +0.00 units, 0.0 units wagered, +0.0% ROI

Rangers are a dog tomorrow with Millwood on the mound. Back tomorrow.
Quote

      
m