Quote:
Originally Posted by Thremp
Okay. At first glance your numbers are 100% idiot.
More mudslinging with zero reasoning or evidence to back it up. You would absolutely floor me (and I suspect most reading this) by posting your own numbers. I'm not holding my breath.
My NYG by Four was definitely low. My NYG by Three was high, and a decent bit higher than my error on the Four (for useful reasons anyone paying attention would have learned). Of course I had a margin of error attached to my numbers but it was low enough that no further accuracy was going to get that teaser to be +EV, so I didn't bother. All I wanted to do was point out it was a crap bet.
Now let's take a look at his chart. LMFAO at the quotes to 7-8-9 significant digits. But whatever, the point is that any cursory 10-second glance and a bit of common sense will show major flaws in his program. The underdog has a greater chance to win by One or Five than the favourite does. Impossible. Look at the ratio of Dall by Four wins to Dall by Five wins and compare them to the counterparts for NYG. They are wildly off. These ratios should be very similar if not identical. Try it with a bunch of others and you will see similar discrepancies.
He's tipped his hand several times. Can't beat the most fundamental sportsbetting markets (matchbook). Can't remember simple approximations of Push Rates (the One and the Two). Posts -EV teasers (Note I was not the only one to catch this). And I'm supposed to be an underdog to this circus act. You'll have to excuse me for tilting a little.