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Old 10-14-2016, 01:28 PM   #5776
RU18LOL
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

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ill never bet on him again. What a joke. I feel like my bet should be refunded


Muguruza -365
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Old 10-14-2016, 03:44 PM   #5777
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

Muguruza is killing me right now
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Old 10-15-2016, 02:11 AM   #5778
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

Brutal push

Gavrilova -200 4u
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Old 10-15-2016, 03:16 AM   #5779
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

Jankovic +1.5 -135 1.35u
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Old 10-15-2016, 10:01 AM   #5780
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

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Brutal push
Wow, lucky you. My book graded my bet as a loss.
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Old 10-17-2016, 05:45 AM   #5781
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

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Kerber -355 3.55u
loss

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Originally Posted by RU18LOL View Post

Gavrilova -200 4u
loss

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Originally Posted by RU18LOL View Post
Jankovic +1.5 -135 1.35u
loss


YTD: 100-69 -20.93u


This year is not looking good.

Young +100 1u
Delbonis +1.5 -130 1.3u
Haase -125 1.25u
Bouchard -110 1.1u
Schmiedlova +1.5 -135 1.35u

First time i'm actually feeling tilted in tennis this year.
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Old 10-17-2016, 05:45 AM   #5782
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

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Wow, lucky you. My book graded my bet as a loss.
nitro?
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Old 10-17-2016, 10:05 AM   #5783
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

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nitro?
yep, what book you using? acr?
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Old 10-24-2016, 10:15 PM   #5784
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

Any insight why Lorenzi P is a +200 dog against manhut ?
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Old 10-24-2016, 11:09 PM   #5785
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

Hi all

Has anyone had any experience or thoughts using Elo Rankings as the basis for a tennis betting strategy?

My observation is that you can get decent prices on Betfair compared to Elo comparison probabilities, but is my very small sample size (~50 matches) I have fairly poor results. Interested if anyone has tried for a larger sample size.


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Old 10-25-2016, 12:45 AM   #5786
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

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Originally Posted by SpadeWar View Post
Any insight why Lorenzi P is a +200 dog against manhut ?
Cause it's on indoor hard and Lorenzi has been horrible his whole career away from clay
Surprised it's not higher tbh
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Old 10-25-2016, 12:48 AM   #5787
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

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Originally Posted by Buzz71 View Post
Hi all

Has anyone had any experience or thoughts using Elo Rankings as the basis for a tennis betting strategy?

My observation is that you can get decent prices on Betfair compared to Elo comparison probabilities, but is my very small sample size (~50 matches) I have fairly poor results. Interested if anyone has tried for a larger sample size.


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I have used it as a check in the past, but I definitely wouldn't rely on it solely to place bets. You will go broke.

If you are really serious about capping tennis from a number crunching point of view, it's hard to do well with publicly available data and to do seriously would require grading matches by hand or paying people to grade matches by hand.

Tennis stats are abysmal. In my opinion, in order to bet tennis you need to be an ex-player or know the game very well. At the end of the day, because of how quickly you will get limited betting tennis, I wouldn't recommend spending a lot of time on it.

I'd look into ELO rankings on Esports and focusing on learning some of those markets. Even though they are small now, I think there will be a lot of growth there over the next decade and I don't know how much work people are really doing on it. I would also assume because it's all computer **** and a bunch of nerds doing it that they will start releasing a ton of in depth stats on the games.
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Old 10-29-2016, 11:42 AM   #5788
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

Zvererv +1.5 @1.9 2u
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Old 11-01-2016, 02:55 AM   #5789
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

Sock 1.66
Mahut 1.73
Lopez 1.59
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Old 11-01-2016, 01:01 PM   #5790
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

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Sock 1.66
Mahut 1.73
Lopez 1.59


Win, win, win. Thank youTennis Betting Thread


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Old 11-01-2016, 01:09 PM   #5791
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

Haha you're welcome. Honestly I'm still learning about tennis just trying to get this thread started again
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Old 08-06-2017, 02:17 PM   #5792
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

tennis thread died boys?
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Old 08-07-2017, 06:18 PM   #5793
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

wta is no fun betting imo
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Old 08-20-2017, 11:45 PM   #5794
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

How To Fix a Tennis Match (by Alexandr Dolgopolov)

http://www.sportdw.com/2017/08/dolgo...uspicious.html
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Old 08-29-2017, 05:26 AM   #5795
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

Resurrecting the thread to recommend Tiafoe over 10.5 games against the Fed.
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Old 08-29-2017, 09:33 AM   #5796
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

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Win, win, win. Thank youTennis Betting Thread


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Nice!!

any pick on WTA or ATP today?
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Old 09-01-2017, 09:29 AM   #5797
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Re: Tennis Betting Thread

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Resurrecting the thread to recommend Tiafoe over 10.5 games against the Fed.
Landslide victory.

Recommending Ostapenko -131 against Kasatkina.
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