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Page 182 of 232

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Last

05-26-2015 , 12:39 AM

#4526

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

Quote:

Originally Posted by CallMeIshmael

If you want to win bets you need to know precisely the winner. Not sure whats unclear tbh.

So you have a 100 percent win rate. Cool.

Quote

05-26-2015 , 02:09 AM

#4527

OMGmartingale

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 440

Petkovic -300 / 3u
Wozniacki -475 / 4.75u
Kuznetsova -425 / 4.25u

bonus pick

Koukalova +165

Quote

05-26-2015 , 07:41 AM

#4528

urasofty

journeyman

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 208

had ferrer -11 (-118)
smitkova -4.5 (-114)

waiting on
Schmiedlova -4 (-110)
Alexandr Dolgopolov ML (+152)
Estrella ML (+119)
4 team parlay (+118)
Kvitova ML
Chardy ML
Clilic ML
Janowicz ML

Quote

05-26-2015 , 03:34 PM

#4529

Jobie

journeyman

Join Date: Feb 2014 Posts: 386

Quote:

Originally Posted by BBB624

One down six to go for Nishikori.

Tough matchup in round 2 for Kei. Bellucci has been playing well of late with a win in Geneva and a 3-set loss to Djoker in Rome the tournament prior.

Quote

05-27-2015 , 01:49 AM

#4530

OMGmartingale

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 440

Petkovic -300 w 6-1 / 6-2
Wozniacki -475 w 6-3 / 6-0
Kuznetsova -425 w 6-1 / 4-6 / 6-2

French Open
w/l: 6-0
units (won/risked): 6/26

bonus picks:
0-1

I had friedsam (+250) as large favorite, but figured something was off as vegas had her as sig dog, guess i was right...

didnt fire though

Bouchard gets dropped in first round. Was wavering on that as Mladovenic having a good clay run, but on paper bouchie was like +80% favorite....

she's got ricky bobby syndrome

still going to focus mainly on heavy favorites at least for the next few days. wish i had time to watch all the matches (or any really).

Quote

05-27-2015 , 02:36 AM

#4531

PunnyYouSayThat

Tattoo Commissioner

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 5,097

Daria Gavrilova -120 seems like a home run to me. She is in great form and is playing well on clay. Lisicki is the double fault queen and struggles on clay where her serve is slowed down. So if theres a lot of 2nd serve rally's, i see Gavrilova destroying here.

Quote

05-27-2015 , 02:45 AM

#4532

PunnyYouSayThat

Tattoo Commissioner

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 5,097

also adding

Thomaz Bellucci +2.5 (-125). This line seems so off to me

Quote

05-27-2015 , 02:59 AM

#4533

cambo47

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 138

Quote:

Originally Posted by RU18LOL

also adding

Thomaz Bellucci +2.5 (-125). This line seems so off to me

You think this has more value than the over 3.5 at +115?

Quote

05-27-2015 , 03:17 AM

#4534

Alex405

newbie

Join Date: May 2015 Posts: 15

Quote:

Originally Posted by grumpy64

So you have a 100 percent win rate. Cool.

All right, for example, can say exactly what will be the winner today Kohlschreiber 1.4

Quote

05-27-2015 , 03:21 AM

#4535

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alex405

All right, for example, can say exactly what will be the winner today Kohlschreiber 1.4

Of course not. I was just responding to a poster who said you should only bet if you 100 percent know who will win.

Quote

05-27-2015 , 03:24 AM

#4536

OMGmartingale

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 440

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alex405

All right, for example, can say exactly what will be the winner today Kohlschreiber 1.4

stop posting, go invade ukraine. better use of everyones time.

Quote

05-27-2015 , 03:39 AM

#4537

OMGmartingale

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 440

Quote:

Originally Posted by RU18LOL

my model says lisicki is underpriced.... but i don't disagree with your points and that's probably the reason I am off the current lines. was thinking of betting lisicki, will probably skip this match now.

Quote

05-27-2015 , 03:45 AM

#4538

OMGmartingale

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 440

Quote:

Originally Posted by cambo47

You think this has more value than the over 3.5 at +115?

Do the implied probability....

Quote:

Originally Posted by RU18LOL

also adding

Thomaz Bellucci +2.5 (-125). This line seems so off to me

yeah, this seems really off... might take him +7 games as well.
too bad im limited at the book i have tennis spreads

Last edited by OMGmartingale; 05-27-2015 at 04:13 AM.

Quote

05-27-2015 , 05:54 AM

#4539

PunnyYouSayThat

Tattoo Commissioner

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 5,097

Quote:

Originally Posted by OMGmartingale

bro praise the lord for her retiring. She got RECKED the first set

i should donate that half of that 2k bet to a church lol

Quote

05-27-2015 , 09:16 AM

#4540

urasofty

journeyman

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 208

gavrilova (-113) LOSS
baghdatis -2.5 (-124) LOSS
stosur -6 (-148) WIN
simon (-170) WIN
dulgheru over 21 & +102
mahut over 35 (-124)
Kerber -1.5 sets (-145)
Makarova -136

Quote

05-27-2015 , 09:41 AM

#4541

urasofty

journeyman

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 208

Dulgheru up 5-2 in set 2 serving for the set and gets broken three times.

brutal

not as bad as lucic-baroni being up 7-5 and 5-0 vs keys only to lose the match LOL

Quote

05-27-2015 , 10:04 AM

#4542

Alex405

newbie

Join Date: May 2015 Posts: 15

Quote:

Originally Posted by OMGmartingale

stop posting, go invade ukraine. better use of everyones time.

I did not understand, and at what here Ukraine. I'm talking about that know the winner !?

Quote

05-27-2015 , 10:24 AM

#4543

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alex405

I did not understand, and at what here Ukraine. I'm talking about that know the winner !?

Could you try again ?

Quote

05-27-2015 , 11:04 AM

#4544

BBB624

banned

Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 1,389

Quote:

Originally Posted by BBB624

One down six to go for Nishikori.

Two down five to go. Becker up next.

Quote

05-28-2015 , 01:35 AM

#4545

PunnyYouSayThat

Tattoo Commissioner

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 5,097

Supporting fellow American tonight

Isner -185

Quote

05-28-2015 , 02:54 AM

#4546

Alex405

newbie

Join Date: May 2015 Posts: 15

I wonder why Edmund did not come to play?

Quote

05-28-2015 , 03:11 AM

#4547

PunnyYouSayThat

Tattoo Commissioner

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 5,097

adding
lu + 2.5 -125

Quote

05-28-2015 , 07:58 AM

#4548

Alex405

newbie

Join Date: May 2015 Posts: 15

Isner 1.5

Quote

05-28-2015 , 09:34 AM

#4549

urasofty

journeyman

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 208

late with picks again but here my plays for today

went 5-4 yesterday

Giraldo +2.5 sets (-165) WIN
Giraldo (+365)
Isner -2.5 games (-124)
Busta +220 & +2.5 sets (-212)
Troicki (+140)
Mladenovic (-156)
Diyas (-158)

also leaning towards the over on the bencic vs keys match but still undecided. also like a play on bencic as keys has looked very suspect