JAX is a good valuepick, but dangerous of course. only one other person left in my pool so I'm trying to max my EV every week versus him.
11: PIT @ KC
12: ATL v TB or CIN v CLE
13: CIN v DET or IND v TEN
14: BAL v DET
15: DEN v OAK
16: ARI v STL
17: IND @ BUF (or something else depending on which teams are still trying)
with regards to valuepicking and saving, i think the theory behind it is that you give up a small amount of EV this current week in order to have a large advantage later. so make sure the teams you are 'saving' have super cupcake matchups in the future. in my bracket, since it's down to me and another person, i'm trying to pick the highest EV game each week, and hope for the best.
with regards to valuepicking and saving, i think the theory behind it is that you give up a small amount of EV this current week in order to have a large advantage later. so make sure the teams you are 'saving' have super cupcake matchups in the future. in my bracket, since it's down to me and another person, i'm trying to pick the highest EV game each week, and hope for the best.
yeah with 85 left in our megapool, I want/need to survive until playoffs, where we are betting vs. the spread, and hope there's only a few left
I went with the obvious MIN pick this week... I was one of only a very few to still have the Vikings available. Looking good so far, with a number of the other popular picks still in close matchups.
FFFFFFFFUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU Pittsburgh! I was the only person with two people left in my league, oh well still got one team left. I'm going to be screwed in week 14 though, I've used all of the good matchups :\
I had saved PIT for week 13, hosting OAK, which doesn't look nearly as good after this week's events. Feels like I should save CIN for week 13 or 16. CAR hosting TB scary but also playable in week 13.
With Stafford unlikely to play the Thanksgiving game, I will look at Green Bay. It doesn't help that both Kampman and Harris are out for the season but I think the Pack will put in a good effort to keep their playoff hope alive.
I've used DAL, MIN, GB and SD already. I originally went with the Bengals for this week but switched to the Falcons, because I'll plan on using Cincinnati in Week 13 when they host the Lions.
Don't think there will be many eliminations this week, barring huge upsets.
Looking at Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay this week most likely
13: Cin vs Det
14: Pit @ Cle
15: Ari @ Det (pending Warner)
Kinda miffed I haven't used the Colts yet and don't really see a good spot down the line.....everyone else in the AFC has 3 losses and Colts pretty notorious for shutting it down when they have things locked up. Ah well