Congratulations!

I’m really upset I used GB yesterday over TEN. I think having GB for my final 3 stack would have helped me a lot.

Looking at either:

KCvsDEN
NOvsTEN
LARvsARI

or

NYGvsMIA
KCvsCHI
NOvsCAR

Which are you all thinking? NYG vs MIA seems scary but nobody will have NO in week 17 almost everybody will probably be on LAR

Or OAKvsJAX instead of NYG as an option for the second

The Bukafax upload a spread sheet, or copy and past it, once have result of who is left. It should be easy to calculate best plays based on who has who left. I don't think almost everyone will be on Rams because 38% of people had taken them already on the sheet you posted. There is a decent handful that still has Patriots too. It is hard for me to go deeper predicting their paths though because all the data is an image. If have it in a method can sort it and work with it, it will be easier to figure out.

I can get you the sheet when he releases it! Should be out on Tuesday would be a big help!

I’m currently between OAK, TB or NYG for this week I believe. 538 has NO@TEN in week 16 as a 51 percenter. Didn’t realize it was going to be that close.

Much better choices than Kansas City or New Orleans in 16.

Atlanta, LAC, Indianapolis, Denver

You have at least 3 of them available I’m sure

Kansas City in 15 for sure. Don’t get too fancy. Not that many have them anyways. Easily highest EV pick available for you in 15. That or New Orleans

Yeah after thinking more about it I’m looking at TB or KC this week. Plan is to use NO in 17 as I should be the only one to have them.

The spreadsheet got released about an hour ago but I’m at work without a PC to save the file. So I’ll put the up when I’m off.

SurvivorGrid says my best options are KC or NO both at 1.08 EV. KC has the better matchup for Week 17 being at home so NO might be the choice this week.

I see that Atlanta looking to be a pretty big favorite in 16. Seattle will be a bigger favorite, but I won't nitpick. I'll chop at even.

Screenshot your pick and I'll follow suit and do the same? Does that work for you?

We both have Oakland - biggest available favorite for each of us. We can take Atlanta or Indianapolis - whoever is higher favored in 16.

LAR in 17

Let me know

Bravejayhawk - just FYI I’ll probably go Raiders (not NYG) this week in the pool where we are HU as long as the lines don’t move from where they are now

Lol at that timing. Are you saying lock in the next 3 picks now or one week at a time?

I want us both to be comfortable. 1 week at a time

We can lock that in whenever you want. I check the thread several times a day

Works for me. Just locked Oakland in https://imgur.com/a/JUhFcsb

Actually, if you want to lock them in now. I'll do that too. I won't change my mind on this deal if the spreads change, but locking them all in now makes that 100% impossible

Your choice. Let me know

Either way works for me - will do whichever you prefer

Let’s lock rest out. Both Atlanta? Then LAR?

I trust you - just locked them in. https://imgur.com/a/9o5kk7M

gg!

Lots of winners in this thread

Survivor Grid is pretty much worthless at this point. The pick percentages can be better calculated using your specific pool, and we can get more accurate week 16 lines elsewhere. Week 17 a lot will change.

Ive uploaded the pool. https://easyupload.io/kr9dkr

The guy at the top has a strike left, while everybody else has lost their strike. Im Lukas Allan and the people with red were eliminated last week. Idk why he leaves them in for an extra week.

NO is your highest EV pick by far. OAK is the second highest. KC will be heavily picked (way higher than Survivor says), and those not picking them mostly have bigger favorites available, except two. There are 2 entries that have no 6-point+ favorite available at all, so if you go down deep you could end up paired with them. If was me I'd go NO for sure and let something else open week 17.

LAR still is WAY WAY on the table for you Week 17 too. 9 of 18 have used them. Of the 9 who haven't 4 still have NE (and might not use before) and one has BAL. So 5 have with a bigger favorite than LAR - leaving 4 it is the highest favorite for (as of predicted lines now). One of them is you so that means 3 others. Of those 3, 2 will be on KC and one on OAK this week. (None has any other picks that is a 6+ point favorite to choose from). so it could be even less with you on LAR the final week if any of them get eliminated this week. Though some could use NE earlier but both have a pick available this week, and 2 of those 4 have SEA in Week 16, so most probably keep those as Week 17.

Also if KC has anything still on the line Week 17, you have them as a possible Week 17 option too.

I'd take NOR this week and hope KC loses. This is way your highest EV pick.

Week 16 you have IND, DEN, ATL and maybe KC as options