Quote:
Originally Posted by imjosh
i didn't say they were perennially good, i said they were a consensus good team. Most power rankings have them in the top 5 (consensus). Detroit & Baltimore otoh are ranked closer to middle of the pack heading into week 1. I'm not in a league where there's double picks required so i don't really want to pick a team that might be in the bottom half of the NFL. Sure the Saints could be bad but it's less likely
True, I misread that.
Detroit is also something like 1/3rd the ownership of the Saints and has no future value though.
I just think people make the mistake of "trying to stay alive" in these things rather than make the +EV plays. I know because I've done it. Didn't really start looking at this stuff the way JayHawk does until mid last year.
yeah, it sucks going the Detroit Lions. 1 of the NFL joke franchises. But that is precisely why they're 10% owned and B'More is 25% owned despite their win probabilities being 2% apart.