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Old 08-10-2009, 01:35 PM   #101
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Dancevic looks like a very live dog at + 120 against Simon tonight in around 7 hours .
Not only is Simon in very bad form this year but he also hasn't played official hardcourt matches in around 6 monthes . I still have 2007 tournament in my mind when I've watched Dancevic take out Del Potro , Verdasco and taking the first set against Rafael Nadal .
Also Monfils hasn't played in 2 monthes coming in here from an injury against Safin who is + 130 underdog . They've met in Miami in march where Safin was 2 breaks up in the deciding set and managed to lose 6-7 in tiebreak . Wouldn't be surprised if Safin has won this , he defeated Ginepri and Gulbis last week before going out against very game Haas . Monfils's form is unknown but usually players struggle in their first matches coming in from an injury .

Definitely looks like atleast one of them should win , maybe even both .
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Old 08-10-2009, 01:47 PM   #102
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

How many units do you reckon it's fair? I am hesitant on Safin as he has consistently underperformed, through the years, he has always struggled in 1st round matches, but i'll take the underdog odds.

Last edited by calvinyeo; 08-10-2009 at 01:47 PM. Reason: edit
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Old 08-10-2009, 01:59 PM   #103
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

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Originally Posted by calvinyeo View Post
How many units do you reckon it's fair? I am hesitant on Safin as he has consistently underperformed, through the years, he has always struggled in 1st round matches, but i'll take the underdog odds.
Dancevic definitely looks like the better play but the way I see it either of them can win given the circumstances : both Simon and Monfils haven't played on hardcourts in ages and they are people who will easily fold if things don't go their way , especially this season . I will start with both at betfair to do some trading during the match . Bet what you think is fair for you , I would not suggest to bet a lot on plays that are tailed .
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Old 08-10-2009, 04:00 PM   #104
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Rain delay in both tournaments ...
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Old 08-11-2009, 12:40 AM   #105
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

On Berdych to Beat Kohlshrieber. If you look at the German's form lately and the fact that Berdych is 4-0 lifetime vs him I think this bet has merit at 1.70.
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Old 08-11-2009, 08:42 AM   #106
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

I've seen both of Kohlschreiber's recent losses on clay and he was not interested at all , it almost seemed like he just showed up for a paycheck . Don't know whats wrong with this guy. Berdych can be solid but can be a total nightmare to bet on , he is definitely on my black listen with likes of Youzhny or Mathieu . I will have a look at this one but could get close .

Was able to trade out some profit from Safin match as not only did he get up to 8.00 + odds in play after losing the first set be he has got as low as 1.35 after easily winning the 2nd set and then being 2-0 up in the deciding set .
Dancevic got killed , loss here . Not sure what was going on , after the rain delay courts seemed to have slown down a lot and Simon was able to break Dancevic easily bunch of times .

Both underdogs lost but one got very close if not the collapse in 3rd set again . This is why the best way to bet on underdogs is via live betting if possible .
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Old 08-11-2009, 09:25 AM   #107
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

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I've seen both of Kohlschreiber's recent losses on clay and he was not interested at all , it almost seemed like he just showed up for a paycheck . Don't know whats wrong with this guy. Berdych can be solid but can be a total nightmare to bet on , he is definitely on my BLACK LIST with likes of Youzhny or Mathieu . I will have a look at this one but could get close .
fixed
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Old 08-11-2009, 09:59 AM   #108
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Posted Record : 18-6 +54.31 units

11 August

Wager Type : WTA Total Games

WTA Western & Southern Women's Open R2

Start time :11:00 AM PST ( in around 4 hours )

Lucie Safarova vs Svetlana Kuznetsova

My pick is OVER 19.5 GAMES

Odds : - 115 and - 119

Where : 5dimes and pinnaclesports

5.85 units to win 5 units


Kuznetsova hasn't played in around 50 days and this will be her first match on hardcourt in 6 monthes . Safarova can take a set here , possible the first one as Svetlana is known for starting very slow especially when she did not have the match practice in a while .
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Old 08-11-2009, 11:48 AM   #109
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

11 August

Wager Type : WTA Games Handicap

WTA Western & Southern Women's Open R1

Start time :09:30 AM PST ( in around 1 hour )

Sorana Cirstea vs Meghann Shaughnessy

My pick is Meghann Shaughnessy + 6 GAMES

Odds : + 101

Where : pinnaclesports

5 units to win 5.05 units
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Old 08-11-2009, 12:01 PM   #110
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

11 August

Wager Type : ATP Games Handicap

Rogers Cup R1

Start time :09:30 AM PST ( in around 30 minutes )

John Isner vs Jesse Levine

My pick is Jesse Levine + 3 GAMES

Odds : - 111

Where : pinnaclesports

5.55 units to win 5 units
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Old 08-11-2009, 12:24 PM   #111
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

11 August

Wager Type : ATP Underdog ML

Rogers Cup R1

Start time :11:00 AM PST ( in around 90 minutes )

Tommy Haas vs Ivo Karlovic

My pick is Ivo Karlovic to win

Odds : + 107 and + 102

Where : pinnaclesports

10 units to win 10.45 units


Big value play , I am not impressed with Haas on hardcourts so far and he is known to go mental against big servers .
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Old 08-12-2009, 07:55 AM   #112
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Easy cover for Meghann .
Safarova managed to come back from 2-5 down in the 2nd set and in the end easy over total games.
Levine is on my black list after this match against Isner , loss.
Karlovic was just pathetic , won the first set 4-6 , had 3 breakpoints in the 2nd and wasted them all , not a single first serve in the tiebreak and he lost the 2nd set 6-7 . Not a single breakpoint faced in the first two sets and he gets broken right away in the 3rd set on first bp faced at 30-40 , final set 6-4 for Haas ...

Posted Record : 20-8 +48.81 units

Time to get up to 60 units today .

12 August

Wager Type : ATP fav ML

Rogers Cup R2

Start time :08:05 AM PST ( in around 3 hours )

Leonardo Mayer vs Fernando Verdasco

My pick is Fernando Verdasco to win

Odds : - 370

Where : bookmaker ( MATCHUPS MUST BE FULLY COMPLETED FOR ACTION )

11.1 units to win 3 units




First round stats :

I've noticed Verdasco had 8 DFs , it was his first match in a while so I am not really surprised . Other than that his stats are very solid , Lopez was tougher opponent for Verdasco than Zverev for Mayer . If we skip that close 7-6 second set win for Lopez Verdasco really dominated his friend winning both first and third set 6-1 .
Mayer's serve isn't bigger than Verdasco's and he will struggle once in the rally against superior skilled player . I believe Verdasco wins this 9 out of 10 times against Mayer on any surface .
Good way to reduce the juice is to parlay him with Gilles Simon against Falla who is - 370 as well .
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Old 08-12-2009, 09:14 AM   #113
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays


12 August


Wager Type : ATP fav ML

Rogers Cup R2

Start time :08:05 AM PST ( in around 2 hours )

Mikhail Youzhny vs John Isner


My pick is John Isner to win

Odds : - 133

Where : pinnaclesports

13.3 units to win 10 units


People hope for a letdown here but in my opinion Youzhny's mental state is so bad that he will not be able to take advantage of any possible situation . If Isner serves semi-solid Youzhny will go crazy like he always does and make a lot of unforced errors . I've watched Youzhny's match yesterday against Cilic and it was plain horrible quality from both , Cilic absolutely gave away the deciding set .
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Old 08-12-2009, 01:25 PM   #114
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Isner absolutely cooked after winning the first set , no live pics but I guess he is half dead .
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Old 08-12-2009, 02:03 PM   #115
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

12 August

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

Rogers Cup R2

Start time :11:30 AM PST

Igor Andreev vs Andy Roddick

My pick is OVER 21 GAMES

Odds : + 107

Where : pinnaclesports

10 units to win 10.7 units



12 August

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

Rogers Cup R2

Start time :4:05 PM PST

Tommy Haas vs Fernando Gonzalez

My pick is OVER 23 GAMES

Odds : - 115

Where : pinnaclesports

5.75 units to win 5 units

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Old 08-12-2009, 02:07 PM   #116
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Also LAY Ivanovic at 1.32 for trading at betfair cant be a bad bet considering she can lose to pretty much anybody these days and Czink can play tennis .
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Old 08-12-2009, 05:57 PM   #117
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Azz raped today .

Andreev just tanks the first set for fun 1-6 and 2nd set he easily holds every single time but loses 6-7 in tiebreak for combined 20 games and 1 game short from a push .
Parlay lost as well , Radwanska wasted countless breakpoints and lost in 2 sets , Wawrinka and Simon have won .
Hopefully Haas and Gonzalez go over 23 to reduce the losses by a little bit .
It's getting funnier every single day for people who bet on tennis ... placing your money on '' the right player '' doesn't do it these days , you also have to flip a coin and guess who will show up to play and who wants just to pick up a paycheck and fly back home .
Atleast made some back on betfair with trading on other matches .
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Old 08-12-2009, 08:15 PM   #118
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Free money now on Gonzalez over Haas , Haas about to retire when first set is done .
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Old 08-12-2009, 08:21 PM   #119
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Yep ... 6-7 and retired , atleast caught a break at the end of the day to get some lost money back .

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Old 08-13-2009, 08:42 AM   #120
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Posted Record : 21-11 +18.51 units

Worst day in ages , Isner was tired after playing so many weeks in a row , should have known it would catch up with him sooner or later .
No comment on Andreev , simply gave away the first set with no reason and then easily held every time in the 2nd set but lost 6-7 , one game short from a push .
Radwanska didn't bother to try today , maybe she is on her period .

13 August

Wager Type : ATP Total Games and Games Handicap

Rogers Cup R16

Start time :08:05 AM PST

Victor Hanescu vs Juan Martin Del Potro

My pick is OVER 19 GAMES and Victor Hanescu + 5.5 GAMES

Odds : 1.83 and - 118

Where : sportingbet and pinnaclesports

5 units to win 4.16 units and 5.9 units to win 5 units
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Old 08-13-2009, 10:14 AM   #121
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

13 August

Wager Type : WTA Total Games

WTA Western & Southern Women's Open R16

Start time :09:05 AM PST

Daniela Hantuchova vs Vera Zvonareva

My pick is OVER 21.5 GAMES

Odds : - 102

Where : pinnaclesports

5.1 units to win 5 units

Sounds like a close match , both like to go to distance recently .


13 August

Wager Type : WTA fav ML

WTA Western & Southern Women's Open R16

Start time :09:05 AM PST

Venus Williams vs Flavia Pennetta

My pick is Venus Williams to win

Odds : 1.32 ( - commission )

Where : betfair

10 units to win 3.05 units


Pennetta played too much recently and showed some signs of tiredness in the previous match , should be no problem for Venus , on twitter she said she feels great and is happy with her game at the moment .
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Old 08-13-2009, 10:24 AM   #122
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

13 August

Wager Type : ATP Games Handicap

Rogers Cup R16

Start time :10:05 AM PST

Andy Roddick vs Fernando Verdasco

My pick is Fernando Verdasco + 3.5 GAMES

Odds : - 109 and - 125

Where : pinnaclesports

11.7 units to win 10 units


If Fernando doesn't choke he has all the chances to beat Andy as + 220 underdog on those courts which favor players like him over big servers . Even if he doesn't win he should be able to hold his own serve and not get broken more than once , 6-7 4-6 for Roddick would still do . I am getting my money back here from the loss yesterday thanks to Andreev who tanked the first set for fun .
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Old 08-13-2009, 10:37 AM   #123
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

13 August

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

Rogers Cup R16

Start time :10:05 AM PST

Andy Murray vs Juan Carlos Ferrero


My pick is OVER 20.5 GAMES

Odds : 1.75

Where : expekt


7 units to win 5.25 units



13 August

Wager Type : WTA Total Games

WTA Western & Southern Women's Open R16

Start time :10:30 AM PST

Elena Dementieva vs Sorana Cirstea


My pick is OVER 18.5 GAMES

Odds : 1.75

Where : expekt


7 units to win 5.25 units
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Old 08-13-2009, 12:51 PM   #124
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

Crazy 1.80 odds on Venus in-play at betfair just 3-4 down in the first set

Live stream here http://atdhe.net/7919/watch-wta-cincinnati
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Old 08-13-2009, 12:53 PM   #125
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Re: HappyGuy's tennis plays

150 seconds later just 1.45
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