Quote:
Originally Posted by Knoooby
i KNOW how the oddsystems works.
No you don't.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Knoooby
and by winrate i mean the return on every 1 unit bet in the longrun
FYP. And that is only ROI, stop calling it a winrate. You do not care about winrate in a sport like tennis, only ROI.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Knoooby
so a 51%avg winrate equals 2% roi and 55%avg winrate equals 10% roi
No it doesn't.
1) Tennis is a moneyline sport.
2) Even if it was a spread sport with -110 lines, your math is all ****ered up because you are not calculating the juice into the equation.
51% winrate does NOT mean 51-49 = 2% ROI. Not even close. You hit 51% ATS and you are running at a NEGATIVE ROI:
At the standard -110 juice:
51% winrate
(51) - (49*1.1) = -2.90
-2.90/110 = -2.64% ROI
55% winrate
(55) - (45*1.1) = 5.50
5.50/110 = 5.00% ROI
And to answer your question, YES tennis can be beat, though I do not bet it personally.
I've devised a course of action for you to take so that you stop embarrassing yourself on these forums on a daily basis. You need to:
1. Not make any statements until you have received and read both Wong's and Yao's books. Any posts between then and now should be in question form as you are clearly unqualified to do anything else.
2. After doing so, come back into this thread and apologize for being a knob and posting incorrect assumptions as facts.
That is all.