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Tennis Betting Thread Tennis Betting Thread

10-14-2016 , 01:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gargar11
ill never bet on him again. What a joke. I feel like my bet should be refunded


Muguruza -365
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10-14-2016 , 03:44 PM
Muguruza is killing me right now
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10-15-2016 , 02:11 AM
Brutal push

Gavrilova -200 4u
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10-15-2016 , 03:16 AM
Jankovic +1.5 -135 1.35u
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10-15-2016 , 10:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RU18LOL
Brutal push
Wow, lucky you. My book graded my bet as a loss.
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10-17-2016 , 05:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RU18LOL
Kerber -355 3.55u
loss

Quote:
Originally Posted by RU18LOL

Gavrilova -200 4u
loss

Quote:
Originally Posted by RU18LOL
Jankovic +1.5 -135 1.35u
loss


YTD: 100-69 -20.93u


This year is not looking good.

Young +100 1u
Delbonis +1.5 -130 1.3u
Haase -125 1.25u
Bouchard -110 1.1u
Schmiedlova +1.5 -135 1.35u

First time i'm actually feeling tilted in tennis this year.
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10-17-2016 , 05:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SpadeWar
Wow, lucky you. My book graded my bet as a loss.
nitro?
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10-17-2016 , 10:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RU18LOL
nitro?
yep, what book you using? acr?
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10-24-2016 , 10:15 PM
Any insight why Lorenzi P is a +200 dog against manhut ?
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10-24-2016 , 11:09 PM
Hi all

Has anyone had any experience or thoughts using Elo Rankings as the basis for a tennis betting strategy?

My observation is that you can get decent prices on Betfair compared to Elo comparison probabilities, but is my very small sample size (~50 matches) I have fairly poor results. Interested if anyone has tried for a larger sample size.


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10-25-2016 , 12:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SpadeWar
Any insight why Lorenzi P is a +200 dog against manhut ?
Cause it's on indoor hard and Lorenzi has been horrible his whole career away from clay
Surprised it's not higher tbh
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10-25-2016 , 12:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Buzz71
Hi all

Has anyone had any experience or thoughts using Elo Rankings as the basis for a tennis betting strategy?

My observation is that you can get decent prices on Betfair compared to Elo comparison probabilities, but is my very small sample size (~50 matches) I have fairly poor results. Interested if anyone has tried for a larger sample size.


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I have used it as a check in the past, but I definitely wouldn't rely on it solely to place bets. You will go broke.

If you are really serious about capping tennis from a number crunching point of view, it's hard to do well with publicly available data and to do seriously would require grading matches by hand or paying people to grade matches by hand.

Tennis stats are abysmal. In my opinion, in order to bet tennis you need to be an ex-player or know the game very well. At the end of the day, because of how quickly you will get limited betting tennis, I wouldn't recommend spending a lot of time on it.

I'd look into ELO rankings on Esports and focusing on learning some of those markets. Even though they are small now, I think there will be a lot of growth there over the next decade and I don't know how much work people are really doing on it. I would also assume because it's all computer **** and a bunch of nerds doing it that they will start releasing a ton of in depth stats on the games.
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10-29-2016 , 11:42 AM
Zvererv +1.5 @1.9 2u
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11-01-2016 , 02:55 AM
Sock 1.66
Mahut 1.73
Lopez 1.59
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11-01-2016 , 01:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PokercastRoss
Sock 1.66
Mahut 1.73
Lopez 1.59


Win, win, win. Thank youTennis Betting Thread


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11-01-2016 , 01:09 PM
Haha you're welcome. Honestly I'm still learning about tennis just trying to get this thread started again
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08-06-2017 , 02:17 PM
tennis thread died boys?
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08-07-2017 , 06:18 PM
wta is no fun betting imo
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08-20-2017 , 11:45 PM
How To Fix a Tennis Match (by Alexandr Dolgopolov)

http://www.sportdw.com/2017/08/dolgo...uspicious.html
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08-29-2017 , 05:26 AM
Resurrecting the thread to recommend Tiafoe over 10.5 games against the Fed.
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08-29-2017 , 09:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Suiii
Win, win, win. Thank youTennis Betting Thread


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Nice!!

any pick on WTA or ATP today?
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09-01-2017 , 09:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by somigosaden
Resurrecting the thread to recommend Tiafoe over 10.5 games against the Fed.
Landslide victory.

Recommending Ostapenko -131 against Kasatkina.
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