NFL Survivor Picks - Page 59 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

8 left in mine and I am the only one with a rebuy left. Still go Pitt this week right? Worst case like 5 have Pitt and they lose which cuts 4 of the 8 out.

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11-09-2012 , 02:23 AM

#1452

The_Dude_Abides

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 525

THIS WEEK:

Double Picks: Balt / Mia
$25 pool 158 left (2 entries): Pitt & SF
$100 pool 66 left: NE

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11-09-2012 , 02:06 PM

#1453

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Not feeling good about Baltimore and just heard in my pool if it gets past Wk 17 into the playoff it turns into Double Picks and you can use Teams you've already picked, so going with Pitts even tho I know most of the pool will be on that pick. It's Either between SF or Pitt for me but SF has just a tad more future value then Pitts, so leaning a lot more towards Pitts.

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11-09-2012 , 05:17 PM

#1454

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Maybe I over analyzed too much but ended up taking Pitt.

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11-09-2012 , 08:10 PM

#1455

canabiz

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 228

Local pool tally, still 50 entries left from 900+, $200/entry

Pittsburgh 29
San Fran 15
Baltimore 3
New England 2
Denver 1

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11-09-2012 , 11:57 PM

#1456

Gabby Hayes

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 2,847

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProfBets

Maybe I over analyzed too much but ended up taking Pitt.

accobra_kid gave you some great advice and you decided to go with "feeling"?

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11-10-2012 , 12:33 AM

#1457

kdog

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,864

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gabby Hayes

accobra_kid gave you some great advice and you decided to go with "feeling"?

Welcome to the 2+2 sports betting forum. Donks gonna donk so just let 'em.

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11-10-2012 , 04:32 AM

#1458

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Call me crazy but felt most confident in Pitts over possible upsets in Baltimore or SF games and got solid multiple options to pick from for the rest of the weeks of the regular season with how many Strong Teams I'll still have. Just learned today that in the event it goes to the playoffs it turns into double picks and Teams used get reset, so that changes things a lot for me. Appreciate the advice tho accobra_kid, GL

Also I'm not in a huge pool, only 13 left in mine.

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11-11-2012 , 04:25 AM

#1459

Gabby Hayes

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 2,847

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProfBets

This makes no sense. Potential huge upsets could happen to any of the teams. And regarding the playoff rules, doesn't it make more sense to use Baltimore now who has little future value than the rest of the teams favored this week in regards to the rest of the regular season, when you are actually allowed to use Baltimore again in the playoffs.

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11-11-2012 , 01:38 PM

#1460

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

I still have tons of good Teams SF, NE, Den, Sea, and more that I could use and there's plenty of ways to go about the rest of the regular season without even using Baltimore...I'm not sold on how close their games have been or how their D is working without Lewis and others out, especially with how explosive Oakland passing game has been lately (although not sealing wins but its still there can't ignore it). Anyways we'll see, GL all Today

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11-11-2012 , 01:44 PM

#1461

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,309

Final distribution in my big pool come decision time:

Pittsburgh 28 (of 49)
Baltimore 11 (of 22)
New England 7 (of 25)
San Francisco 3 (of 28)
Miami 1 (of 52)

Pittsburgh too popular, Baltimore unavailable, so it's down to New England and San Francisco. Giving the nod to the 49ers as they're less popular.

Teams used: Philadelphia, Cincinnati, Dallas, Houston, Baltimore, Tampa Bay, New York Giants, Chicago, Green Bay, San Francisco

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11-11-2012 , 01:48 PM

#1462

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,309

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProfBets

Don't change now, but it'll be interesting for you to see how Baltimore this week compares against Seattle (presumably in week 14 vs. ARZ or week 17 vs. STL) when you use them.

Even with all the close victories, weakening D and injuries to key players, they're -345 to win at Pinnacle right now.

I can't see Seattle being higher than this. A loss to the Jets and people will be singing a very different tune about them come next week.

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11-11-2012 , 01:52 PM

#1463

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Mines been locked, but yea def agree. GL

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11-11-2012 , 02:43 PM

#1464

Randal_Graves

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 10,183

My pool, 7 ppl left, 2 (one being me) with a rebuy left.

3 49ers
2 pats
1 ravens
1 Pitt (me)

I love it.

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11-11-2012 , 06:09 PM

#1465

Steroid Boy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 42,161

i was so close to switching to miami, but yahoo was down so i stayed with baltimore

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11-11-2012 , 09:22 PM

#1466

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,309

aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh!

such an aids game to go out on

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11-11-2012 , 09:51 PM

#1467

canabiz

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 228

Still alive in one of my Pools as tie = win.

I know it may not sound fair but hey I didn't set the rules ;-)

On to Week 11! Atlanta is going to be a popular pick.

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11-12-2012 , 01:03 AM

#1468

Gabby Hayes

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 2,847

Quote:

Originally Posted by canabiz

Still alive in one of my Pools as tie = win.

I know it may not sound fair but hey I didn't set the rules ;-)

On to Week 11! Atlanta is going to be a popular pick.

Don't think they will be a popular pick when most burned them in Week 6.

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11-12-2012 , 02:26 AM

#1469

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

@accobra if you Tie it still knocks you out?

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11-12-2012 , 02:45 AM

#1470

rianb

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 642

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProfBets

@accobra if you Tie it still knocks you out?

I would think so. Most pools have rules that you must pick a winner each week, right? Someone that wins their game?

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11-12-2012 , 09:23 AM

#1471

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,309

Yes. In most leagues, you need to win to survive. Tie or loss = out!

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11-12-2012 , 09:26 AM

#1472

Randal_Graves

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 10,183

My league wasn't clarified so I can see the 2 people with 49ers bitching and still being in next week.

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11-12-2012 , 09:30 AM

#1473

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,686

Yahoo you must win.

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11-12-2012 , 10:20 AM

#1474

canabiz

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 228

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gabby Hayes

Don't think they will be a popular pick when most burned them in Week 6.

Sorry I should have added *will be a popular pick for the folks who still has the Falcons*

I am one of them and I think I will hang my hat on the Falcons as I have burnt both Dallas and Denver.

P.S: Not to put the cart before the horse, mind you as I am waiting for the Steelers tonight. Going to put a few coins on the Chiefs.

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11-12-2012 , 01:49 PM

#1475

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Damn thats ****ty accobra, Smith out earlier in that game and backup QB not playing too well but Rams def stepped up but they both had chances to win missed FGs in OT was ****.

However, I have a worst story I was knocked out in another survival when I had the Lions vs Titans earlier in the season Lions were down 2 TD and somehow ended up scoring 2 TDs in under 1-2mins to take it to OT then lost in OT lol that was some BS too.

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