Quote:
Originally Posted by DuckU
Anyway, I'd appreciate any suggestions or thoughts regarding Week 8 and who to pick to lose. I'm leaning toward San Diego at New England. Pats seem to be figuring out how to play with players they have and getting better or Denver at Kansas City.
As an obsessive Chiefs fan, I would recommend avoiding a pool situation where you need the Chiefs to win. The Chief defense is HORRIBLE - here are some things to consider:
-The Chiefs play a soft dime, essentially a prevent with two down lineman and a three-man rush, as their base defense. It's probably the worst scheme I've ever seen. The result is the worst run defense in the whole league - it's just 4-8 yards every carry, as many times as the offense wants it.
-They can't tackle for ****. The Chiefs' leading tackler is a freaking cornerback. Their every down starting MLB plays like he's in his mid 30's on two rebuilt Achilles...because he is.
-Despite having 8 in coverage on almost every play, by playing 10+ yards off-man coverage on the reg, the Chiefs basically concede all short to intermediate passing routes. Just real basic pitch and catch plays are enough for unstoppable, long drives. Just find anything in your playbook that has slants, or hooks, or crossing routes and it's a free 9 yards anytime you want it.
-The Chiefs have made an art form out of giving up long desperation passes. You can basically just throw up lazy jump balls way downfield and you're unstoppable to the Chiefs, as their secondary badly lacks ball skills. The Texans' did exactly this in the 2nd half of their game. Raiders too. At first we thought these were lucky/fluke plays, but no, the Chiefs just can't defend a 50/50 ball.
-The Chiefs have no pass rush. A lot of this is due to the aforementioned two down lineman / three rushers defensive scheme, which also puts their only decent pass rusher, Justin Houston, into coverage a ridiculous 25% of all plays. You may remember Justin Houston covering Antonio Brown on the reg in that playoff game where the Chiefs got eliminated - turns out that was a feature, not a bug. Zero sacks all game is what you get.
The end result is a defense that gave up well over FIVE HUNDRED yards to a Raiders team that was on the verge of being de-facto eliminated by week 7.
I expect the Bronco defense to shut the Chief offense down, much like the Steelers were able to, while the Bronco offense FIGURES IT OUT, punting maybe twice all game and scoring every other drive. Final score: Broncos 32 Chiefs 16.