With 9 weeks left there are going to be upsets abound. You may not see a clear path but the upset gods will help you see the light.

with the Dolphins, Skins, Jets, Bengals and Falcons all actively trying to out-idiot each other, it's going to be hard to have eliminations IMO. too many options of mediocre teams playing really shitty teams for the masses to choose from.

just look at the point differentials
Dolphins: -161 (7 games)
Jets: -107 (7 games)
Skins: -96 (8 games)
Bengals: -86 (8 games)
Falcons: -85 (8 games)

granted, 161 through 7 games has got to be historically bad. 23 pts/gm they're losing by. but really my point is teams that are losing by an average of 10 pts or more are typically not winning many games in general. i'd be surprised if they had 8 wins combined by the end of the season and they already have 3 and there are 4 games where 2 of these team play each other, so they're basically 7 wins guaranteed from today to the end of the season.

All it takes is 1 or 2 wins by those teams to thin the field in a massive way. Obviously it looks like it’s going to be safe for everybody to just bet against those teams. People are going to get burned though. Late in the season bad teams find a way to rip a win or two off.

The Bills were very close to losing to the Dolphins.

Doesn't every season have five teams that have less than two wins after Week 8? This doesn't seem unusual.

Through week 8 standings teams with 2 wins or less

2019:
Jets: 1-7
Dolphins: 0-7
Browns: 2-5
Bengals: 0-8
Broncos: 2-6
Giants: 2-6
Skins: 1-7
Bucs: 2-5
Falcons: 1-7

11-58 (15.9%)
Average wins = 1.22

2018
Bills: 2-6
Giants: 1-7
Raiders: 1-6
9ers: 1-7
Browns: 2-5-1

7-31-1 (19%)
Average wins = 1.4

2017
Browns: 0-8
9res: 0-8
Colts: 2-6
Giants: 1-6
Bucs: 2-5

5-33 (13.2%)
Average wins = 1

2016
Browns: 0-8
Jags: 2-5
Bears: 2-6
Panthers: 2-5
9ers: 1-6

7-30 (18.9%)
Average wins = 1.4

2015
Browns: 2-6
Titans: 1-6
Chargers: 2-6
Cowboys: 2-5
Lions: 1-7
9ers: 2-6

10-36 (21.7%)
Average wins = 1.66

2014
Jets: 1-7
Jags: 1-7
Raiders: 0-7
Bucs: 1-6
Rams: 2-5

5-32 (13.5%)
Average wins = 1

2013
Steelers: 2-5
Texans: 2-5
Jags: 0-8
Skins: 2-5
Giants:2-6
Vikings: 1-6
Falcons: 2-5
Bucs: 0-7

11-47 (19%)
Average wins = 1.38

2012
Browns: 2-6
Jags: 1-6
Chiefs: 1-6
Saints: 2-5
Panthers: 1-6

7-29 (19.4%)
Average wins = 1.4

2011
Dolphins: 0-7
Colts: 0-8
Broncos: 2-5 (and won the division)
Vikings: 2-6
Panthers: 2-6
Seahawks: 2-5
Cardinals: 1-6
Rams: 1-6

10-49 (16.9%)
Average wins = 1.25

2010
Bills: 0-7
Browns: 2-5
Bengals: 2-5
Broncos: 2-6
Cowboys: 1-6
Lions: 2-5
Vikings: 2-5
Panthers: 1-6
9ers: 2-6

14-51 (21.5%)
Average wins = 1.55

this season seems a little outlier-ish consider it has 9 teams with 2 or fewer wins compared to the past 10 season, the only other with 9 teams would be 2010, but most of those teams had 2 wins.

I think the Dolphins are historically bad, and teams are actively tanking where in the past even bad teams would try to win.

front offices are tanking but the players and coaches are still trying to win

i believe this to be true.

Later in the season as the draft order becomes clearer we will see more wins from bottom barrel teams.

So was that all out blitz at the end of the 1st half incompetence or tanking?

I really think the coaching staff is taking way too much heat for the all out blitz. Pitt was on the edge of FG range and the QB was a disaster, holding the ball for way too long in the pocket every snap. To back off and give them a short pass and a probable FG to bring it to within 1 score is not 100% optimal, and I do believe people are being a tad results oriented in their assessment.

I certainly don't think it was an incompetent call, nor one trying to lose. The Kenyan Drake horror show 2 pt attempt a few weeks ago tho.....hmmm

I don't really have any good option other than the 49ers this week, but that was sort of by my own design/planning.

Well that’s how you tank. You sign bad players and get rid of the good ones.

I’m on Buffalo used SF vs Washington. I’m assuming it will be another week where we don’t lose anyone. This will be a week where Dolphins win and no blood is drawn.

Where did you guys find your pools? I want to sign up for a bunch of them.

Besides on Nitrogen, I mean.

Thanks.

Pm me next year, I’m in 3 pretty big ones.

47k
125k
90k

Are the prizes.

Will do thanks

What are the entries for those prize pools?

Yeah, I'm interested in some non-nitro pools for next year. Prefer a higher buy-in, but open to any. I'll PM next year Eddy.

SF seems like a layup here. Any thoughts?

going to gamble it up and take carolina in the .1btc

To SF or not SF that is the question.

Leaning towards fading them

Fade game strong. No niners. Go cards!

8/27 on SF in .03

10/29 on sf in 0.1, i faded them and dont have buf, not sure wtf im going to do

Not good at all