Tennis Betting Thread - Page 25 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Meh, now I'd say Davydenko either takes it easily in 3 or we see the same thing that happened a few nights ago if Federer takes one (w Federer 3-2 tho

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01-27-2010 , 03:23 AM

#604

soonkwon

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 620

fed just broke back and it's amazing how much confidence the public has in fed.

his odds shot down to 1.77 now. i still think davydenko wins this

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01-27-2010 , 03:24 AM

#605

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

Yikes, I think it's already happening.

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01-27-2010 , 03:29 AM

#606

HappyGuy

banned

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 1,107

Looks like Davydenko is gone , what a turnaround , Davy missed easy shot for 2 breaks up 4-1 and now he is losing big time . If he converted one of the 3 breakpoints for 2 breaks up lead this set would be in the bag and now it's 1 sets all .

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01-27-2010 , 03:30 AM

#607

soonkwon

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 620

lol, that's precisely why he cant win a slam

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01-27-2010 , 03:34 AM

#608

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

Standard imo.

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01-27-2010 , 03:41 AM

#609

soonkwon

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 620

fed killing davydenko now.

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01-27-2010 , 04:00 AM

#610

bjornb

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 4,937

almost hard to watch this how he has cracked so badly

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01-27-2010 , 01:28 PM

#611

dangerfish

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 1,971

Quote:

Originally Posted by HappyGuy

I've kissed my money good bye as well . Watching Azarenka get dominated by Zvonareva before the choke made me too confident Serena would beat her up .

Davydenko bossing Federer so far , if he can keep it up Federer is going to get spanked .

Happy--looks like Serena will prob bail you out but do you feel like 28 units was a bit excessive? Considering the line on both those matches you obviously felt like it was offering unprecedented value? I like the play but the bet sizing seemed tilty to me. Good luck and keep running good.

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01-27-2010 , 07:07 PM

#612

anyhero

adept

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 855

Sorry if you've already answered, but are your units 1% of your BR, or fixed amount, or what?

Do you bet with kelly based on perceived edge?

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01-27-2010 , 07:32 PM

#613

TheWalk

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,599

there is no reason cilic should be +363 v. Murray. or am i crazy?

I thought something like +250 or so would have been right.

love o37.5 games too...

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01-27-2010 , 07:51 PM

#614

EmpireMaker2

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 9,444

Fed vs. Murray line right now would be like Fed -125?

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01-27-2010 , 07:51 PM

#615

EmpireMaker2

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 9,444

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheWalk

there is no reason cilic should be +363 v. Murray. or am i crazy?

I thought something like +250 or so would have been right.

love o37.5 games too...

Murrays game sets up awesome against Cilic very little chance Cilic can win this. I like Murray under -400

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01-27-2010 , 08:20 PM

#616

LT_21

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 335

Quote:

Originally Posted by EmpireMaker2

Murrays game sets up awesome against Cilic very little chance Cilic can win this. I like Murray under -400

what about murray on the spread? -6 +117,cillic has had alot taken out of him this week and murray has breezed through to the semis,murray should win 3 zip and he can easily win a set 6/1 or 6/2 making the cover much easier to cover

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01-27-2010 , 08:20 PM

#617

soonkwon

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 620

want to bet on cilic at above +350 and assuming murray gets by cilic without spending too much time, i'd also bet on murray vs fed

murray sharpened his offensive game and it is either his or cilic's turn to win a major now

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01-27-2010 , 08:24 PM

#618

LT_21

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 335

Quote:

Originally Posted by soonkwon

this confuses me you want to bet cillic but also want to back murray and fed in a double?

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01-27-2010 , 08:40 PM

#619

HappyGuy

banned

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 1,107

Quote:

Originally Posted by EmpireMaker2

Murrays game sets up awesome against Cilic very little chance Cilic can win this. I like Murray under -400

Cilic played two 5 setters in a row , Roddick with injured shoulder was able to take 2 sets off him , Del Potro had a wrist injury as well for while .
Like Murray -1.5 sets here , in worst case 3-1 .

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01-27-2010 , 09:01 PM

#620

soonkwon

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 620

Quote:

Originally Posted by LT_21

this confuses me you want to bet cillic but also want to back murray and fed in a double?

i meant i want to bet on cilic if his odds are above +350
and if murray wins against cilic and stays healthy, i want to back murray against fed( assuming he beats tsonga ).

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01-27-2010 , 09:10 PM

#621

LT_21

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 335

Quote:

Originally Posted by soonkwon

i meant i want to bet on cilic if his odds are above +350
and if murray wins against cilic and stays healthy, i want to back murray against fed( assuming he beats tsonga ).

oh right i understand you now,wot price can you get on cillic and how much were you wanting to pu on him

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01-27-2010 , 09:59 PM

#622

chucky

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 4,998

is anyone taking li at excess of +500

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01-27-2010 , 10:00 PM

#623

LT_21

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 335

Quote:

Originally Posted by chucky

is anyone taking li at excess of +500

after watching her last night hell no there was way to many unforced errors anything other than a williams straight sets win and i will be shocked

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01-27-2010 , 10:00 PM

#624

soonkwon

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 620

i usually trade on betfair live tennis betting to arb and profit on both sides.
too bad i got no access to betfiar aus market so i will stay out rather than betting on cilic on traditional sports books as i find their withdrawal process extremely annoying

i would probably place between $200 - $400 on cilic if i have access
i'm no expert but cilic vs murray match will present at least 1 decent trading opportunity and you can profit on both sides using the right strategy.