Tennis Betting Thread - Page 32 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Yea tiebreaks are always fun to win/lose

Current bankroll: 107.22 units (+5.26 from previous)

1. ATP Santiago
Starace P. - Giraldo S.
Take Starace @ 2.14 (ps)

2. ATP Johannesburg
Dev Varman S. - Van der Merwe I.
Take Van der Merwe @ 2.5 (thegreek)

3. ATP Johannesburg
Mannarino A. - Anderson K.
Take Mannarino @ 3 (stanjames)

Quote:

Originally Posted by ClayRaiken

almost a rainman sweep.. 4/5 +150 or better is still pretttty solid

Quote

02-06-2011 , 08:41 AM

#778

calvinyeo

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 634

Current bankroll: 104.22 units (-3 from previous)

1. ATP Santiago
Giraldo S. - Robredo T.
Take Giraldo @ 2.43 (ps)

Quote

02-07-2011 , 01:33 AM

#779

calvinyeo

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 634

Current bankroll: 103.22 units (-1 from previous)

1. WTA Pattaya
Lertcheewakarn N. - Craybas J.
Take Craybas @ 2 (williamhill)

2. ATP Rotterdam
Golubev A. - Tursunov D.
Take Golubez @ 2.6 (ps)

Quote

02-07-2011 , 04:51 AM

#780

calvinyeo

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 634

3. WTA Paris
Barrois K. - Benesova I.
Take Barrois @ 3.6 (betfair)

Quote

02-07-2011 , 11:18 AM

#781

calvinyeo

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 634

4. Quimper C
Trevisan M. - Reix C.
Take Trevisan @ 2.7 (unibet)

5. ATP Costa Do Sauipe
Romboli F. - Ramirez-Hidalgo R.
Take Romboli @ 2.15 (thegreek)

6. ATP Costa Do Sauipe
Andujar-Alba P. - Gimeno-Traver D.
Take Gimeno @ 2.1 (thegreek)

7. ATP San Jose
Farah R. - Smyczek T.
Take Farah @ 2.23 (ps)

Quote

02-07-2011 , 01:15 PM

#782

dangerfish

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 1,971

Backing Farah as well. 2.31 is very generous considering how Smyczek has performed over the last 6 months.

Quote

02-07-2011 , 01:46 PM

#783

calvinyeo

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 634

8. ATP San Jose
Brown D. - Young D.
Take Brown @ 2.1 (ps)

Quote

02-08-2011 , 02:20 AM

#784

calvinyeo

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 634

Current bankroll: 100.82 units (-2.4 from previous)

1. ATP Rotterdam
Ljubicic I. - Stakhovsky S.
Take Stakhovsky @ 1.98 (ps)

2. WTA Paris
Suarez-Navarro C. - Mattek B.
Take Suarez-Navarro @ 3.32 (ps)

3. WTA Pattaya
Amanmuradova A. - Zheng J.
Take Aman @ 2.48 (ps)

4. WTA Pattaya
Morita A. - Tanasugarn T.
Take Tanasugarn @ 2.35 (******)

5. WTA Pattaya
Hantuchova D. - Nara K.
Take Nara @ 3.26 (sportbet)

6. WTA Pattaya
Malek T. - Scheepers C.
Take Malek @ 2.8 (centrebet)

Quote

02-08-2011 , 07:12 AM

#785

calvinyeo

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 634

7. ATP Costa Do Sauipe
Machado R. - Bagnis F.
Take Bagnis @ 2.48 (betfair)

8. ATP Costa Do Sauipe
Robredo T. - Fognini F.
Take Fogini @ 2.6 (5dimes)

Quote

04-03-2011 , 01:29 AM

#786

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

Hmm, remembered this thread. Guess there isn't any non major tennis discussion anymore... Wonder why happyguy got banned, seems to have stopped poker at the same time too, weird.

Djoko v. Nadal today should be a pretty sick match. Some value on Djoko in straights imo.

Quote

04-03-2011 , 01:41 AM

#787

Simplicity8

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 2,499

HappyGuy received a staked from staking group I ran with a couple partners only to be never heard from again.

Quote

04-03-2011 , 03:08 AM

#788

beermankirk

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 1,393

he was betting pretty large numbers on the Tennis.

Agree some Value Djockovic...

Quote

04-04-2011 , 02:05 PM

#789

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

Well that was an awesome match, prob as close to a coin flip as it gets.

Quote

10-11-2011 , 12:07 AM

#790

Music Studio Fund

self-banned

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 430

Is this a good play? I'm thinking of doing this - like parlaying maybe 6 at a time all which are heavy favorites like -400 and better.

Quote

10-11-2011 , 01:31 AM

#791

dangerfish

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 1,971

I really don't think this is going to end well for you. You need to look for value in the price your getting and just combining a bunch of heavy favorites because they are supposed to win is not really creating an edge.

Quote

10-11-2011 , 02:01 AM

#792

Donkson

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 1,583

You'll get crushed.

Quote

10-11-2011 , 02:23 AM

#793

mike ski

adept

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 822

Quote:

Originally Posted by Donkson

You'll get crushed.

Why? Parlaying Djokovic, Nadal, Murray, Federer, in r1 and 2 of any ATP tourney is free $. I'm assuming OP is talking about heavy favorites (top 5) in which case it's not a bad idea. Even top10 would be safe but I'm too lazy to look up the last time a t10 player was knocked out in r1.

OP, I would still stay away from more than 4/5 leg parlay. I would also stick to only round1 and 2, nothing further than that. Limit your exposure as much as possible since one loss will cripple you. Tennis is good slow money.

Also, Slams are obviously the best time of the year for betting tennis - look at how the recent US Open developed.

Last edited by mike ski; 10-11-2011 at 02:48 AM.

Quote

10-11-2011 , 02:28 AM

#794

B00T

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 5,246

You wouldn't go as deep as top 10? Those guys are still at least like 8-1. Can spread out your risk a bit more over more players. Kinda like looking for 0EV teaser legs to share the wealth.

Quote

10-11-2011 , 03:30 AM

#795

calm

banned

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 2,087

My favorite play is to combine three big favs with one longshot. It's a good way to boost the odds with minimal risk... for example tie together three -1000 legs with a +800 leg, then you're basically getting +1100 on the longshot. You can even arb out the other side at Pinny to lock in a profit if you want.

Quote

10-11-2011 , 04:03 AM

#796

Donkson

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 1,583

Quote:

Originally Posted by mike ski

Why? Parlaying Djokovic, Nadal, Murray, Federer, in r1 and 2 of any ATP tourney is free $. I'm assuming OP is talking about heavy favorites (top 5) in which case it's not a bad idea.

Top 10 is a bad idea, as for parlaying the big 4 you'll still only get -1000 at best most of the time for round one and two.

Quote

10-11-2011 , 10:17 AM

#797

mike ski

adept

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 822

Quote:

Originally Posted by Donkson

Top 10 is a bad idea, as for parlaying the big 4 you'll still only get -1000 at best most of the time for round one and two.

Not necessarily, if you spread out your parlays and don't overcommit then you're fine. In 2011, only twice has a t10 player lost in the first round of any ATP tourney. I believe more lost in 2010 but if you pick your spots and don't parlay everything then you should be fine.

Quote:

Originally Posted by calm

This is a good idea.

Last edited by mike ski; 10-11-2011 at 10:46 AM.

Quote

10-11-2011 , 10:47 AM

#798

TomG

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 4,294

this is actually a pretty interesting idea to make money slowly (most people on here just want to make a quick buck). but there doesn't seem to be that many opportunities. are there other sports that will work well for this with teams/players that almost never lose?

Quote

10-11-2011 , 12:03 PM

#799

Music Studio Fund

self-banned

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 430

Thank you, suggestions have been interesting and helpful.

Quote

10-11-2011 , 12:10 PM

#800

Music Studio Fund

self-banned

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 430

What about NCAA Teaser football bets, if i do 6 at a time with a chance to get +460 and 7.5pts in my favor is this still extremely risky and bad? Should I be betting on favorites or underdogs in general in this case?

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