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Tennis Betting Thread Tennis Betting Thread

09-10-2009 , 08:38 AM
Gonna think about Nadal match after I wake up , this one before going to bed.


10 September

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

US Open 2009 QF

Start time : 11:15 AM PST

Juan Martin Del Potro vs Marin Cilic

My pick is OVER 38 GAMES

Odds : - 125 and - 127

Where : pinnaclesports

25.2 units to win 20 units



Hopefully no letdown from Cilic after his easy win over Murray , I don't see anybody winning 3-0 sets here . Counting on a tiebreak , so if there is one we would need 25 more games for a push which would be possible in a tough 3 setter like 7-6 7-6 7-5 but is rather unlikely tho . 25 games in 4 sets match : 3x6games =18 games and we would need 7 more games from the loser if its a 4 setter with one tiebreak in there , 7-6 4-6 6-2 6-1 would get a push .
Those two have met this year at Australian Open and Del Potro won 3:1 sets with 40 total games . Largest play at this US Open together with Acasuso over Ferrer as 3.00+ few rounds before . Neither player has been broken in the previous round which is very impressive considering they have played against two strong opponents : Ferrero and especially Andy Murray for Cilic .
Hopefully Cilic wins the first set , 7-6 would be perfect but this line seems bit too low , Del Potro is heavy favorite but if Cilic can play aggressive like he did against Murray he might keep it closer than some think , as long as he wins one set I think atleast a push is looking very good unless he would lose a set to 0,1 or 2 games .
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09-10-2009 , 05:50 PM
25.2 UNITS!? Wow, sweating this match with you - Cilic just looks completely overmatched athletically and does not seemed to be that concerned about it, although I only picked it up in the 3 set. GLGLGL
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09-10-2009 , 05:51 PM
He was 6-4 3-1 up and now dead all out of sudden , Im done with this US Open , cool 14-2 games run for Del Potro .
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09-10-2009 , 05:57 PM
15-2 games run for Del Potro , I wonder whats the point of playing on for this clown .
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09-10-2009 , 06:39 PM
Wow that was really weird. Cilic was dominating with winners for the first and a half set... then delpo challenged that ace which wasn't in and mindfkd him or something. It was painful to watch how Cilic was missing those forehands from that point on.
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09-11-2009 , 07:30 AM
any leans this morning happy? clijsters vs serena will be a good match no matter whether I have money on it or not but wanted to see where you stand.
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09-12-2009 , 11:45 PM
Such a bad way for the Swewna Clijsters match to end, was a good game until that, now I feel gutted even tho I was backing Clijsters.
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09-13-2009 , 08:56 AM
Justice imo
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09-13-2009 , 03:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by samilace
hey looking for help wanting to get $100 on TOMIC (number 3 seed) to win the junior boys singles tournament, at odds of 6-1...or in his 2nd round match tonight vs the local american kid of 1.4

nowhere i have ever come across that frames a market on juniors if you know of any please point me in the right direction.

(i also remember a thread that used to be on 2plus2 that members could bet between themself's but i havent signed on for 3 plus months and can no longer remember where it was..is this still around) if anyone wanted to take me up on this bet i would be very happy
please help


god would make so much money if you could bet on these events unfortunatly couldnt get a bet on anywhere, even the girls singles as soon as it moved indoors anyone who knows the up and commers had to be sure watson was going to have an easy win vs the THAI girl making it between her and robson for the title (buchina made the final but watson cruised her)

made some nice coin on del potro tonight backing him 3-0 and 3-1 (if it got to 5th set couldnt really see nadal losing imo (apologies on the aftertiming)

cant wait for the tournies starting tommorow so much easier to make money in the smaller fields with less known players, and the mugs still betting blindly. but you cant beat these grandslams for entertaing tennis viewing i guess
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09-14-2009 , 08:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HappyGuy
I don't like to bet on those small tournaments one week before Grand Slams , too many retirements or people just take it easy after losing the first set .




I will be trading on betfair outright market , so far I am on Roddick 17.5 , Djokovic 17 and Del Potro 15 . Murray has very legit chance to win this year or atleast make it to the finals where you can hedge if he plays Federer .
Very long shots worth few bucks are Querrey 400 , Haas 260 and Tsonga 80 , they wont win but if one of them makes it deep you can lay off for some profit .

15/1! Did you hedge with Fed or roll it? Can't imagine a time when you wanted to sell off that amazing price during his draw.
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09-19-2009 , 04:39 AM
Hedged with Federer , ended up around 4.5k up from women + men outright to make up Cilic vs Del Potro over games loss and Bondarenko .

Posted Record : 52-25 +62.93 units


19 September


Wager Type : WTA Doubles

CHINA GDD-Guangzhou International Women's Open Doubles

Start time :4:45AM EST

C.Scheepers/A.Spears vs O.Govortsova/T.Poutchek

My pick is O.Govortsova/T.Poutchek to win

Odds : - 150

Where : 5dimes

3.75 units to win 2.5 units


Thought this would be more like - 250 , Govortsova and Poutchek are by far the better players here and in the whole draw left .
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09-22-2009 , 06:13 PM
where's the plays, i got excited about tennis while reading your thread.
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09-22-2009 , 06:36 PM
Can't speak for happyguy but I would not like to wager much on crap like the Moselle open, not enough at stake for the players which tends to throw up all kinds of weird results.

Start of next month has the China and Japan open which are both decent events (and clash afaik) then the masters series in China as well.
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09-24-2009 , 08:16 AM
Yep , thats the case . I don't like betting on those small tournaments nobody cares about . Some people will show up for paycheck , some to play and I don't want to try and figure out who is in for what .

Posted Record : 53-25 +65.43 units



24 September

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

Open de Moselle R16

Start time :06:00 AM PST

Philipp Petzschner vs Michael Llodra

My pick is OVER 22.5 GAMES

Odds : 1.80

Where : expekt

5 units to win 4 units


Only bet today , both not very good in the rallies but have solid serve for fast courts , either a 7-6 set + 6-4 or a 3 setter .
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10-05-2009 , 09:46 AM
Loving the bets HappyGuy, keep it up!
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10-13-2009 , 02:07 PM
Posted Record : 53-26 +60.43 units

Betting in-play a lot on betfair during the matches cuz it's tough to trust players these days in smaller tournaments .
Been watching as many matches as possible in the last few weeks to see what form players are in so hopefully it pays off in the upcoming tournaments.


13 October


Wager Type : ATP fav ML

Tennis Masters Cup R2

Start time :11:05 PM PST

Lleyton Hewitt vs Gael Monfils

My pick is Gael Monfils to win

Odds : - 165


Where : bookmaker

16.5 units to win 10 units

Like this one a lot tonight .
Cant see any other winner here but Monfils , he lost to both players who ended up winning the tournaments : Davydenko and Tsonga in the last 2 weeks . I've watched his match against Tsonga and on that day Tsonga would have beaten anybody , his serving and super aggressive play was amazing .
Hewitt on the other hand is getting old and his movement is not what it used to be , also he seems to struggle with his backhand . I've seen him put the ball in the very bottom of the net a lot when he tries to play backhand to the right side of the court , this could be because of the issues he has with his knees when he puts the weight on it .
In general Monfils should be way too solid on his serve and with his power , Hewitt tends to throw bad games in there with a lot of 2nd serves and this will be taken advantage of by Monfils . Watched Hewitt's match against Isner today and I must say Isner is a horrible player when he isnt playing on the US fast courts , anybody in the top 200 would have beaten him . Also last week Hewitt was anything but impressive in his loss to Youzhny , week before that he has lost to Joachim Johansson in straight sets who hasn't played tennis in 5 monthes .
I believe this is a very good spot for a large bet and odds are much better than I expected to see here .
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10-13-2009 , 04:48 PM
This is probably the most interesting thread I've read in this section. Never really knew anyone that bet tennis; but I'm now very intrigued.
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10-14-2009 , 04:24 AM
Thanks for the free no fine print nothing tip. Rarely bet tennis but was feeling lucky tonight. Monfils played like crap but Hewitt wore down. Excellent analysis.
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10-14-2009 , 04:26 AM
whew..... monfils had me scared but good call, happy
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10-14-2009 , 04:33 AM
Whew , he had me worried there . In the first set it looked like he was playing half asleep but slowly got into this match , same scenario as his match against Wawrinka last week .

Was able to trade out $1,000 insurance on Hewitt at one set all , so would be 650 bucks risk if he lost in the end .

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10-14-2009 , 04:50 AM
14 October

Wager Type : ATP Doubles

Shanghai ATP Masters 1000 Doubles


Start time :5:15AM EST

M.Bhupathi/M.Knowles vs T.Parrott/F.Polasek


My pick is M.Bhupathi/M.Knowles to win

Odds : - 250

Where : 5dimes

5 units to win 2 units
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10-14-2009 , 04:57 AM
Looks like they are starting now because Haas withdrew from doubles so this match was moved to their time slot , 1 point played .
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10-14-2009 , 05:13 AM
14 October

Wager Type : ATP Handicap

Tennis Masters Cup R2

Scheduled start time : 03:05 AM PST ( around 1 hour )

Rafael Nadal vs James Blake

My pick is James Blake + 4 GAMES

Odds : - 111

Where : pinnaclesports

5.55 units to win 5 units


Blake lost to Nadal last week by 4 games but I think this is a great handicap , if Nadal wins the coin toss he will most likely pick to receive and if Blake wins he will decide to serve first . This would almost guarantee him to stay within this handicap even losing in straight sets , each set by 1 break ( 4-6 4-6 ) for a push , I think he can take a set off Nadal tho or maybe even beat him , I didn't like the trashing Nadal received last week from Cilic .
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10-14-2009 , 09:23 AM
Last 2 for today :


14 October

Wager Type : WTA fav ML

Generali Ladies Linz R1

Scheduled start time : 08:00 AM PST ( around 2 hours )

Alexandra Dulgheru vs Sybille Bammer

My pick is Sybille Bammer to win

Odds : - 312

Where : pinnaclesports

9.36 units to win 3 units


14 October

Wager Type : WTA fav ML

Generali Ladies Linz R16

Scheduled start time : 08:00 AM PST ( around 2 hours )

Iveta Benesova vs Petra Kvitova

My pick is Petra Kvitova to win

Odds : 1.62

Where : pinnaclesports

10 units to win 6.2 units
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10-14-2009 , 10:38 AM
Good to see we're in agreement on these Happy....Do you ever parlay? These two parlayed pay over 1:1
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