So you wouldn't pick Dallas in this game because the English like a terrible team more than they do Dallas?

I'm going to live & die with Cleveland this week, and if they get the job done, I'll be picking Dallas in the UK. Jacksonville is bad on all continents.

I'm in a pool wih just under 30 ppl left, these are my top 2 options at the moment as well. I think the fact that over 40% of people may pick dallas combined with the fact that its a divisional game may result in me picking KC. Although it's looking like KC will run close to 15-20% pick percentage themselves, which is quite high also.

But it sure is going to be a close decision.

After much thought, I'm going to roll with KC. I just think it'll be tough for the Rams to duplicate that effort at Arrowhead.

Cowboys - as many have stated, over 50% of my pool will be on them so that alone will get me to fade that pick. As good as the Cowboys have been, division games are always tough and you have to think Dallas/Romo will blow a game they're supposed to win.

So here's to hoping KC advances and then root hard for the Redskins.

No I was originally thinking that it might feel like a home game for Dallas if they had a huge global fan base. But since that doesn't seem to be the case, probably more like a neutral game than anything.

Looks like I'm going with Cleveland this week, but I still need to update my weekly estimate of remaining picks.

Week 10 is a double pick week on my pool and I'd like to have Dallas available for that, probably with both entries. Gotta get thru this week and next first though.

Been thinking more about Miami @Jax. Any of you guys like Miami over KC or Clev? Win % with Miami not quite as high but the popularity % won't be as high either. Not a ton of future value with Mia or Clev....maybe a little more with KC but certainly not a lot.

If I can get through this week with Cleveland I have a pretty sweet pick map here on out. Having a lot of anxiety about it though...

im taking the Dolphins…..Jags were due for a win and they got it last week now they come back down to earth… 95% of the entrants are already out in the one im still alive in……. regarding Dallas this is a classic let down game for them….. everyone is on their bandwagon and they are looking past the redskins.

I didn't want to give them in advance because a couple of these don't have many left and people in them can read this thread.

These were my picks this week:

Used Cleveland. If Dallas loses I win my pool.

Part of me thinks that if ppl in this thread know your picks they are more likely not to pick that team, which only helps you.

Knowing who your opponent(s) picks is you a huge advantage.

Have a feeling a lot of people are rooting for Washington tonight.

Don't think there have been too many eliminations this week.

Let's go Redskins!

I agree with housenuts on this one. Knowing you all your opponents picks is a huge advantage. But with 13 people remaining, there will be a good amount of teams that are only +EV if one person takes them. I'm one of the 13 left in PropPlayers's pool, here were the picks this week with my EV estimate (not taking future value into account):

DEN 1 (15% EV)
CLE 1 (5% EV)
DAL 4 (4% EV)
KC 2 (3% EV)
MIA 2 (-4% EV)
DET 1 (-11% EV)
HOU 1 (-11% EV)
NYJ 1 (-14% EV)

I was one of the two on Miami. They would have been a +EV pick if I was the only one. (As it is, I still like the pick since they have no future value but leave that out of it.) So a dirty but effective play would be for me to broadcast that I'm on Miami early in the week, and if everyone believes me, they all have incentive to avoid Miami, which helps my EV. And once you get down to only a few players, this can get pretty extreme.

I think it's a good rule that you can't broadcast your pick once it gets down to less than X players. Which would be bad for this thread of course.

I neither agree or disagree. Except so much thought went into weather or not I was taking Denver. If I thought Profbets (the only other with Denver available) was likely to take them then I didn't want them. Is he more likely to consider or avoid Denver if I say I am taking them or not? I don't know. But my gut was that he was less than 50% to take them this week, so had that and wanted to keep it to myself.

The other decision I had was whether I was taking Dallas or Clev. I had a strategy worked out for this based off not needing to decide until after the 1PM games locked. Once that happened Dallas was the choice.

So far is true, and is probably true at the end that this week I spent the most time considering what other might do. Broadcasting picks adds another dynamic that I'm not comfortable with.

It is rare in that picks aren't locked for the later games until kickoff. I've never changed after 1pm but something to think about.

Hold!

BAM!!!!

niceeeeee. have 2 picks remaining out of 36.

Down to 8 in our "KothX" pool, with 3 2+2ers among the survivors- wamplerr, profbets & propplayer... nice job guys!

Nice works guys

Nice work everyone. Down to 3 from a pool of 70.

How much do you guys tip if any to the person running pool? Is $300 good on 3500?