NFL Survivor Picks - Page 27 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

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12-13-2010 , 07:10 PM

#651

chucky

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 4,998

got cowboys/raiders/ dolphins all left. any suggestions?

Quote

12-14-2010 , 02:01 AM

#652

kdog

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,864

Quote:

Originally Posted by chucky

got cowboys/raiders/ dolphins all left. any suggestions?

Of those three I'd take Miami even though the ML's are higher for the other two.But that's jmo.

Quote

12-14-2010 , 04:15 AM

#653

chucky

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 4,998

Quote:

Originally Posted by kdog

Of those three I'd take Miami even though the ML's are higher for the other two.But that's jmo.

i just worry that right now buffalo is borderline competent and den is beyond bad. Same is true for wash

Quote

12-14-2010 , 01:22 PM

#654

wamplerr

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2002 Posts: 1,233

Quote:

Originally Posted by chucky

i just worry that right now buffalo is borderline competent and den is beyond bad. Same is true for wash

Also, Dolphins host Detroit week 16.

Quote

12-14-2010 , 05:11 PM

#655

tiltymcfish0

veteran

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,210

Quote:

Originally Posted by wamplerr

Also, Dolphins host Detroit week 16.

this is exactly what tipped the scale for me in yet another close call this week

go Raiders

only one other left in the pool, he has Giants and Eagles still while I do not but guess who plays each other this week?

also they don't have great ending schedules and other poolie hates KISS so I have a shot gogogo

Quote

09-03-2011 , 05:40 PM

#656

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,309

Bump for the 2011 season! No, we are not creating a new thread!

NO @ GB (-4)
BUF @ KC (-6.5)
ATL @ CHI (+2.5)
IND @ HOU (-5.5)
TEN @ JAX (-3)
PHI @ STL (+4.5)
PIT @ BAL (-2.5)
DET @ TB (-1)
MIN @ SD (-9)
NYG @ WAS (+3)
CAR @ ARZ (-7)
SEA @ SF (-6)
DAL @ NYJ (-4.5)
NE @ MIA (+7)
OAK @ DEN (-3)

Chargers, Cardinals, Chiefs look solid, but I'm guessing the Texans will be the most popular pick this week given the possible injury concerns with Peyton Manning.

Quote

09-04-2011 , 01:14 PM

#657

mayday4379

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 1,733

I hate SD in Sept / Oct, so I'm staying away from that. I'm thinking AZR as they're going against a rookie QB in Week 1 and they won't be favored by this much again until maybe week 15

Quote

09-04-2011 , 04:10 PM

#658

MusicMan631

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 181

Kansas City Chiefs -6½
Philadelphia Eagles -4½
New York Giants -3
New England Patriots -7

Quote

09-04-2011 , 04:24 PM

#659

metsman82

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 1,672

My Survivor Rule that does quite well over the years..

1. Home Team
2. Superior QB Advantage

Week 1 - San Diego Chargers, are the only ones that qualify this week for me.

Quote

09-05-2011 , 10:37 AM

#660

Rawlz517

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 58,240

Quote:

Originally Posted by metsman82

My Survivor Rule that does quite well over the years..

1. Home Team
2. Superior QB Advantage

Week 1 - San Diego Chargers, are the only ones that qualify this week for me.

My formula as well. In a $100 league this year with 350+ entrants already. Run good one time?

Last edited by Rawlz517; 09-05-2011 at 10:37 AM. Reason: typos

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09-06-2011 , 03:52 PM

#661

r0llin_game

newbie

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 21

hope you lose ^

Quote

09-07-2011 , 01:16 AM

#662

Revis Island

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 349

the chargers always seem to start out slow, so i'm also staying away from them. right now i'm leaning toward the safe side and taking NE. there's just not much i'm seeing that i feel even 80% confident in.

Quote

09-07-2011 , 11:51 AM

#663

mulebennett

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 1,886

Quote:

Originally Posted by Revis Island

The safe side = taking a road team in a divisional game in Week 1?

Quote

09-07-2011 , 11:59 AM

#664

2AcesSuited

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 241

I know the texans are on the road week 1, but don't they appeal to anyone else going up against Collins?

Quote

09-07-2011 , 01:00 PM

#665

nyc999

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 18,660

How about Houston against a Peyton-less Indy?

Quote

09-07-2011 , 01:59 PM

#666

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,309

Quote:

Originally Posted by metsman82

My Survivor Rule that does quite well over the years..

1. Home Team
2. Superior QB Advantage

Week 1 - San Diego Chargers, are the only ones that qualify this week for me.

What about Houston at home against Indy. Schaub >> Collins.

Quote:

Originally Posted by 2AcesSuited

I know the texans are on the road week 1, but don't they appeal to anyone else going up against Collins?

Houston is at home, and yes, several others like this game too:

Quote:

Originally Posted by nyc999

How about Houston against a Peyton-less Indy?

Quote:

Originally Posted by accobra_kid

I'm guessing the Texans will be the most popular pick this week given the possible injury concerns with Peyton Manning.

I think I've pretty much settled on Houston as my week 1 survivor pick.

Quote

09-07-2011 , 02:56 PM

#667

h_ven

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 5,565

going w/ the Browns

Quote

09-08-2011 , 12:05 AM

#668

Revis Island

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 349

Quote:

Originally Posted by mulebennett

The safe side = taking a road team in a divisional game in Week 1?

I think I worded it kind of poorly. My point is it's the Patriots, Belichick will have that team ready to go right out of the gate. I like this pick a lot more than the Chargers who are notorious slow starters under Norm. Who else is out there as a big favorite? Arizona...eh, KC...eh, Cleveland...eh. I'm confident in the Patriots. I know some people like to save the "good" teams until later in the year, but the fact is you have to get there in the first place. That strategy has burned me many times.

Quote

09-08-2011 , 07:05 AM

#669

DoubleR90

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 546

Quote:

Originally Posted by h_ven

going w/ the Browns

same

Quote

09-08-2011 , 11:09 AM

#670

nyc999

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 18,660

Decided on NE, KC, Cleveland and Houston

Quote

09-08-2011 , 11:28 AM

#671

sixfour

should be called sevenfour

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 74,722

Quote:

Originally Posted by metsman82

My Survivor Rule that does quite well over the years..

1. Home Team
2. Superior QB Advantage

Week 1 - San Diego Chargers, are the only ones that qualify this week for me.

Panthers are away and anyone > Newton. Cards for me this week. Chargers can wait for their games at home to dolphins week 4, maybe bills week 14 as bears, packers, maybe even rams look good week 4

Quote

09-08-2011 , 12:30 PM

#672

MikeyObviously

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 3,266

I have two entries in one pool that allows you to pick teams as many times as you want.

I picked the chargers with both entries.

Quote

09-08-2011 , 02:00 PM

#673

mulebennett

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 1,886

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeyObviously

I have two entries in one pool that allows you to pick teams as many times as you want.

I picked the chargers with both entries.

WTF kind of survivor pool is that? You can just pick the Patriots 14 times if you want?

Quote

09-08-2011 , 02:33 PM

#674

nyc999

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 18,660

I'm in a similar league, with restrictions.

Weeks 1/2 - biggest point spread not available
Weeks 3/4 - 2 biggest point spreads not available
Weeks 5/6 - 3 biggest point spreads not available
Weeks 7+ - 4 biggest point spreads not available

Seems easy, but last year 70% of the teams were gone by week 5 (some crazy upsets) - there are 10K+ entries at $20 each, winner take all. I have 7 entries myself, and have made money every year by selling picks late in the season.

Quote

09-08-2011 , 03:06 PM

#675

avocat

enthusiast

Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 73

I'd really like to save SDC, but they seem like a lock at home. Rivers is going to throw over the heads of that short secondary all day.

HOU it is...

Quote

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