NFL Survivor Picks - Page 108 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

You should never HAVE to use a bottom team. Whether or not it becomes advantageous later in the season when separation becomes more important is a whole different argument.

Quote

09-12-2014 , 10:27 PM

#2677

stoffmakers

adept

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 1,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by kdog

You should never HAVE to use a bottom team. Whether or not it becomes advantageous later in the season when separation becomes more important is a whole different argument.

why should you never HAVE to use a bottom team. what if that bottom team is playing a far worse team? stop making hard opinion-based rules that don't make sense and don't take any math into account

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09-12-2014 , 11:25 PM

#2678

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,766

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jkpoker10

Anyone have advice for 12 picks in a pool. I'm thinking about going 8 GB, 2 wash, and 2 Houston? idk if should just go all on 1 team or spread the risk. I just feel its best to get some teams that offer no value later on out of the way against weak teams. Def think Houston and Washington games offer a lot of risk though.

I'm having a hard time seeing Green Bay lose. Me personally my rankings this week were:

1. Ravens
2. Packers
3. Giants

I don't trust Denver vs Charles. I think if KC can get Charles going in the passing game the game will be close coming to the 4th quarter.

Quote

09-12-2014 , 11:28 PM

#2679

nyc999

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 18,660

Quote:

Originally Posted by EddyB66

I have zero faith in the Giants

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09-13-2014 , 08:22 AM

#2680

wamplerr

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2002 Posts: 1,233

Quote:

Originally Posted by THAKID

Wtf

Quote:

Originally Posted by stoffmakers

missing packers obv

This is the pool where repeats are allowed. I've seen some bad advice in this thread on that pool. Packers were playing at Seattle so probably not a good pick.

Quote

09-13-2014 , 11:08 AM

#2681

kdog

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,864

Quote:

Originally Posted by stoffmakers

why should you never HAVE to use a bottom team. what if that bottom team is playing a far worse team? stop making hard opinion-based rules that don't make sense and don't take any math into account

It's the NFL, the disparity between bad teams is pretty minimal. If you are stuck using one of those teams you've planned like ****.

Quote

09-13-2014 , 12:05 PM

#2682

stoffmakers

adept

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 1,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by wamplerr

This is the pool where repeats are allowed. I've seen some bad advice in this thread on that pool. Packers were playing at Seattle so probably not a good pick.

oh didn't realize that was last weeks results, thought this week

Quote

09-13-2014 , 12:05 PM

#2683

stoffmakers

adept

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 1,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by kdog

It's the NFL, the disparity between bad teams is pretty minimal. If you are stuck using one of those teams you've planned like ****.

plz go do something else in life cuz sports betting is CLEARLY not for you

Quote

09-13-2014 , 12:21 PM

#2684

CohibaBehike

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 3,651

Quote:

Originally Posted by EddyB66

The Giants are a 6-7 win team and the Cardinals are a good team. Why in world would giants be on your radar?

Quote

09-13-2014 , 07:40 PM

#2685

tiltymcfish0

veteran

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,210

Quote:

Originally Posted by CohibaBehike

The Giants are a 6-7 win team and the Cardinals are a good team. Why in world would giants be on your radar?

I was thinking it was a typo

Quote

09-13-2014 , 10:12 PM

#2686

wiper

still catching up

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 42,897

Quote:

Originally Posted by stoffmakers

plz go do something else in life cuz sports betting is CLEARLY not for you

why is that?

Quote

09-14-2014 , 03:16 AM

#2687

BuffaloHound

adept

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 718

F*ck this noise. I'm taking the Skins.

Quote

09-14-2014 , 09:37 AM

#2688

stoffmakers

adept

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 1,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by BuffaloHound

F*ck this noise. I'm taking the Skins.

I'm on them too, hopefully they don't lose so Kdog thinks he's right

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09-14-2014 , 10:33 AM

#2689

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Taking Cincinnati, Tampa Bay & Washington

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09-14-2014 , 11:27 AM

#2690

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

taking titans

Lets do this guys and TomG

Quote

09-14-2014 , 03:50 PM

#2691

wiper

still catching up

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 42,897

Tommy G ain't retired anymore? last I heard he was polishing up his resume when draftstreet got bought out..

Quote

09-14-2014 , 04:24 PM

#2692

THAKID

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 9,873

Jets
Skins

Cruising

Falcons week 3?

Quote

09-14-2014 , 04:38 PM

#2693

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,308

Quote:

Originally Posted by THAKID

Falcons week 3?

I count 10 teams that are more likely than Atlanta to win next week.

Quote

09-15-2014 , 09:27 AM

#2694

CohibaBehike

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 3,651

ANDDD I'm out. Thanks Kaepernick. See you guys next season and good luck.

Quote

09-15-2014 , 10:01 AM

#2695

trade2win

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 583

Quote:

Originally Posted by accobra_kid

I count 10 teams that are more likely than Atlanta to win next week.

I don't know where your looking, they're like the 4th favorite this week. Patriots are gonna get over 50% this week, problem is I don't see another week where they will be favorite by 7+.

Quote

09-15-2014 , 11:45 AM

#2696

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,308

Quote:

Originally Posted by trade2win

I don't know where your looking, they're like the 4th favorite this week. Patriots are gonna get over 50% this week, problem is I don't see another week where they will be favorite by 7+.

SurvivorGrid.com

Pats will be the team most likely to win in weeks 3, 7 and 8.

Quote

09-15-2014 , 12:27 PM

#2697

THAKID

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 9,873

A cobra falcons 10th favorite
Wat

Ppl need to get temp bans for just making stuff up

Quote

09-15-2014 , 12:56 PM

#2698

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,308

Quote:

Originally Posted by THAKID

A cobra falcons 10th favorite
Wat

Ppl need to get temp bans for just making stuff up

SurvivorGrid has

NE -14
NO -11
PHI -8.5
CIN -6.5
SEA -5.5
STL -5
ATL -4.5

There were a couple other lines higher than Atlanta's when I checked last night.

If moneylines from Pinnacle are available, go ahead and post them THAKID.

Quote

09-15-2014 , 01:41 PM

#2699

trade2win

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 583

Quote:

Originally Posted by accobra_kid

SurvivorGrid.com

Pats will be the team most likely to win in weeks 3, 7 and 8.

You need to stop blindly following what that site says. There is zero chance pats are a 10 point favorite against the Jets.

Probably going with Saints this week.

Quote

09-15-2014 , 03:12 PM

#2700

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,308

Quote:

Originally Posted by trade2win

You need to stop blindly following what that site says. There is zero chance pats are a 10 point favorite against the Jets.

Probably going with Saints this week.

Why don't you show us what you use to determine future value, or is that not something you consider when making survivor picks?

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