Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > >

Notices

Sports Betting Discussions related to wagering on sporting events.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 08-13-2009, 01:15 PM   #126
noledges
grinder
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 602
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Quote:
Originally Posted by HappyGuy View Post
Crazy 1.80 odds on Venus in-play at betfair just 3-4 down in the first set

Live stream here http://atdhe.net/7919/watch-wta-cincinnati
Thanks for the live link! Ouch on 1st set.
noledges is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-13-2009, 01:17 PM   #127
HappyGuy
banned
 
HappyGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,111
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Quote:
Originally Posted by noledges View Post
Thanks for the live link! Ouch on 1st set.
Venus looks like she never held a racket in her hands , unreal amount of unforced errors .
HappyGuy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-13-2009, 03:31 PM   #128
sickofants
old hand
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,802
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Quote:
Originally Posted by HappyGuy View Post
13 August
Rogers Cup R16

Start time :10:05 AM PST

Andy Murray vs Juan Carlos Ferrero


My pick is OVER 20.5 GAMES

Odds : 1.75

Where : expekt


7 units to win 5.25 units
I got burned here too.

It's my own fault, should have payed more attention to recent Head-to-Heads which suggested a comfortable Murray win. Given Ferrero's form, it just seemed too tempting to say it's going to be close - but that's what I thought the last time they met... and the time before that too.
sickofants is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-13-2009, 05:05 PM   #129
HappyGuy
banned
 
HappyGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,111
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

1.23 on Safina is laughable , auto lay for in-play trading , should trade way higher during the match , wouldn't be surprised if Peng won today .
HappyGuy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-13-2009, 05:10 PM   #130
HappyGuy
banned
 
HappyGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,111
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Safina started at 1.13 in her first round match against Vinci and traded as high as 8.00 I believe being 2-6 0-3 two breaks down . Vinci got too nervous and blew it all . Last week Safina has lost to Zheng and I think Peng has all the tools to keep it close against not fit and injured Safina .
HappyGuy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-13-2009, 05:25 PM   #131
HappyGuy
banned
 
HappyGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,111
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Stream

http://atdhe.net/7920/watch-wta-cinc...iams-vs-bammer

+ 120 on Bammer after 7-5 first set , Serena was horrible in the first set , to me it looks like she doesn't care about this match .
HappyGuy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-19-2009, 10:40 AM   #132
HappyGuy
banned
 
HappyGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,111
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Posted Record : 26-13 +30.92 units


Just woke up , matches will start in around 30 minutes .

19 August

Wager Type : ATP fav ML

Western & Southern Masters R2

Start time :08:05 AM PST

Paul-Henri Mathieu vs Ivo Karlovic

My pick is Ivo Karlovic to win

Odds : - 182


Where : 5dimes

9.1 units to win 5 units



19 August

Wager Type : ATP Games Handicap

Western & Southern Masters R2

Start time :08:05 AM PST

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga vs Chris Guccione

My pick is Chris Guccione +4.5 GAMES

Odds : 1.70


Where : unibet

10 units to win 7 units




19 August

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

Western & Southern Masters R2

Start time :08:05 AM PST

Ivan Ljubicic vs Novak Djokovic

My pick is OVER 9.5 GAMES FIRST SET

Odds : 1.68

Where : unibet

5 units to win 3.4 units
HappyGuy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-19-2009, 01:34 PM   #133
HappyGuy
banned
 
HappyGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,111
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

19 August

Wager Type : ATP Games Handicap

Western & Southern Masters R2

Start time :11:30 AM PST

Andy Murray vs Nicolas Almagro


My pick is Nicolas Almagro +5.5 GAMES

Odds : 1.86

Where : unibet

7.5 units to win 6.45 units



19 August

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

Western & Southern Masters R2

Start time :11:30 AM PST

Jeremy Chardy vs John Isner


My pick is OVER 9.5 GAMES FIRST SET

Odds : 1.46

Where : unibet

5 units to win 2.3 units





19 August

Wager Type : ATP Games Handicap

Western & Southern Masters R2

Start time :12:30 AM PST

Rafael Nadal vs Andreas Seppi


My pick is Andreas Seppi +5.5 GAMES

Odds : 1.80

Where : unibet

10 units to win 8 units
HappyGuy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-19-2009, 06:54 PM   #134
dangerfish
old hand
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Daily Action plan headquarters
Posts: 1,971
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Nicely done today. Good run.
dangerfish is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-20-2009, 12:51 PM   #135
HappyGuy
banned
 
HappyGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,111
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Thanks , can't believe I've trusted this dodgy croatian once again after losing with him against Haas ...



Not a single breakpoint for Mathieu until this game , only 9 return points won and then Karlovic loses 4 points in a row from 40-15 ... never again ...

BLACKLISTED :

Ivo Karlovic



Yesterday : 5-1 +18.05 units

Posted Record : 31-14 +48.97 units


First set over 9.5 games have worked well lately , tried a parlay yesterday , all 5 sets have ended in tiebreaks ( 13 games )




20 August

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

Western & Southern Masters R16

Start time :04:05 PM PST

Chris Guccione vs Tomas Berdych

My pick is OVER 9.5 GAMES FIRST SET

Odds : 1.50

Where : paddypower

6 units to win 3 units


Horrible card to bet on today , don't really like anything but this one play .
HappyGuy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-25-2009, 12:42 PM   #136
aapocketaa
journeyman
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 301
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

any new plays happyguy? didnt want your thread to slip too far, you are doing very well!
aapocketaa is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-28-2009, 12:15 PM   #137
dangerfish
old hand
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Daily Action plan headquarters
Posts: 1,971
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Should be an exciting week for Tennis w/ the Open starting Monday. Looking forward to it.
dangerfish is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-28-2009, 06:42 PM   #138
Sportsfan800
centurion
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 143
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

HappyGuy,

I'm thinking about betting on Andy Murray to win the U.S. Open. He is a little bit over three to one to win the Open. Do you think he has a good chance to win? If you throw out Federer, who do you like. I don't think Federer is going to win the U.S. Open this year.

Last edited by Sportsfan800; 08-28-2009 at 06:47 PM.
Sportsfan800 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-28-2009, 07:15 PM   #139
HappyGuy
banned
 
HappyGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,111
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Quote:
Originally Posted by aapocketaa View Post
any new plays happyguy? didnt want your thread to slip too far, you are doing very well!
I don't like to bet on those small tournaments one week before Grand Slams , too many retirements or people just take it easy after losing the first set .


Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportsfan800 View Post
HappyGuy,

I'm thinking about betting on Andy Murray to win the U.S. Open. He is a little bit over three to one to win the Open. Do you think he has a good chance to win? If you throw out Federer, who do you like. I don't think Federer is going to win the U.S. Open this year.
I will be trading on betfair outright market , so far I am on Roddick 17.5 , Djokovic 17 and Del Potro 15 . Murray has very legit chance to win this year or atleast make it to the finals where you can hedge if he plays Federer .
Very long shots worth few bucks are Querrey 400 , Haas 260 and Tsonga 80 , they wont win but if one of them makes it deep you can lay off for some profit .
HappyGuy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-30-2009, 07:30 PM   #140
aapocketaa
journeyman
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 301
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Happy wake up from your tennis picking slumber.....any early round matches you like in the US Open ???? About 15 hours til the first serve is hit
aapocketaa is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-31-2009, 01:56 AM   #141
HappyGuy
banned
 
HappyGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,111
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Posted Record : 32-14 +51.97 units


31 August

Wager Type : WTA fav ML

US Open 2009 R1

Start time :8:15 AM PST

Mariya Koryttseva vs Maria Kirilenko

My pick is Maria Kirilenko to win

Odds : - 213

Where : pinnaclesports

10.65 units to win 5 units

Koryttseva's serve is useless , every time I've seen her play it was impossible to spot the difference between her first and 2nd serve . Her hardcourt record is 28-43 , most of the time spent playing challenger clay tournaments . Kirilenko's record on those courts is 124-84 , she can play on clay as well but her first serve is good weapon on fast courts . I see they've played 2 years on indoor hard and Kirilenko won 6-0 6-2 , had 13 breakpoints on a fast indoor court compared to just 2 breakpoints for her opponent .
In general I think it's really Kirilenko's match to lose , Koryttseva has no business beating anybody worth anything on hardcourts .


Last edited by HappyGuy; 08-31-2009 at 02:06 AM.
HappyGuy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-31-2009, 09:54 AM   #142
finnianp
adept
 
finnianp's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 765
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Any others? Bored and wanna bet small on a load of games.
finnianp is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-31-2009, 04:44 PM   #143
HappyGuy
banned
 
HappyGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,111
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Didn't have a lot of time to handicap the matches today so only this one bet , also have some parlays pending with a lot of heavy favorites .



Dominated

Posted Record : 33-14 +56.97 units


1 September

Wager Type : ATP fav ML

US Open 2009 R1

Start time :unknown

Steve Darcis vs Nicolas Almagro

My pick is Nicolas Almagro to win

Odds : 1.363

Where : sportingbet

10 units to win 3.63 units


Early one for tomorrow , to me 1.25/-400 would be very fair odds here considered Darcis's horrible form and general game on hardcourts . Darcis's all time record on hardcourts is 13-22 and 2-8 in his last 10 , one of those wins was 0-5 player's retirement in the first set .
Almagro is 26-32 on hardcourts and 4-6 in his last 10 . Last year he almost made it to 4th round at US Open , blowing 2-0 sets lead to Gilles Muller .

Neither player is in great on hardcourts but nothing really speaks for Darcis here : very bad form , bad record on those courts , Almagro has very big first serve to gain more cheap points , both are clay court players with the difference that Almagro spends his time playing ATP Level tournaments while Darcis didn't have any success there in forever and had to drop to challengers .
HappyGuy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-01-2009, 12:58 AM   #144
HappyGuy
banned
 
HappyGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,111
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

1 September

Wager Type : WTA fav ML

US Open 2009 R1

Start time :08:15 AM PST

Alla Kudryavtseva vs Alona Bondarenko

My pick is Alona Bondarenko to win

Odds : 1.3

Where : unibet

10 units to win 3 units


H2H 2-0 for Bondarenko , both matches on hardcourt 4-0 sets total , last match just 2 weeks ago in Toronto a 6-3 6-0 win for Alona Bondarenko . Alona was broken just once compared to 6 times she has broken her opponent and managed to get 13 breakpoints .
This reminds me of Kirilenko match I was betting on yesterday with only difference that player from Ukraine will beat the russian this time .
Alla K. has pathetic serve , her 2nd serve is one of the worst on tour .
Maybe not as easy as two weeks ago but Bondarenko has to win this one .
HappyGuy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-01-2009, 07:48 AM   #145
HappyGuy
banned
 
HappyGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,111
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

1 September

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

US Open 2009 R1

Start time :12:00 PM PST

Josselin Ouanna vs Rajeev Ram

My pick is OVER 39 GAMES

Odds : - 109 and - 119

Where : pinnaclesports

5.7 units to win 7 units


No way this one ends in 3 sets . I count on atleast one tiebreak which would leave us with 26 games rest , in a 4 set match it would be almost a guarantee win : 7-6 ( 13 games ) + if this is a 4 set match atleast 3x6 games ( atleast 18 games ) makes 31 games total and loser of the match would have to win 8 games in 3 sets , eg 3-6 3-6 2-6 . I thought this one would be set in 42-43 total games range .
HappyGuy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-01-2009, 10:56 AM   #146
chucky
Pooh-Bah
 
chucky's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Best time Evar
Posts: 4,998
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Quote:
Originally Posted by HappyGuy View Post
1 September

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

US Open 2009 R1

Start time :12:00 PM PST

Josselin Ouanna vs Rajeev Ram

My pick is OVER 39 GAMES

Odds : - 109 and - 119

Where : pinnaclesports

5.7 units to win 7 units
.
do you mean +109 and 119?
chucky is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-01-2009, 12:21 PM   #147
HappyGuy
banned
 
HappyGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,111
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

ooops , my bad , typo : 5.7u to win 5u
HappyGuy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-01-2009, 01:30 PM   #148
HappyGuy
banned
 
HappyGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,111
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays



What a struggle ... 2 weeks ago 12 : 3 games and now this ? Atleast she didn't give up after the first set .

1 September

Wager Type : ATP fav ML

US Open 2009 R1

Start time :12:30 PM PST

Victor Crivoi vs Paul Capdeville


My pick is Paul Capdeville to win

Odds : 1.32

Where : expekt

10 units to win 3.2 units


Capdeville is 92-57 lifetime on hardcourts vs 0-7 of Crivoi !!! You could say Crivoi had tough draws and thats why he is 0-7 but it's not the case : last week he has lost 2:6 1:6 to 555th ranked player ! Also his previous losses have been against mediocre players .
Paul is not is not the greatest but he is capable player on hardcourts unlike Crivoi who has one of the weakest serves on the tour togethers with likes of Volandri and Rochus .
I remember watching Capdeville's match against Federer here at the US Open 2007 and he did very well considered he was playing against one of the greatest players of all time , lost two sets with 4-6 score , no shame .
Also Capdeville has won a challenger tournament on hardcourt 3 weeks ago , clearly form speaks for him and overall experience on hardcourts . I don't like Crivoi's chances to win his first match on hardcourts in 8th try , especially after seeing him lose to 555th ranked player last week with 2-6 1-6 score .
HappyGuy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-01-2009, 07:14 PM   #149
soonkwon
grinder
 
soonkwon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 620
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

keep it up, happy guy, i enjoy reading your posts
soonkwon is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-01-2009, 10:06 PM   #150
HappyGuy
banned
 
HappyGuy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,111
Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays



Today : 3-0 +11.2 units

Posted Record : 36-14 +68.17 units

Quote:
Originally Posted by HappyGuy View Post

1 September

Wager Type : ATP fav ML

US Open 2009 R1

Start time :unknown

Steve Darcis vs Nicolas Almagro

My pick is Nicolas Almagro to win

Odds : 1.363

Where : sportingbet

10 units to win 3.63 units


Early one for tomorrow , to me 1.25/-400 would be very fair odds here considered Darcis's horrible form and general game on hardcourts . Darcis's all time record on hardcourts is 13-22 and 2-8 in his last 10 , one of those wins was 0-5 player's retirement in the first set .
Almagro is 26-32 on hardcourts and 4-6 in his last 10 . Last year he almost made it to 4th round at US Open , blowing 2-0 sets lead to Gilles Muller .

Neither player is in great on hardcourts but nothing really speaks for Darcis here : very bad form , bad record on those courts , Almagro has very big first serve to gain more cheap points , both are clay court players with the difference that Almagro spends his time playing ATP Level tournaments while Darcis didn't have any success there in forever and had to drop to challengers .
Match will be played tomorrow at 10:30 AM PST .
HappyGuy is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 06:22 PM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © 2008-2010, Two Plus Two Interactive
 
 
Poker Players - Streaming Live Online