I see you still stick to those 2 criteria, after all these years mule

What if the tangibles & intangibles line up for Cincy? Would you still pass them because of those 2 criteria?

I'm debating about using Baltimore this week. I have used NO, DAL, and IND already.

I honestly don't even look at road teams. Divisional isn't as big of a deal to me, but road games are a dealbreaker.

I'd consider Saints this week but I'm on the Broncos. It's gonna be a popular pick and there are plenty of other times to use them, but some have already used Denver and Yahoo says the other popular picks are:

Indy @ Jax
Cincy @ Cleveland
KC vs NYG
San Fran @ St. Louis
New Orleans vs Miami

I could easily see any of those teams going down. I think it's gonna be a bloody week.

man survivor pools are like poker circa 2005

Wanna go colts but they barely beat the raiders on the road...then the crush the 49ers on the road. Just don't see them losing.

point spreads are like HUDs

Ironic how people picked Indy over NE in week one as they thought NE would be of more use in future weeks.

Here we are in week 4 and Indy seems the most logical pick, providing you want to save Denver for future weeks....

And providing you weren't one of the ~60% using the Colts in Week 1.

Lol. Your first para basically says don't save teams for future weeks, then your second para makes the assumption you should

I'm actually not too sure that they will. They are the worst team I've seen in recent years and it doesn't seem to even be close. I guess Gabbert could figure out how to gain yards and score some points at some time in the year and get them a win or two. But even if that happens it will likely be against another bad team, so it may not knock many people out.

Cinci is my pick this week (already used colts). The Denver game scares me; I know the Eagles stink now but they also had like 4-5 more days of rest this week than Denver. If the Vikings weren't horrendous and didn't lose to the Browns last week, the Cinci line is probably more like Cinci -6.5-7. I just don't seem them losing.

Planning beyond 2-3 weeks is really pointless imo.

It's close to fish logic. Sure, I'll start doing a little planning if I make it to week 11 or something and I'll look ahead a couple of weeks, but this early in the season it is all about picking the best matchup and trying to survive to the end.

For REALLY big pools with like 5,000 people (I've never played in one's that big), I guess it wouldn't be that bad to save teams. But if your pool has anything less than like 500 people, you should just be picking the closest thing to a lock each week.

I hope you do pick Cinci over Denver. I love it when people try and handicap games themselves.

Isn't that what it's all about?

So you're saying you can make bad picks in smaller player pools, but you need to make better picks in larger player pools? I don't follow you.

Week 4, 2013 is about survival. Not so much for other weeks.

No, I'm saying pick the game each week that you think is the closest thing to a lock. I agree with you, don't save teams for later (people who didn't take Seattle or Denver last week overthought it). But I can see why people might want to, in a really large pool, gamble early (I wouldn't personally).

Then why are you taking Cinci this week?
I actually disagree. I do save teams for later on in the year

So if there's 10 ppl in your pool and team X is 90% to win and everyone else is taking them you would as well, rather than taking team y that is 80% to win? That's dumb

team y, that's smart

Basically, I'm saying if everyone in your pool is on a 19 point favorite, then taking like a 3-6 point favorite (to "save" the 19 pt favorite) would be dumb early on. Unless you thought the latter team was more of a lock; but with the Seahawks last week, people were taking the Vikings in order to "save" the Seahawks, so that doesn't apply.

@hven,

I'm taking Cinci this week, because I think it's a safer pick than Denver. I'm not "saving" Denver. Mathematically, I should probably take Denver since they are like -600 on the moneyline and Cinci is only -200, but something just bothers me about that game (and this is coming from someone who has ZERO confidence in the Eagles).

Eagles will gas out by halftime due to altitude

Hi Rusty, sent from my International Samsung Galaxy S3.

I was going for a dual-irony comedic post.

Next time i'll just crack a fart joke.

It's not about saving the team for later, it's about giving yourself the best chance to win your pool. With 20 ppl in your pool you have a 5% chance to win.
If they are all on the favourite, and you take the 2nd best team, right there you increase your chances of winning the whole pool that week.

Any reason to not take DEN and INDY despite how popular they will be if I still have them available?

Last week was a massacre. Lost majority of entries on Minnesota & San Francisco. Survived 4 entries with a sprinkle of New England

3 entries left in pool with 6,000ish left. Taking New Orleans, Tennessee & Washington

4 entries left in Double Elimination pool. 0 losses beat 1 loss. Pays Top 3. Tiebreaker is the total wins the teams you picked have (lower the better obv). I have 1 loss in each entry. Taking 2 Tennessee & 2 Washington

Taking Tennessee in the other pool that I'm in

2/3 of the teams left picked Indy Week 1 in my survivor, I wasn't one of them

6 out of 18 left

INDY was my choice but for some strange ass reason Jax at their worst always plays Indy hard. They have won 4 of their last 6 games against those guys, 3 of the last 4. I don't know what to do. Still have DEN. NOS vs MIA is looking better and better.