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10-23-2022 , 03:36 PM
We both took TB in the big Nitro pool.

CHOP IT UP.
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10-23-2022 , 08:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sheetsworld
We both took TB in the big Nitro pool.



CHOP IT UP.
Not a bad result. Grats.
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10-23-2022 , 11:24 PM
So you two split the 4.8?

congrats on that
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10-24-2022 , 02:34 AM
Looks like an overlay in the midseason Nitro with all the TB going down. Still open to take NE.
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10-24-2022 , 08:07 AM
Had to sweat it out to the near max with Miami, but I got through with everything. Another amazing early slate of games that went my way. I was split between Las Vegas and Miami right down the middle. Running so pure this year. will more than double my equity with a New England loss tonight.

Regardless, I have super strong entries remaining in everything. Next 4 weeks have the key teams you need and also want to have for later in the season and I have all of them available in everything - Baltimore, Buffalo, Kansas City & Philadelphia. I have Minnesota 100% available as well.
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10-24-2022 , 10:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk
Had to sweat it out to the near max with Miami, but I got through with everything. Another amazing early slate of games that went my way. I was split between Las Vegas and Miami right down the middle. Running so pure this year. will more than double my equity with a New England loss tonight.

Regardless, I have super strong entries remaining in everything. Next 4 weeks have the key teams you need and also want to have for later in the season and I have all of them available in everything - Baltimore, Buffalo, Kansas City & Philadelphia. I have Minnesota 100% available as well.
LFG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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10-24-2022 , 11:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk
Had to sweat it out to the near max with Miami, but I got through with everything. Another amazing early slate of games that went my way. I was split between Las Vegas and Miami right down the middle. Running so pure this year. will more than double my equity with a New England loss tonight.

Regardless, I have super strong entries remaining in everything. Next 4 weeks have the key teams you need and also want to have for later in the season and I have all of them available in everything - Baltimore, Buffalo, Kansas City & Philadelphia. I have Minnesota 100% available as well.
Wow, strong entry and amazing result tonight for you with the Bears win. Best of luck in the coming weeks!
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10-25-2022 , 12:02 AM
Ran so pure last 2 weeks. These are our remaining entries in Circa. Super strong. I do this with 2 friends. 2 of us have 40% but Frank is an equal NL voting partner. I hope they’re in the gambling mood, because I want to gamble and keep those top teams for later
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10-30-2022 , 11:05 PM
Got through in my one remaining hybrid pool with Philly. No great shakes as all others advanced as well. Down to 100.
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10-31-2022 , 08:42 AM
Went for it and Circa and managed to be the only entries eliminated (Indianapolis & Jacksonville). That was just so painful. Decided to drop now, rather than later, to keep the strongest available teams for rest of the way and it didn't work out. No regrets. Week 14 going to be wild in Circa as most players will have used Buffalo & Dallas by then since they both play on the Thanksgiving slate.

Lost 3/4 entries taking the same teams above in a pool with 2x picks in 12 & 13. My entries would've been super nutty. I got 1 through with Philadelphia.

We have 3//25 entries remaining in a standard single pick pool. Went with 2 Philadelphia & 1 Buffalo. 1 person lost in that with Indianapolis and 3 slipped through with Atlanta.

That was the worst day of football I've ever watched. It was miserable start to finish.

fin
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11-10-2022 , 09:24 AM
Still alive after another crazy week. My partner and I have 3 of the 23 remaining entries left. We've won this pool 2 times before. 2 Las Vegas & 1 Kansas City.

Taking Las Vegas in my other pool with 2x picks in 12 & 13.

If you have Philadelphia remaining, SAVE them for 11 (unless you have Cincinnati available). Even still, SAVE them anyway if it's likely your pool will go to at least Week 16
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11-13-2022 , 08:08 PM
Had Vegas today. Oh well!
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11-14-2022 , 01:09 AM
Lost my last entry with 100ish remaining out of 21K on Las Vegas. We had 2x picks in 12 & 13. Would've had Baltimore next week and one of the best 13 - 17s runouts remaining. Blah

Down to 19 from 23 in last pool remaining. My partner and I lost 1 on Atlanta. We went conservative and went 2 Kansas City. Our entries are among the best remaining, but there's several that are very strong as well

Go Baltimore next week!
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11-14-2022 , 09:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk
Lost my last entry with 100ish remaining out of 21K on Las Vegas. We had 2x picks in 12 & 13. Would've had Baltimore next week and one of the best 13 - 17s runouts remaining. Blah

Down to 19 from 23 in last pool remaining. My partner and I lost 1 on Atlanta. We went conservative and went 2 Kansas City. Our entries are among the best remaining, but there's several that are very strong as well

Go Baltimore next week!
Do you ever hedge by betting moneylines after gaining so much equity? In these massive fields some of those entries gotta be worth a ton.
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11-15-2022 , 05:30 PM
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Originally Posted by Onlydo2days
Do you ever hedge by betting moneylines after gaining so much equity? In these massive fields some of those entries gotta be worth a ton.
Down to 17. We have 2 entries.

It can get pretty dicey as you get upside down VERY quickly in ML bets when your Survivor team keeps winning and when you don't hit your middles taking the spread and your team advances.

You can "hedge" by takin the ML parlay or straight up on the the picked teams that haven't played yet that week AFTER you have already won. This week I considered 2-team ML parlay on San Francisco & Philadelphia. I passed. 5 were on San Francisco & 2 were on Philadelphia. These too you can get upside down, but when if you win the first one and your team advances you can bet more aggressively on these hedges.

The best on by far is when you've already won your game and all the remaining players are the same team yet to play. Can be amazing opportunities here. In Circa last year, on the Christmas slate (3-games), one player WON on Thursday by taking the underdog, first game on Christmas was an upset and no one advanced. The last game was Green Bay vs Cleveland. NO ONE had Cleveland. The player through had the super nut perfect spot - as long as he has the means to get a lot of money down. Think 8 or so were on Green Bay. Watch how the game ended and you'll cry for him. Not sure if he ended up winning or not. 6 MILLION and it ended up being chopped 7 ways.

Amazing hedge spot there. Lot of things you can do including laying down more $$$ on in game if more favorable lines come up.

My partner and I are taking 2 Baltimore this week. LFG
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11-28-2022 , 10:14 PM
Looks like everyone that has posted in this thread has lost ALL of their entries in all survivor pools. There would have been more 'bragging' going on but the thread is dead.
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11-30-2022 , 02:19 PM
16 remaining. We have 2 entries. Here comes the brag. My partner have won this exact pool 2 times in the past (5-way chop and play for the rest and won & 2 way TIE for 1st)

Taking Seattle for sure. Taking Cleveland or Dallas in the other. We have Dallas AVAILABLE in both and Buffalo in 1. Green Bay AVAILABLE in BOTH looking pretty now in 15 with 2 other entries having Green Bay as well.
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12-02-2022 , 01:12 AM
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Originally Posted by RidePolaris
Looks like everyone that has posted in this thread has lost ALL of their entries in all survivor pools. There would have been more 'bragging' going on but the thread is dead.
I got owned on Raiders/Colts when Ryan ended up starting.

I still advise a few of my friends that are still live in their work type leagues, but paydays obviously fairly small. Low 4 figs.
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01-14-2023 , 05:19 PM
Made it all the way through and into the playoffs. This it the 3rd time my partner and I have made it to this stage of this particular. Previous times we chopped end of the season and we won the rest that was played for (thanks to Russell Wilson INT on the goal line!) and were HU going into the playoffs (chopped for the maximum allowed - lol we were forced to play for 80K lololol) but we agreed to choose identical teams because we knew each other and New Orleans lost in 1st Round to end it.

We chopped out a 19K per entry after Week 16 and there's still 4 left and playing for 200,000. Teams RESET. You can only take each time 1 time (unless you did NOT take that team during the regular season - but that will NOT come into play as all the top teams have been used by everyone)

2 of our opponents have picked with a similar strategy to ours - 1 in particular, but even still we decided to pick the team that was least likely to be picked amongst Buffalo, Cincinnati & San Francisco. We think Cincinnati will be the most popular team in this format, then Buffalo and finally San Francisco. I love both Buffalo and San Francisco but San Francisco feels to have the highest potential EV but the results of the other games could put us in the biggest bind. We'll see. Hope my opponents aren't thinking the same way - I'm worried one in particular will.

Go 49ers!
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01-15-2023 , 02:17 PM
ALL opponents (3) took Cincinnati. LFG
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08-27-2023 , 05:33 AM
Nitrobetting running a lot of pools this year, over $100k guaranteed.
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08-27-2023 , 08:28 AM
Draft Kings $100 pool guarantees at least $1 million. Two weeks to go but there's a huge overlay right now.
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08-28-2023 , 09:48 AM
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Originally Posted by raiders72001
Nitrobetting running a lot of pools this year, over $100k guaranteed.
They used to have 1 btc and 0.3 entry pools. Seems the biggest now is 0.07 btc.
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08-28-2023 , 10:36 AM
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Originally Posted by housenuts
They used to have 1 btc and 0.3 entry pools. Seems the biggest now is 0.07 btc.
I remember the 1 BTC. The .07 is a little more that $1800 entry fee. Hopefully a lot more come the end of the season. I'll probably pick a few of the smaller pools with a lot of multiple entries.
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08-28-2023 , 12:37 PM
Speaking of survivor, any thoughts on week 1? I see a few decent options. Baltimore looks good, maybe KC. Thoughts?
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