NFL Survivor Picks - Page 269 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

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08-28-2023 , 11:31 PM

#6701

raiders72001

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 95

Quote:

Originally Posted by cokeboy99

Speaking of survivor, any thoughts on week 1? I see a few decent options. Baltimore looks good, maybe KC. Thoughts?

I may go Washington to save Baltimore and KC for later.

Quote

08-29-2023 , 10:06 AM

#6702

Rawlz517

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 58,244

I don’t like to advance to week 2 so I’m heavily considering Denver in week 1

Quote

08-30-2023 , 03:58 PM

#6703

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

In no particular order, I like Atlanta, Chicago, Denver, New Orleans, Minnesota, Seattle and Washington for the pools that I'm playing in. Some have double picks later in the season, some are standard single pick pools.

Quote

09-01-2023 , 04:04 PM

#6704

raiders72001

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 95

Arizona tanking the season. I have to take Washington.

Released week 1 starting QB McCoy and 4 other players that may have played a role.

2024 draft choices
2 firsts. Own and Hou
1 second. Own
3 thirds
1 4th
3 5th

Quote

09-03-2023 , 04:09 PM

#6705

raiders72001

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 95

For the Nitrobetting pools there's no house take and guys will miss putting picks in.

Quote

09-06-2023 , 02:34 PM

#6706

Onlydo2days

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 19,305

Does the nitro look still the same? That really soured me on it last year. Just so difficult to see so many basic things that the regular sites provide.

Might do 1-2 there for kicks though

Quote

09-07-2023 , 11:45 PM

#6707

DuckU

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,358

Quote:

Originally Posted by cokeboy99

Speaking of survivor, any thoughts on week 1? I see a few decent options. Baltimore looks good, maybe KC. Thoughts?

Baltimore over KC, but more likely to take Washington, Minnesota, Denver, and Atlanta. Also, seriously considering Seattle...

Taking future values into consideration, and fact that Baltimore will be top pick most survivor pools week 1.

Good luck to all.

Quote

09-07-2023 , 11:53 PM

#6708

DuckU

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,358

Quote:

Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk

I like all your picks except Chicago and New Orleans, going to steer clear of those two games.

Denver, Seattle, & Minnesota are probably best value in week 1.

Any thoughts on who to take in loser survivor pool, with insurance through week 4?

I've always respected your picks and generally come on this thread to see who you like. Thanks.

Quote

09-10-2023 , 01:28 PM

#6709

Moneyline

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 3,287

Went with Washington and Minnesota in all my pools.

I don't see any better opportunities to take those teams this year... hopefully they're not too publics (and they win

)

GL this season everyone!

Quote

09-10-2023 , 10:00 PM

#6710

Rawlz517

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 58,244

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rawlz517

I don’t like to advance to week 2 so I’m heavily considering Denver in week 1

Thank **** I pivoted to Washington in both spots.

Quote

09-10-2023 , 11:27 PM

#6711

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuckU

Appreciate the kind words, DuckU.

I liked Chicago specifically for a 20K+ entry pool with (5) 2x weeks. I only took them there. 40 entries for me and lost them ALL. Oops! Took Denver in that one too. Didn't take any New Orleans.

Advanced 3/66 entries with Atlanta.

Quote

09-10-2023 , 11:33 PM

#6712

sheetsworld

veteran

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 2,811

I went 20% Wash 20% Atl 20% Minn 20% Seat 20% Denver across a whole littany of pools. Actually a little less ATL because there is one pool which requires doubles in week 5 so I had to save atl for that one.

40% still remain

Quote

09-13-2023 , 02:15 PM

#6713

raiders72001

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 95

I'm going Buffalo week 2.

Quote

09-13-2023 , 02:37 PM

#6714

cokeboy99

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 1,778

I'm looking at Philadelphia. Short week, at home, against a Vikings team that looked pedestrian. I think Philly is a good choice. Buffalo isn't a bad choice either, I just feel like they will have spots down the road.

Quote

09-13-2023 , 09:55 PM

#6715

raiders72001

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 95

I could be out next week but logged these in to make sure I don't forget.

Quote

09-13-2023 , 10:02 PM

#6716

cokeboy99

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 1,778

I decided to go with 1 Buffalo, 1 Philly in my 2 pools.

Quote

09-15-2023 , 04:47 PM

#6717

Rawlz517

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 58,244

Locked in Denver. Maybe a bit FPS but both my pool are rather large where it's almost guaranteed you need to go the full 18 weeks. Gonna need these butt-clinching picks eventually.

Quote

09-15-2023 , 07:10 PM

#6718

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,745

Lost week 1 in a rebuy pool. Went to rebuy and make a pick yesterday afternoon, but stupid Commish locked rebuys as of Noon EST. Make it make sense.

Quote

09-16-2023 , 08:00 AM

#6719

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

NYG is my favorite pick by a wide margin this week. Little/no playability remainder of the season. After that, I like Detroit.

Only have 3 of my starting 66 entries remaining. Partner and I are going to start increasing variance now to catch up on larger portfolio opponents. We're going (2) Tampa Bay & (1) Denver.

Quote

09-17-2023 , 08:34 AM

#6720

kdog

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,864

Quote:

Originally Posted by raiders72001

I'm going Buffalo week 2.

Mostly Bills for me too. Giants in the rest.

Quote

09-17-2023 , 12:12 PM

#6721

Rawlz517

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 58,244

Went Denver in both spots. GL all.

Quote

09-17-2023 , 07:46 PM

#6722

Moneyline

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 3,287

I went AI on the Giants. When I first checked the score it was 28-7 and I was pouting about losing all my pools in week 2.

I just saw the score and feel like I hit a 1 outer on the river.

Lots of big chalk next week and imo no obvious pick. I'll probably just spread the risk out on a bunch of them. GL all.

Quote

09-19-2023 , 08:02 PM

#6723

cokeboy99

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 1,778

Going with Kansas City for my 3 pools for week 3.

Quote

09-19-2023 , 08:19 PM

#6724

cokeboy99

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 1,778

One of my survivor pools has an optional re-entry if you lose in the first 6 weeks. If by some chance I haven't lost in the first 5 weeks, should I burn a team i would otherwise not use to save a premium team and just use my re-entry? Or am I overthinking the strategy?

Quote

09-20-2023 , 12:57 AM

#6725

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,745

Quote:

Originally Posted by cokeboy99

If you have to buy back in at 100% probably not.
All things being equal you probably just take LAR on week 6 and rebuy if they lose. Of course if your whole pool has that same logic could be some value in fading them, hoping they lose and the prize pool effectively doubles.

Quote

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