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Page 54 of 274

First

4 34 44 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 64 74 104 154 254

Last

10-16-2012 , 01:43 PM

#1326

Randal_Graves

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 10,183

7 left in mine. Gotta go pats right? Also one reentry left and I'm only 1 of 3 without one wrong yet.

Quote

10-17-2012 , 06:00 PM

#1327

The_Dude_Abides

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 525

Any thoughts on Oak or possibly Minnesota? Really trying to save NE if possible. Have to make double picks in week 10.

TDA

Quote

10-17-2012 , 07:27 PM

#1328

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

I wanna save my NE too, I'm liking Minnesota a lot, looking like a good candidate for my pick this week possibly but just started looking at the games. My research shows Arizona is 0-5 SU in past 5 games on the road vs Minn, 2-9 in past 11 games vs Minn, both should be fired up after losses last week but I think the Arizona loss to Buffalo was a lot worse then Minn to RG3 and the Skins.

Quote

10-17-2012 , 07:35 PM

#1329

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Isn't Kolb out as well? Not familiar at all with their backup QB Skelton or whoever they're gonna play, is anyone here?

Quote

10-17-2012 , 08:55 PM

#1330

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProfBets

My research shows Arizona is 0-5 SU in past 5 games on the road vs Minn, 2-9 in past 11 games vs Minn

lol

Quote

10-17-2012 , 09:10 PM

#1331

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Quote:

Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk

lol

What is that wildly inaccurate? I got it off oddsshark.com

Quote

10-18-2012 , 12:21 AM

#1332

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Btw anyone know any Pools that are still open or just started up? PM me if you do, would love to get in to a couple more if possible, thx

Quote

10-18-2012 , 10:50 AM

#1333

wamplerr

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2002 Posts: 1,233

One pool is down to three, and the other two have used Chicago. I'm going to take them assuming the other two take the Pats. Math says:

We all lose 6%
I lose, they win 23.5%
I win, they lose 13.5%
We all win 57%

Looks good to me considering if both teams win, I'll still have the Pats for week 10 or 11.

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProfBets

What is that wildly inaccurate? I got it off oddsshark.com

It might be accurate, it's just not relevant. Are there games from the 80's in that sample?

Quote

10-18-2012 , 10:59 AM

#1334

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,310

Quote:

Originally Posted by wamplerr

This is the correct approach. You may not always come out on top here, but you've given yourself a big chance at winning outright. Good job.

Quote

10-18-2012 , 11:34 AM

#1335

mulebennett

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 1,886

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProfBets

What is that wildly inaccurate? I got it off oddsshark.com

I think the point is that a) it's not really YOUR research and b) it's fairly meaningless info, considering both teams' rosters have probably turned over considerably since their meeting five-plus years ago.

Quote

10-18-2012 , 11:37 AM

#1336

Randal_Graves

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 10,183

I'm seriously considering Green Bay.

Quote

10-18-2012 , 12:57 PM

#1337

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

yea Hmm is it better to use GB this week or save it for next week vs Jacksonville, not feeling so hot about Vikings for this week anymore although I only have a couple hours left before I gotta lock in my pick.

Quote

10-18-2012 , 01:16 PM

#1338

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Quote:

Originally Posted by wamplerr

Optimal strategy obv. Check your opponents weekly picks up until this point. If their picks indicate that they pick the 3rd or 4th favorite in other weeks, I'd go with New England though. If they're playing straight-forward, this is the way to go

Quote

10-18-2012 , 01:34 PM

#1339

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Took Vikings after all, it prob will be lot closer then I thought and may get knocked out but if I make through this week and some of the favorites get upset that everyone else should be taking I may win it outright or be in smooth sailing for next few weeks to a Victory. 1 Time! lol

Quote

10-18-2012 , 02:28 PM

#1340

wamplerr

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2002 Posts: 1,233

Quote:

Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk

Well they have been taking plenty of third or fourth picks in other weeks, or they wouldn't still be in, but:
-We all took ATL last week
-They've both taken CHI, so at least I know I'll be alone on that one

Quote

10-18-2012 , 02:35 PM

#1341

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Quote:

Originally Posted by wamplerr

-They've both taken CHI, so at least I know I'll be alone on that one

That's good enough

I have 4 entries left in double elimination with Tiebreakers (total # wins that the teams you picked have; low count wins). 74 without a loss. Need 72 to lose before I have a chance.

High % of the pool picked Tampa Bay last week, so I assume they'll do the same with Oakland this week. Going with Buffalo, Green Bay, Cleveland & Jacksonville. If Cleveland or Jacksonville win, I'll have a top 1-loss entry. Since I'm staying away from the 5 or 6 most popular picks this week, I have a lot to sweat.

Quote

10-18-2012 , 06:07 PM

#1342

The_Dude_Abides

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 525

5 entries across 3 pools still alive. Picks:

1. 2924 @ $30 entries - 173 left: Oakland
2. 200'ish entries @ $100 - 76 left: San Francisco
3. 300'ish entries @ $25 - 186 left: Indy - New England - Minnesota

Rarely deviate from home games.....

TDA

Quote

10-18-2012 , 11:31 PM

#1343

Randal_Graves

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 10,183

9 people left in mine. Only 2 left, one being me with their one rebuy left.

Stuck between Oakland or Green Bay...

Quote

10-18-2012 , 11:48 PM

#1344

The_Dude_Abides

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 525

Randal......putting a shot at $90k on a 1-4 Raider teams seems risky but we still have 10 weeks left and to have a real shot I need to save the really good teams, if possible. In our pool, weeks 5 & 10 you have to make TWO picks each week so every little bit helps. I play in several survivor pools each year and my only rule is no road games. Have cashed 3 times in 5 years and made it to final 8 last year for $14k and went against my own rule and took Steelers @ Denver in playoffs. Uggh.

Will likely stick with Oakland in our big pool. Just read that Palmer said its a "Must Win". That's encouraging!

http://www.oaklandraiders101.com/201...me-a-must-win/

TDA

Quote

10-19-2012 , 05:46 PM

#1345

canabiz

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 228

Local pool tally, started with 900+, down to 50, $200/entry

New England 19
Chicago 10
Green Bay 10
Minnesota 5
Houston 3
Oakland 2
Giants 1

GL to all survivors!

Quote

10-19-2012 , 09:46 PM

#1346

canabiz

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 228

Line has jumped quite a bit towards Oakland, anybody knows why and considering them? I know the Raiders blew their load last week against Atlanta and may underestimate this Jags team which is off a bye but I don't think we have seen a more terrible team than the Jags this season, at least the Browns/Colts/Titans are still fighting hard.

Quote

10-21-2012 , 12:52 AM

#1347

The_Dude_Abides

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 525

Canabiz...you still alive in your huge pool?

Quote

10-21-2012 , 07:23 AM

#1348

canabiz

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 228

Yes I am still alive in my Pool, Dude. I am not in the aforementioned one though but I like to post the weekly picks, help get an idea what teams the survivors are on.

Quote

10-21-2012 , 10:52 AM

#1349

The_Dude_Abides

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 525

GL this week Can.......I am going with Oak (x2), NE and Minn. Palmer saying this week is a "must win" ....sure hope he plays like it!! Here is the breakdown in our big pool:

Week 7

Team Picked %
NE 72 42%
MIN 29 17%
OAK 24 14%
GB 21 12%
SF 9 5%
BUF 6 3%
CHI 6 3%
NYG 3 2%
NOR 2 1%
IND 1 1%

Total 173