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11-20-2016 , 01:38 PM

#3901

etothemc2

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,317

Quote:

Originally Posted by etothemc2

Houston
Arizona
Dallas
Washington
Pittsburgh
Tennessee
Cincinnati
Denver
New Orleans
Baltimore

Kansas City

Quote

11-20-2016 , 05:06 PM

#3902

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

RIP. See ya next year

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Quote

11-20-2016 , 05:25 PM

#3903

JonnyLift

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2015 Posts: 164

bills tampa all win bears should of won... go stealers!

Quote

11-21-2016 , 04:59 AM

#3904

DuckU

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,358

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuckU

There are 26 remaining out of approximately 300.

I'm leaning towards Jacksonville although Tampa seems like it could be a better option..I agree about saving Baltimore for Week 14.

Glad I took J-ville, 6 people on Tampa to lose, so pool is down to 20. Considering NY Jets to lose in Week 12. These are teams I've taken,

Buffalo, Chicago, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Miami, Minnesota, New Orleans, San Diego, Tennessee, San Fran, Jacksonville

Quote

11-21-2016 , 05:03 AM

#3905

DuckU

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,358

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuckU

I'm in Survivor Pool that had about 8000 entries and we are down to about 800. Starting next week, Week 11, we are required to pick two teams. Here is a list of who I've taken.

Cincinnati, Denver, Green Bay, Houston, Kansas City, New England, Tennessee, NY Jets, Seattle, & Baltimore

Who are people recommending for Week 11?

I wound-up taking Detroit and Dallas for Week 11.

So onto Week 12. Considering NY Giants and Miami to win in Week 12.

Here is who I've taken through week 11

Baltimore, Cincinnati, Dallas, Denver, Detroit, Green Bay, Houston, Kansas City, New England, NY Jets, Tennessee, Seattle,

Quote

11-21-2016 , 05:20 PM

#3906

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuckU

How many are you down to in this one?

Quote

11-21-2016 , 06:50 PM

#3907

DuckU

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,358

Quote:

Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk

How many are you down to in this one?

In the Pick a Winner Big Survivor Pool, we are down to about 650 from a start of 8000. Total left will be posted tomorrow, Tuesday, but 163 people had KC as at least one of their picks and we started Week 11 with 815.

BraveJayHawk were you in that pool?

So as I mentioned I'm considering NY Giants, New Orleans, or Miami for Week 12. I have to pick two probably from here on out to end of season.

Again, teams I've used already are;

Baltimore, Cincinnati, Dallas, Denver, Detroit, Green Bay, Houston, Kansas City, New England, NY Jets, Tennessee, & Seattle

Quote

11-21-2016 , 07:15 PM

#3908

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuckU

I wasn't in this one. Hope to next year though

I'd look at the Teams Left feature on whatever site it's being held on. With 2 picks every week, I'd be differentiating from the team that is going to be picked at the highest % left available

Almost everyone should have New Orleans left. I wouldn't take them.

In the pool I just busted 46 of 137 had Miami remaining. I'd take them and the NYG. I'd keep Buffalo for 15 since NYG don't have a great game like Buffalo does rest of the year

Quote

11-22-2016 , 05:10 PM

#3909

beansroast01

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 20,494

Is PIT a good pick this week? I saw line move from -3 to -9 now that Luck is Doubtful

Quote

11-22-2016 , 05:21 PM

#3910

JonnyLift

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2015 Posts: 164

giants this week vs the browns

Quote

11-22-2016 , 05:32 PM

#3911

Crazy Joe Davola

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 2,165

Most popular picks this week are NYG (41%), Buffalo (17%), Miami (14%) and New Orleans (12%).

Quote

11-22-2016 , 11:46 PM

#3912

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,669

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuckU

In the Pick a Winner Big Survivor Pool

BraveJayHawk were you in that pool?

Quote:

Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk

I wasn't in this one. Hope to next year though

Tell me more about this pool

Quote

11-23-2016 , 10:22 AM

#3913

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,669

Probably going with PIT @ IND this week. Luck is out, Pit is 8 point faves. No ML up yet (on Pinnacle), but they are picked by very few and hoping many people don't get their pick in for Thursday to increase the pick percentage.

Quote

11-23-2016 , 04:50 PM

#3914

h_ven

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 5,565

7 left out of 85
I am splitting an entry with a friend
Last week people took PIT, NYG, NE
We were on PIT
This is all done by text so I don't know how many were on what and who has picked what I'm very many previous weeks so we re working with some partial information here.

This week one of us wants MIA and the other wants NYG

I do know that in another one of my leagues Mia was heavily used on week 5 I think, 50% - I'm not sure about the pool in question though.
I do know at least one player took NYG last week.

With this information and the information in previous posts, can I hear your arguments for MIA and NYG please?

Quote

11-23-2016 , 05:35 PM

#3915

h_ven

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 5,565

Current ML win % (non vig free)
Mia 79%
NYG 72%

Quote

11-23-2016 , 08:07 PM

#3916

beansroast01

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 20,494

Honestly just take the time to look at who the 6 people left have picked thus far. Given the nearly equal ML%, pick the team that the the plurality of the 6 has already picked between MIA or NYG. I'm guessing that is NYG.

If for some reason a majority of them still have PIT/NE/DAL available, then maybe consider taking MIA instead.

Any decision with that few of people left in a pool and this far in should be made almost purely based on math/game theory

Quote

11-23-2016 , 10:05 PM

#3917

h_ven

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 5,565

Quote:

Originally Posted by imjosh

I can't go back and look at who everyone has picked though....

Quote

11-24-2016 , 03:23 AM

#3918

JonnyLift

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2015 Posts: 164

as a dolphins fan... im going giants vs cle... i took mia vs cle too

Quote

11-24-2016 , 01:08 PM

#3919

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Quote:

Originally Posted by h_ven

I can't go back and look at who everyone has picked though....

I'd lean toward NYG and not playing in this pool next year

Quote

11-24-2016 , 05:27 PM

#3920

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,669

Quote:

Originally Posted by h_ven

I can't go back and look at who everyone has picked though....

sounds a little sketchy

Quote

11-24-2016 , 11:14 PM

#3921

h_ven

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 5,565

Quote:

Originally Posted by housenuts

sounds a little sketchy

It's not, just a friendly one done over text, no one has an advantage

Quote

11-25-2016 , 12:01 AM

#3922

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,669

Quote:

Originally Posted by h_ven

It's not, just a friendly one done over text, no one has an advantage

The commish does

Quote

11-25-2016 , 08:36 AM

#3923

DuckU

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,358

Quote:

Originally Posted by housenuts

Good call on Pittsburgh!

Quote

11-25-2016 , 09:00 AM

#3924

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,669

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuckU

Good call on Pittsburgh!

Gave up a bit of future value taking them, but in smaller pools (most are by now) I think they were far and away best pick. Time for some favorites to lose this weekend!

Quote

11-25-2016 , 09:48 AM

#3925

sheetsworld

veteran

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 2,811

Quote:

Originally Posted by housenuts

Time for some favorites to lose this weekend!

I have been saying that all season----but I have never seen a season where so many favorites, and also, some overwhelmingly popular picks, just win with such relative frequency.

Quote

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