36% of my big dumb public pool currently has the Steelers in week 5. That's too much. Treating the NFL like college to think that the Steelers are so good that they provide that much equity beyond being the team everyone is taking.

Meanwhile in that Giants/Chargers game, Eli is gonna be facing Melvin Ingram and Joey Bosa. He may or may not make it through the whole game. Gonna be ugly. Sure Rivers is liable to throw three picks to lose the game before the 4th quarter starts, but if he doesn't, then you're out of your pool and thanks for coming out, couldn't have done it without ya.

Faulkner won a Pulitzer Prize for A Fable and it isn't widely considered in his top five novels. He was a true genius the likes of which the world usually doesn't see outside of 19th century Russia. And what a boss's boss - dude wanted to fly fighter planes in WW1 but the USAF told him he didn't meet their physical requirements so he wasn't eligible...so instead of giving up he fled to Canada, faked Canadian citizenship, and joined their air force. Big time boss.

This week isn't particularly fun.

In 6 pools, I've used Philly in 4 of them.

I will probably diversify between Pit/Phi/NYG. Nothing fancy. Don't particularly like the choices because there really aren't many good options.

I'm thinking mostly Pitt and 1 Vikings for leverage if I get an indication Bradford could play.

Also think Chi winning last year vs Minn on MNF when Vikes were at like 40-50% ownership could steer people off them as well.

edit: Wouldn't mind using Cincy but they have a lot of value in 12

According to Yahoo:

Steelers 35%
Eagles 29%

Feels like you almost have to pick NYG as much as I don't want to. Will probably work in some Pitt also.

Not much else looks practical to me, maybe Cincinnati but I'd rather save them I think. I guess Minnesota is in play if they end up being -4 or something.

My pool's down to 23 entries, i'm taking the Eagles this week.

I'm in 6 pools and considering a full on 6 team splash diversification.

Got Pitts in the 5 man
Philly in the 23
And then spray and pray on the other 4 which are all 100+

My pool is down to 68, and 31 of those have already picked the Steelers, so I'm tempted to go with herd, though The Vikings are tempting.

Pool locks at 5 PM tomorrow, so my decision may go down to the wire.

Going with Philly or Giants probably. Have a number of pools to deal with so will have some other teams sprinkled in like the Bengals.

I started out trying to save NE for future value. Now I'm thinking that week 12 v. Miami might be their only slot. It might all be over by week 17 v. nyj.

Large (1400+) survivor pool, already down to 390 left. Can pick any game, any team. Not sure why the Pitt line is so big. They lost to ****ing Mike Glennon. I have 1 team in. Anyone think PHI is better play?

If everyone is your pool is gonna pick Pitt, then yes Philly or really anyone else is the better play.

Philly is definitely a good play. Unfortunately, I already used them.

Going with the Vikings on MNF. Cheering for the Jags on Sunday.

have 2 picks left 234/750 remain, 66% have PIT available to pick. debating between: 1xPIT 1xMIN or 2xPIT

Thanks. Unfortunately not able to see picks beforehand but I'm thinking majority will be on Pitt based on past weeks breakdowns.

This is a very easy week in that - you don't want to pick Philadelphia or Pittsburgh. They'll be picked by at least 25% in any pool that you're in and will be over 60% combined. Both teams have lots of short, medium and long term value. You'll be in great shape to have both these teams moving forward.

This is a very hard week in that the best move is to pick a 3ish point at best favorite. Their are a lot of choices.

NYG because they have the least future value and are the highest favorite remaining.

Cincinnati because they are projected to be far less picked than the NYG and are 3 have a slightly smaller chance of winning than NYG

Detroit because they'll be heavily picked in 10 and 15 so I won't be picking them in that week anyway

I also like Oakland, LA Rams & NYJ OR Cleveland OR Indianapolis OR San Francisco (can't believe I'm writing that!)

I didn't like New England for this week (so many spots later) and don't like Minnesota at all. They're 2.5 point favorites and are being picked by 5x as many people than will be on the bold blue above. I'd rather take any of them over Minnesota


...

I'll definitely be on NYG in my pool with several thousand left that has double picked in Weeks 11 till the end. Have a lot of thinking for the rest of my entries

Is it too early in the season to use multi entries on 2 teams in the same game?

I'm on NYG. Already burned PIT in Week 1 and trying to save Philadelphia for later.

I am using NYG and it feels so wrong

I get the merits of zigging when everyone else is zagging, but nyg might be pushing it too far.

EV on SurvivorGrid has been all over the map this week as pick percentages change.

Without double picks, I can't imagine any reason to pick a team like SF or or NYJ, even if I were promised to be the only person in my pool to use them. Their EV stinks and I don't need to dig 20-some teams deep this year.

NYG no longer looks like zigging where others zag given the 6.5% P%.

I'm now thinking I'll probably go Cincinnati or Oakland. Solid EV and no spots where I think I'll really be hurting without them.

I think Cincy is the play. They are gonna have like 20-25% the ownership of NYG and have the same EV to win. Only problem is Cincy has some nice FV with Chicago and Cleveland at home later in the year.

I don't mind using Pitt either. I think Cincy is better than people think so I don't expect the Pitt line to be that high in 2 weeks. Indy in week 10 Luck will be back by then most likely. The main spots to use Pitt after this week to me are weeks 14 vs BMore or 17 vs Cle and I don't like factoring in week 17 into FV. Especially since that division is bad so good chance nothing is on the line for them.

Another thing is Ben Roethlisberger's durability. He's the most injury prone of the elite QB's and I think there is value in using him sooner than later.



I don't really see using Philly as a good play, they have probably 70-80% the ownership Pitt will have but much more FV than Pitt as they are good plays in 8 and 12.

I am chancing the G Men this week, at 0-4, no way they are losing at home to the Chargers.

Taking Pit in my big money league

Wanna save Philly

Does the "2x" on Yahoo pick em in weeks 13-17 mean 2 picks have to be made?

Taking Cincy & LA Rams / Cincy & Oakland with my 2 entries in a pool that has double picks in 5 & 10. 1,100 left. Will be a in great shape if I get 1 of these through with a Philadelphia or Pittsburgh loss. Amazing shape if they both somehow lose

NYG in rebuy pools

NYG & Cincy in standard rules Survivor Pools

In pools with over 1,000 people left. Taking 2 NYG, 1 Cincy & 1 Detroit. These have double picks starting in Week 11 for rest of the way.

Oakland & Cincy in a pool with 500 left

I'd already taken Philadelphia in most of these pools, but I wouldn't have taken them anyway.

This is a very unique week with over 30% of people on 2 different teams that are 70 to 75% to win. So many choices of teams 50 to 60% EV that are 3 or less percent picked