Projecting QB pass attempts in NFL
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 1,307
So I've been looking for new ways to project a team/QB's pass attempts for a single game. The way I do it now is quick and dirty and works OK, but I would love a more accurate way. Optimally, I would run a regression using the teams pass PA, yards per pass, yards per rush, and opp yards per pass and yards per run. But I don't have the database's needed for this, nor the technical expertise.
So Im wondering if anyone is interested in helping. Of course I dont expect anything for free, so Id be willing to pay, either just straight money or some form of trade. I have access to more than a few soft books with props.
If anyone is interested, please PM me and we can see if we can work something out.
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 2,743
why? what's the $/hourly on this junk?
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 1,307
I dunno...theres ton of bets available and theyre usually way off. I just like to base everything on per attempt and the only thing Im not comfortable with is projecting pass attempts. I havent found a great way to factor in scoring adjustments
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 4,294
just subscribe to one or more dfs/fantasy touts and use their projections
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 1,307
Ive thought about that but it seems too easy/public. Although its honestly probably a lot better than what Im doing. I would absolutely love to know how those guys come up with their projections.
Any DFS guys that youd recommend tom?
Join Date: Feb 2003
Posts: 17,563
The well-run, moderately high pay-roto sites have very good numbers imo. TomG knows what he's talking about.