NFL Survivor Picks - Page 161 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

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12-15-2016 , 06:05 PM

#4001

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,720

Locked in Buff this week and NE next.

Week 17 will be a decision if I get there

Quote

12-16-2016 , 04:40 AM

#4002

JonnyLift

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2015 Posts: 164

that feel when ur thursday pick wins and u dont have to sweat the weekend

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12-16-2016 , 11:16 AM

#4003

h_ven

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 5,565

Stay away from divisional games these last few weeks.

Quote

12-16-2016 , 11:31 AM

#4004

Crazy Joe Davola

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 2,165

Quote:

Originally Posted by h_ven

Stay away from divisional games these last few weeks.

Quote

12-16-2016 , 02:54 PM

#4005

Enrico Pallazzo

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 284

Safer path?
Atlanta week 15, Vikings week 17 (vs. CHI)

Or

Buffalo week 15, Atlanta week 17 (vs. NO)

6 left. Top 3 get $$. 1 had Seattle last night.

5 have vikings left
4 have buffalo left
2 have Atlanta left
2 have Oakland left
2 have KC left
4 have Dallas left

I have all of those left.

Week 16 I still have Dallas or Oakland or kc or possibly buffalo if not used week 15.

Just trying to survive.

Thanks

Quote

12-16-2016 , 03:52 PM

#4006

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,720

If just trying to survive atl/min is better. I'd say the other increases your ev. Buffalo/Min may even be better

Quote

12-16-2016 , 04:12 PM

#4007

Derek123

adept

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 1,059

how is buf/min better than atl/min? Atl is higher ml and only 2 can take them when 4 can take buffalo

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12-16-2016 , 04:33 PM

#4008

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,720

Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek123

how is buf/min better than atl/min? Atl is higher ml and only 2 can take them when 4 can take buffalo

I ignored that all when he said

Quote:

just trying to survive

Def take atl this week if only 2 have them left.

Quote

12-16-2016 , 05:00 PM

#4009

Enrico Pallazzo

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 284

Just trying to survive through week 17.

Not max ev of being lone survivor.

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12-16-2016 , 05:24 PM

#4010

JonnyLift

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2015 Posts: 164

atl loses this week

Quote

12-16-2016 , 11:58 PM

#4011

Inland_Taipan

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2013 Posts: 563

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonnyLift

atl loses this week

I sure hope not....I have them this week. Have survived 14 weeks somehow

Also in a late season spread pool and not sure why. My success in the spread pools is exactly awful lol. Squeaked by last week with Balt +7.5 @ NE. Only benefit is that lines come out on Tuesday and lock in and I can see what way they are moving which I guess helps a little. I don't know. This pool usually last about 5-6 weeks with 100 entries. Very difficult to pick one winner each week for 5 weeks straight.

Leaning towards one of the following:

NE -2.5
TB +7.5
AZ -2.5
Wash -4.5

Other lines:

Clev +10.5
SF +14.5
Buf -10.5
Balt -5.5

Etc etc

Thoughts??

Quote

12-17-2016 , 12:20 AM

#4012

JonnyLift

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2015 Posts: 164

there hasnt been a blood bath yet, its due

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12-17-2016 , 11:48 AM

#4013

nyjets15

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 398

Does anyone know of a site that can show me what the point spreads/moneylines will be looking like in weeks 16 and 17? I've looked and have come up empty. Obviously week 17 will change dramatically as teams get eliminated from playoff contention, but I'm just looking for what they'd be as of right now. Thanks.

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12-18-2016 , 10:07 AM

#4014

Inland_Taipan

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2013 Posts: 563

Last minute trying to decide between Hou, Bal, Wash or KC. Was is surprisingly biggest ML.

40 left from 1000+ and 33 others have Sea, Atl, Buf so I'll be in minority no matter what. KC is best team but also playing the toughest opponent. Hou is undefeated vs division foes at home but line creeping downward to 3.5 raises red flags. This pool is straight up btw.

Thoughts??

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12-18-2016 , 02:28 PM

#4015

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,720

Quote:

Originally Posted by nyjets15

The other year partybets used to have lines a week ahead, not sure if still do

Quote

12-18-2016 , 02:53 PM

#4016

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,720

19 left

Me + 2 on buff
1 on min
Rest on atl

Feeling good

Quote

12-18-2016 , 08:56 PM

#4017

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,767

So many bad teams this year, I'll assume most pools are being chopped by more people than normal this year.

Quote

12-20-2016 , 04:02 PM

#4018

JonnyLift

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2015 Posts: 164

Quote:

Originally Posted by EddyB66

So many bad teams this year, I'll assume most pools are being chopped by more people than normal this year.

8 left this year at this point normally, over by wk 14

going cowboys at home this week

Quote

12-20-2016 , 05:07 PM

#4019

Inland_Taipan

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2013 Posts: 563

Knocked out of mid season pool with KC. Brutal.

Have to choose from these this week in main pool for 40 left. Teams reset in playoffs.

TN @ JAX
SD @ CLE
HOU vs CIN
KC vs DEN
LA vs SF
OAK vs INDY

Help!

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12-21-2016 , 06:32 AM

#4020

JonnyLift

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2015 Posts: 164

Quote

12-21-2016 , 03:41 PM

#4021

h_ven

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 5,565

If anyone wants to buy my position, let me know and I can shoot you all the details.
5 left from 85
Pick is due before kickoff on Thursday
PM me

Quote

12-23-2016 , 10:56 AM

#4022

Enrico Pallazzo

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 284

Was going to take Dallas, but not now after the tnf outcome makes their final 2 games moot.

5 left. Top 3 get $$

Deciding between buff, kc, oak, or the l.a. rams. Actually leaning rams at this point. I think they have the best chance to win.

I am the only one with kc left. 1 other can use buff. 1 other can use oak. 2 people have used buff+kc+oak.

4 have SD left, am expecting them to get some attention from browns faders.

Thoughts?

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12-23-2016 , 12:27 PM

#4023

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,767

Yes Dallas isn't laying down because they clinched. That means they would have 3 weeks off. Dallas has a great chance to win. Especially home on MNF.

Quote

12-23-2016 , 01:12 PM

#4024

h_ven

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 5,565

Dallas has a 71% chance to win

Quote

12-23-2016 , 08:24 PM

#4025

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Dallas has clinched HFA. They play the Lions. If the Lions win it decreases GB's chances of making playoffs. Green Bay a much better team than Detroit. Dallas should absolutely lose. That doesn't mean they'll try to lose though of course

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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