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Old 12-13-2010, 07:10 PM   #651
chucky
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

got cowboys/raiders/ dolphins all left. any suggestions?
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Old 12-14-2010, 02:01 AM   #652
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

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Originally Posted by chucky View Post
got cowboys/raiders/ dolphins all left. any suggestions?
Of those three I'd take Miami even though the ML's are higher for the other two.But that's jmo.
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Old 12-14-2010, 04:15 AM   #653
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

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Of those three I'd take Miami even though the ML's are higher for the other two.But that's jmo.
i just worry that right now buffalo is borderline competent and den is beyond bad. Same is true for wash
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Old 12-14-2010, 01:22 PM   #654
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

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i just worry that right now buffalo is borderline competent and den is beyond bad. Same is true for wash
Also, Dolphins host Detroit week 16.
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Old 12-14-2010, 05:11 PM   #655
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

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Originally Posted by wamplerr View Post
Also, Dolphins host Detroit week 16.
this is exactly what tipped the scale for me in yet another close call this week

go Raiders

only one other left in the pool, he has Giants and Eagles still while I do not but guess who plays each other this week?

also they don't have great ending schedules and other poolie hates KISS so I have a shot gogogo
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Old 09-03-2011, 05:40 PM   #656
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

Bump for the 2011 season! No, we are not creating a new thread!

NO @ GB (-4)
BUF @ KC (-6.5)
ATL @ CHI (+2.5)
IND @ HOU (-5.5)
TEN @ JAX (-3)
PHI @ STL (+4.5)
PIT @ BAL (-2.5)
DET @ TB (-1)
MIN @ SD (-9)
NYG @ WAS (+3)
CAR @ ARZ (-7)
SEA @ SF (-6)
DAL @ NYJ (-4.5)
NE @ MIA (+7)
OAK @ DEN (-3)

Chargers, Cardinals, Chiefs look solid, but I'm guessing the Texans will be the most popular pick this week given the possible injury concerns with Peyton Manning.
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Old 09-04-2011, 01:14 PM   #657
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

I hate SD in Sept / Oct, so I'm staying away from that. I'm thinking AZR as they're going against a rookie QB in Week 1 and they won't be favored by this much again until maybe week 15
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Old 09-04-2011, 04:10 PM   #658
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

Kansas City Chiefs -6
Philadelphia Eagles -4
New York Giants -3
New England Patriots -7
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Old 09-04-2011, 04:24 PM   #659
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

My Survivor Rule that does quite well over the years..

1. Home Team
2. Superior QB Advantage

Week 1 - San Diego Chargers, are the only ones that qualify this week for me.
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Old 09-05-2011, 10:37 AM   #660
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

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Originally Posted by metsman82 View Post
My Survivor Rule that does quite well over the years..

1. Home Team
2. Superior QB Advantage

Week 1 - San Diego Chargers, are the only ones that qualify this week for me.
My formula as well. In a $100 league this year with 350+ entrants already. Run good one time?

Last edited by Rawlz517; 09-05-2011 at 10:37 AM. Reason: typos
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Old 09-06-2011, 03:52 PM   #661
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

hope you lose ^
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Old 09-07-2011, 01:16 AM   #662
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

the chargers always seem to start out slow, so i'm also staying away from them. right now i'm leaning toward the safe side and taking NE. there's just not much i'm seeing that i feel even 80% confident in.
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Old 09-07-2011, 11:51 AM   #663
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

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Originally Posted by Revis Island View Post
the chargers always seem to start out slow, so i'm also staying away from them. right now i'm leaning toward the safe side and taking NE. there's just not much i'm seeing that i feel even 80% confident in.
The safe side = taking a road team in a divisional game in Week 1?
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Old 09-07-2011, 11:59 AM   #664
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

I know the texans are on the road week 1, but don't they appeal to anyone else going up against Collins?
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Old 09-07-2011, 01:00 PM   #665
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

How about Houston against a Peyton-less Indy?
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Old 09-07-2011, 01:59 PM   #666
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

Quote:
Originally Posted by metsman82 View Post
My Survivor Rule that does quite well over the years..

1. Home Team
2. Superior QB Advantage

Week 1 - San Diego Chargers, are the only ones that qualify this week for me.
What about Houston at home against Indy. Schaub >> Collins.

Quote:
Originally Posted by 2AcesSuited View Post
I know the texans are on the road week 1, but don't they appeal to anyone else going up against Collins?
Houston is at home, and yes, several others like this game too:

Quote:
Originally Posted by nyc999 View Post
How about Houston against a Peyton-less Indy?
Quote:
Originally Posted by accobra_kid View Post
I'm guessing the Texans will be the most popular pick this week given the possible injury concerns with Peyton Manning.
I think I've pretty much settled on Houston as my week 1 survivor pick.
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Old 09-07-2011, 02:56 PM   #667
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

going w/ the Browns
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Old 09-08-2011, 12:05 AM   #668
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

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The safe side = taking a road team in a divisional game in Week 1?
I think I worded it kind of poorly. My point is it's the Patriots, Belichick will have that team ready to go right out of the gate. I like this pick a lot more than the Chargers who are notorious slow starters under Norm. Who else is out there as a big favorite? Arizona...eh, KC...eh, Cleveland...eh. I'm confident in the Patriots. I know some people like to save the "good" teams until later in the year, but the fact is you have to get there in the first place. That strategy has burned me many times.
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Old 09-08-2011, 07:05 AM   #669
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

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Originally Posted by h_ven View Post
going w/ the Browns
same
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Old 09-08-2011, 11:09 AM   #670
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

Decided on NE, KC, Cleveland and Houston
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Old 09-08-2011, 11:28 AM   #671
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

Quote:
Originally Posted by metsman82 View Post
My Survivor Rule that does quite well over the years..

1. Home Team
2. Superior QB Advantage

Week 1 - San Diego Chargers, are the only ones that qualify this week for me.
Panthers are away and anyone > Newton. Cards for me this week. Chargers can wait for their games at home to dolphins week 4, maybe bills week 14 as bears, packers, maybe even rams look good week 4
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Old 09-08-2011, 12:30 PM   #672
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

I have two entries in one pool that allows you to pick teams as many times as you want.

I picked the chargers with both entries.
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Old 09-08-2011, 02:00 PM   #673
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

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Originally Posted by MikeyObviously View Post
I have two entries in one pool that allows you to pick teams as many times as you want.

I picked the chargers with both entries.
WTF kind of survivor pool is that? You can just pick the Patriots 14 times if you want?
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Old 09-08-2011, 02:33 PM   #674
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

I'm in a similar league, with restrictions.

Weeks 1/2 - biggest point spread not available
Weeks 3/4 - 2 biggest point spreads not available
Weeks 5/6 - 3 biggest point spreads not available
Weeks 7+ - 4 biggest point spreads not available

Seems easy, but last year 70% of the teams were gone by week 5 (some crazy upsets) - there are 10K+ entries at $20 each, winner take all. I have 7 entries myself, and have made money every year by selling picks late in the season.
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Old 09-08-2011, 03:06 PM   #675
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Re: NFL Survivor Picks

I'd really like to save SDC, but they seem like a lock at home. Rivers is going to throw over the heads of that short secondary all day.

HOU it is...
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