ya srsly what bad luck, especially that one you won in extra innings. Also can you believe all these 1 and 2 run games in baseball ? what an unprecedented year with all these statistical anomalies.

edit: Also lol at the Rangers on pace for ~25 more wins than the preseason projections had them at, yet being down $ at this.

gtfo

Remember folks, this isn't the "Texas Rangers ML System." I've said from the start that the Rangers don't need to be a 0.500 ball club for us to profit. If anything, the Rangers having the 2nd best record in the American League has HURT the system by lowering the payout when laying 2.5 runs. We don't care about wins/losses. We aren't trying to WIN a lot of games. When we win, we just want it to be by 3 or more runs. So the Rangers have won 6 in a row and 8 of their last 10. That's great. Go Rangers. But for a team that consistently ranks in the top of the AL in runs scored/HRs/Slugging%/RBIs, their number of blowout wins is way too low.

Did you know the Rangers lead major-league baseball in HRs? Okay. But did you also know that the Rangers lead baseball in the number of solo HRs? Okay. That stat might not be too surprising since they hit so many HRs. But did you also know that they are only ranked 10th in baseball in Grand Slams, and 8th in baseball in HRs with runners in scoring position (RISP)? Okay. I know HRs (especially Grand Slams) are a smaller sample. Variance, whatever. Fine. Then look at their situational RBIs with RISP. They are ranked 2nd in baseball in runs scored but middle of the pack in RBIs with RISP. Do you see what I'm saying now, folks? Remember, runs in major-league baseball aren't scored independently of each other. Right now the Rangers aren't "bundling" their runs scored as expected. Why not? Because we're running bad.

Up 3-0 in the 9th. HOLD THE LINE!

Edit: WINNAR!!!

31 bets and up .35 units.

Ship it, folks.

lololol the rangers are playing out of their mind and so many deviations ahead of their projections, yet you're running bad. The Rangers could average 6 HRs a game and you'd still be complaining that there was never anyone on base. Yea you don't need them to be a .500 team because theyre at .611.

GTFO

DCJ311 sounds like the least fun person to be around ever.

Mother, please make it stop.

All I know is the Money Train has arrived, and we just hit triple cherries on the payout line.

Seriously....GTFO

DCJ311 just bitter cause he don't know how to make money sports betting. And he smells funny. And, oh yeah, I had sex with his mom.

Updated YTD: 8-23, +0.35 units, 35 units wagered, +1.0% ROI

The Ranger Nation is taking the day off today. We'll be back tomorrow for the series against the Tigers.

Dude, his mom's in a coma.

TomG, you may want to consider strategy of betting both 2.5 run lines for the tigers series. these 2 teams have crushed each other's pitching over the past 2 years

lolz yup all the guys who got rich off sports in the late 90's/early 2000's bet alternate run lines. it's great because even if the rangers go .500 or worse you still have a chance to win! oh good news, they're .600+ so you guys must be up a boatload. move over correlated parlays and rogue 2nd half bets, there's a new sheriff in town.

Ironing.

That's all well and good, but in no way addresses your unpleasant odor problem. Your mother is getting very concerned, and begged me to speak to you about it.

Folks, let's keep it civil here. I welcome DCJ's and others constructive criticism (although notice he only attacks the W/L when I said all along this isn't the "Texas Rangers ML System"). That's why I made this system public instead of keeping it a secret. That way we all can learn from each other and improve our betting strategies. Remember we're all on the same team here--it's us against the bookies.

I am bringing up the W/L because I think the Rangers have won more games than they should, and they are more likely to revert back to playing <.500 ball than to continue at a .600 clip. Obviously you're not just looking to 'win games' but it does help when your team is over performing in the W/L column.

Your argument about running bad in run bunching is probably sound, and the only way I see this theory being profitable is with a team that hits for a lot of power and has a high variance style of play where they're hitting a lot of big HRs and not doing much else all the other times. The Rangers are obviously the team to go with for that, but I am skeptical if it is enough to beat the inherent disadvantage you are paying for when you sell off the extra 2.5 runs.

The biggest problem with the rangers -2.5 system is that the team is below average at getting on base. The reason why the rangers hit solo homers isnt because they are running bad, its because most of the guys do not draw enough walks to be on base ahead of the homers. michael young and ian kinslers are 385 and 396 in obp. The rest of the starters have obp average of around 300. Andruw Jones has current obp of 439, but if he ends up with 300 PAs it will be below 370.

As the ESPN pundits debate the Rangers Home-Run blasts, here's a Rangers stat you don't hear too much...

Two weeks into the season, the Rangers were last in the American League in fielding percentage. They came into Sunday’s game third in the AL. The Rangers have the best fielding percentage in the AL in May, something manager Ron Washington takes plenty of pride in.

Of course, fielding is not the reason we like to lay 2.5 runs on our Rangers every night, but it's a nice little bonus. Unfortunately, those of you who saw Hamilton's outstanding catch on Sunday know that it comes at a heavy cost. It's looking likely that Josh Hamilton will have to sit today while he rests a groin injury. Get well soon, Josh!

Today's game with the Tigers is going to be a wild one. The total is expected to go over 11. When the game total gets that high, I like laying the 2.5 on both sides because there's a good chance a team is going to win by 3 or more runs. And with the ML so close, it could be either team tonight!

Tuesday (2 Plays)
1 Unit on Texas Rangers -2½ +195 (Greek)
1 Unit on Detroit Tigers -2½ +295 (5Dimes)

Come on, man.

So conflicted. Want to support the awesomeness of this thread, but it becomes more difficult when I read stuff like Tom's last paragraph.