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09-15-2010 , 03:55 PM

#376

JumanjiBoard

See my DFS Coaching Thread

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 11,622

Your troll is awful

Quote

09-15-2010 , 04:02 PM

#377

gfxhjk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 10,757

? i'm serious. not to turn this into SE but

what do the jets have that the lions don't on the offensive side

stafford > sanchez
any of detroits WR > jets WR
jets probably have better RBs but if you're going to run every play they'll just stack the box and it won't be as effective. jahiv best is pretty good for detroit though
jets have a better o line but they need to fill that missing fanaca spot

lions d line is pretty good thanks to years of top draft picks.

jets are really the most over rated team in a long time

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09-15-2010 , 04:28 PM

#378

splashpot

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 8,203

You don't usually cap, do you? Are you betting DET heavy every game? Or against NYJ every game? Just curious.

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09-15-2010 , 04:32 PM

#379

gfxhjk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 10,757

depends on the sport not football

yes on det and against nyj at least until everyone realizes jets are horrible which is already happening ("super bowl contenders" underdogs at home in week 2??)

also bet heavy on rsw under jets and over det

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09-15-2010 , 07:06 PM

#380

canabiz

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 228

Not buying into the Lions hype. Every year this team is supposed to improve.

sig, if you want to take the Brownies this week at home then why not consider Oakland?

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09-16-2010 , 12:18 AM

#381

AngerPush

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 32,043

Last year they improved infinity percent. what more could you possibly want?

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09-16-2010 , 12:39 AM

#382

kdog

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,864

Quote:

Originally Posted by canabiz

My take on the Eagles is this is possibly the best spot to take them, looking at the rest of their schedule.

True, people don't need to take the Eagles at all in Survivor Pool this year but you can make the same arguments on any given week against any given team.

The Eagles also just came off a loss (same with the Lions mind you) so I don't think there would be any letdown or look-ahead factor.

I agree with you the Eagles this year is not as good as in the past. I also think they are better than the Lions without Stafford and provide an alternative for Week 2 outside of the usual suspects.

So even though you realize the Eagles are a mediocre team that you do not need to use for the entire season you still want to take them because 'it is the best spot all year'??? Has it occurred to you that they may not even be one of the top 17 teams in the league? Remember, they opened at -3 with the Detroit QB situation known.

As for letdowns and look aheads...in the NFL in week 2? LOL

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09-16-2010 , 06:05 AM

#383

canabiz

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 228

Quote:

Originally Posted by AngerPush

Last year they improved infinity percent. what more could you possibly want?

I want to see them win the Super Bowl.

Quote

09-16-2010 , 06:10 AM

#384

canabiz

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 228

Quote:

Originally Posted by kdog

Ah, the old *take the best team* approach. Was it the Eagles that knock you out last year bud?

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09-16-2010 , 06:11 PM

#385

kdog

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,864

Quote:

Originally Posted by canabiz

Ah, the old *take the best team* approach. Was it the Eagles that knock you out last year bud?

I'm not advocating anything other than not taking mediocre (at best) teams on the road when there are far better selections (that's plural as in more than one) available.

As for Philly knocking me out last year, no,that would be the Jets at home to Carolina in week 10.

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09-17-2010 , 08:04 PM

#386

Redangel

newbie

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 46

Quote:

Originally Posted by BDaws

For those that do not know, in a survivor pool you pick a team who is going to win that week. If your team wins, you stay alive. You continue to pick teams for the ensuing weeks, and keep picking until your team loses. The catch is that you cannot pick a team more than once.

I'm a square and don't know much about the NFL.

I was thinking of taking the Saints in week 1. They are 13 point favorites over the Lions. The other 13 point spread differential is the Ravens over the Chiefs. I figure the Ravens are probably a better overall team and more worthy of saving for later weeks.

Is this fine for week 1?

Thanks for any help you can offer.

Is this from a sportsbook? I want to get into one also... or is it too late as we are now in week 2.

Let me know.. it sounds fun and challenging!

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09-17-2010 , 09:40 PM

#387

tthree

old hand

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 1,578

ATL

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09-18-2010 , 02:48 AM

#388

AngerPush

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 32,043

dal

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09-18-2010 , 08:20 AM

#389

tiltymcfish0

veteran

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,210

call me crazy but...

1) meh the cowboys always scare the **** out of me
2) meh this packers team looks pretty damn good but I still don't feel compelled to save them (this is the way I felt about the Saints last year, funny enough)

I'll pick another week to differentiate. About 1/3 of my 40 person pool is already out so I will keep it simple for now. Hard to plan ahead in the first few weeks anyhow.

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09-18-2010 , 09:28 AM

#390

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,309

I'm not taking the Packers this week. There's going to be way too many people on them. Much better to sacrifice a little bit in win probability by picking a lower spread game and getting on a team that is picked by proportionately way less people.

Chargers and Cowboys look like solid picks for me this week, haven't decided which way I want to go just yet.

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09-18-2010 , 09:53 AM

#391

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,683

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redangel

Is this from a sportsbook? I want to get into one also... or is it too late as we are now in week 2.

Let me know.. it sounds fun and challenging!

sportsbooks don't run them. gotta make one with a group of friends. you could prob enter a free one on yahoo too. there's ones run every year for different $ amounts here, so have a look prior to the start of next season.

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09-18-2010 , 04:05 PM

#392

canabiz

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 228

Quote:

Originally Posted by housenuts

There are tons of survivor/suicide pools every year. What I did was I set up these keyword alerts on Google and receive email notifications everyday...I don't enter all pools but rather choose the ones that I like the rules and payout...

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09-18-2010 , 05:32 PM

#393

▬▬▬▬▬▬

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 5,007

doubling up on PHI in my big league

interesting rule in place where you have to make 2 picks in weeks 5, 10 and 15. so you need to make 20 picks this year.

PHI is a top 20 team and this is a great spot. 1 time somebody (GB likely to be the popular pick if people are on level 1) run bad and a big chunk of the league is out.

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09-18-2010 , 05:56 PM

#394

2J4U

veteran

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,555

Lol @ taking the Cowboys who couldn't beat the f Redskins last week.

Green Bay is the only pick this week imo.

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09-18-2010 , 06:00 PM

#395

canabiz

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 228

Quote:

Originally Posted by ▬▬▬▬▬▬

Look good.

Shaun Hill had a solid D in San Fran to back him up, not so much in Detroit. I see Trent Cole and Brandon Graham in the backfield all day long tomorrow.

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09-18-2010 , 06:17 PM

#396

gfxhjk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 10,757

Quote:

Originally Posted by JumanjiBoard

Your troll is awful

somehow browns magically jumped to -3 -111 after being -1 all week

smart money IMO proving the browns are good this week and to save green bay for later

Quote

09-18-2010 , 08:17 PM

#397

tiltymcfish0

veteran

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,210

Quote:

Originally Posted by rsigley

somehow browns magically jumped to -3 -111 after being -1 all week

smart money IMO proving the browns are good this week and to save green bay for later

I lawl'd

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09-18-2010 , 09:39 PM

#398

gfxhjk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 10,757

so a ~9% jump in win probability isn't a big deal?

Quote

09-18-2010 , 10:22 PM

#399

mulebennett

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 1,886

Quote:

Originally Posted by 2J4U

Lol @ taking the Cowboys who couldn't beat the f Redskins last week.

Green Bay is the only pick this week imo.

LOL at thinking the Cowboys are going to be as good on the road in one of sports' best rivalry games as they will be at home, you ****ing idiot.

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09-18-2010 , 11:24 PM

#400

2J4U

veteran

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,555

Quote:

Originally Posted by mulebennett

LOL at thinking the Cowboys are going to be as good on the road in one of sports' best rivalry games as they will be at home, you ****ing idiot.

Don't see how name calling is warranted, but ok. All I'm saying is that seeing the mess of a game that that team put together last week I wouldn't bet on them to win anything.

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