Yup now it's looking like loading up on BAL with some sprinkles of Car and Hou

Point well taken. last two years, I've chopped 2nd in my pool. Both years I went out late on the Pats.

That said, I'm never taking them in Miami, the only place where Brady loses more often than he wins.

I’m liking HOU this week. I fear a Watson injury is coming behind that putrid Oline. The Texans will become unusable if that happens.

This is the same sentiment I have about Cam moving forward.

Would really be interested in an update for this week, BJ.

Anyone dare consider Cleveland if Darnold and Bell are out?

This particular pool locks on Thursday for Week 1 and then Saturday at 8 PM CST starting in Week 2.

...

In pools that I do by myself, I'm 100% Baltimore in the entries I didn't take them in Week 1. They have some other attractive plays this season (4 & 15 particularly), but Week 6 is the reason I'm going ALLIN on them in 2.

As of now, the best plays in 6 are New England then Baltimore. I won't be using New England in anything until Week 8. Preferably, I want to save them for 15-17.

There's no way I'll take Baltimore in 6 if they are the 2nd highest favorite (that's what they are now). If I'm not taking them then, I'm going to use them now.

Things can change quickly - I know. Just last week, my partner and I loved Baltimore in 1, because it seemed impossible we'd ever take them in 2. At that time, Baltimore was a 8ish (?) point favorite. We weren't going to touch them. Now it's my favorite pick for the week.

Taking Carolina & Houston for the rest of my picks. Like Carolina over Houston, because Houston is likely better to have left over Carolina down the stretch.

Have 2 pools with my partner. 5 entries in 1 and 10 in the other. Got through will all last week. Pretty sure, we're on the same page and will be doing the same with those as described above.

*** Clifs ***

Baltimore is the nuts [even though they'll be heavily picked]
Carolina > Houston
Save New England

Feel like taking Chiefs is playing it way too cute. Yeah their pick % is a lot lower than Carolina & Houston, but they will have amazing plays in 13 & 15

Didn’t know about this at time of my post. Cleveland definitely a potential play


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Darnold is out. Bell maybe.

Browns went from 2.5 to 6.5 pt faves

32% on patriots
27% on ravens
17% on texans

in my pool that closes thursday afternoons

I'm not looking to take KC, but I don't think they'll be runaway good plays in W13 and 15 either. People are gonna save them for those weeks. They're not very big favorites in any upcoming games.

I'm not sure you'll get much better a spot to use NE. They're not gonna be any higher picked in W6 than today. And there's no way you can use them in W8 and not here imo (even at only 2% usage in W8 they'd be lower EV than today).

Taking Carolina in ~25% of my entries. Will decide rest on Sunday.

I see a lot of FPS ITT... CLE last week... CAR & HOU this week. Just take the free Ws while you can.

NE could have home field wrapped up by week 15 at this rate.

Took Carolina in 2 out of 3 of my pools ��

hope user 189 went AIPF w car

Based on his week 1, I'm guessing he went on 5-7 teams with 18-25 on each. Carolina would definitely be one them.

Didn’t Cleveland lose last week? Free Ws? You’re 0-2. I almost feel compelled to take the Jags based on this post alone

Yeah looks like every 6th pick is Carolina so probably splitting evenly between six most favored teams.

FPS is fancy play syndrome. HTH.

I guess the sarcasm didn’t come through my swarmy comment

Almost 8k posts and you think I don’t know what FPS means... want to explain what an OMC is next?

Apparently not enough posts to get what he was saying.

I’ll chalk that up to reading in the middle of the night

Nothing about how Houston played last week makes me confident in taking them. I think we just pick on Miami and ARZ as much we can until we figure out who wants to be good. Jacksonville is pulling the upset this week.

Can't figure out why what should be the better defense (JAX) is getting > TD, but then they are a very binary team. Either they rally around backup QB in a division game or they revert to last year's form and let internal strife tank their season.

I agree on picking on MIA until they turn it around a bit or don't play a good team (week 6, off a bye, at home vs. WAS). AZ is bad, but more of an unknown with new coach/QB, and at least they are trying (I expect MIA to try more than week 1 though). The desert is also more of HFA imo.

I would if I knew what an OMC was.