Trying to figure out what edge, if any, I have when team totals aren't the same - Sports Betting

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Trying to figure out what edge, if any, I have when team totals aren't the same

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08-22-2017 , 12:19 PM

ILikeToParty

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 1,496

Reds team total at my local is 4.5 -115/-115

Pinnacle it's 4 at -212/+171
5dimes it's 5 at -110/-110

How do i figure out the differences in team totals, and I have an edge on my 4.5 right?

Sorry for the basic question, just can't find an answer anywhere else

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08-22-2017 , 12:40 PM

ILikeToParty

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 1,496

4 already down to -188/+153 yikes. Maybe I spoke too soon I already bet reds over 4.5 but I need to know for the future anyways.

Thanks again and if this post is lame or in the wrong place just delete or move thanks

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08-22-2017 , 04:23 PM

MrAdvantage

Guest

Posts: n/a

I would play under 5 -110 & over 4.5 -115 .

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08-22-2017 , 04:33 PM

ILikeToParty

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 1,496

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrAdvantage

I would play under 5 -110 & over 4.5 -115 .

I don't have any money offshore anywhere at the moment.

Would it be better to do that or just hit the over 4.5? Is the 4.5 a +ev play?

Thanks

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08-22-2017 , 06:54 PM

ILikeToParty

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 1,496

Man I don't know what the hell happened lol the reds over 4 is onky like -140 now

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08-23-2017 , 11:19 AM

ARCANGEL0

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2016 Posts: 2,799

Would it be better to do that or just hit the over 4.5? > Just hit the over

Is the 4.5 a +ev play? > God only knows

glgl

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08-23-2017 , 04:06 PM

Yacht67

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2016 Posts: 237

I think the edge is doing which side you favor. If i was looking for the reds to go over. I'd bet on 4. and if the odds were 4 1/2 and 5. I'd bet on the site that offered 4. And find the best line for price.

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08-23-2017 , 06:49 PM

banned

Join Date: Mar 2017 Posts: 1,307

Quote:

Originally Posted by ILikeToParty

You need a database. Its not as simple as it seems. Id probably play over 4.5 and under 4 171 for the polish middle and move on with my life.

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08-24-2017 , 06:14 AM

stAngelous

enthusiast

Join Date: Aug 2017 Posts: 60

it depends and as other said its best to go with the best odd/line you can get.

When I began betting I used to be deceived by the lines, say I wanted to bet over x and found that the lines was too high, say 2.25 I usually didnt bet or just took the under, or even went to other book, went for middles etc.

The thing is the books dont have it that much right most of the time and they just set up lines and bets move them, and has nothing to do with the actual game, bet should be determined by your stats/analysis rather than line compared to other books

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