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Originally Posted by Onlydo2days
Do you ever hedge by betting moneylines after gaining so much equity? In these massive fields some of those entries gotta be worth a ton.
Down to 17. We have 2 entries.
It can get pretty dicey as you get upside down VERY quickly in ML bets when your Survivor team keeps winning and when you don't hit your middles taking the spread and your team advances.
You can "hedge" by takin the ML parlay or straight up on the the picked teams that haven't played yet that week AFTER you have already won. This week I considered 2-team ML parlay on San Francisco & Philadelphia. I passed. 5 were on San Francisco & 2 were on Philadelphia. These too you can get upside down, but when if you win the first one and your team advances you can bet more aggressively on these hedges.
The best on by far is when you've already won your game and all the remaining players are the same team yet to play. Can be amazing opportunities here. In Circa last year, on the Christmas slate (3-games), one player WON on Thursday by taking the underdog, first game on Christmas was an upset and no one advanced. The last game was Green Bay vs Cleveland. NO ONE had Cleveland. The player through had the super nut perfect spot - as long as he has the means to get a lot of money down. Think 8 or so were on Green Bay. Watch how the game ended and you'll cry for him. Not sure if he ended up winning or not. 6 MILLION and it ended up being chopped 7 ways.
Amazing hedge spot there. Lot of things you can do including laying down more $$$ on in game if more favorable lines come up.
My partner and I are taking 2 Baltimore this week. LFG