Quote:
Originally Posted by kdog
Why would you burn Denver in one of their tougher games of the season when they get Oakland twice plus home games with KC, San Diego, Miami & Buffalo?
Best selections this week are Philly or the Bears.
Here's a good survivor helper.
http://www.survivorgrid.com/
This is amusing, the site you pumped shows exactly why Denver is a superior pick to Chicago and Philadelphia.
Denver is a solid pick this week because only 3% of people are picking them. Yes they have a ton of future value, but two of their best spots aren't until weeks 14 and 17. Most leagues will be over by then.
The Eagles and Bears are slightly more likely to win than Denver, but they have less future value and are way more popular.
It's a tradeoff, FV and popularity on one side of the coin, versus win probability on the other. The EV calculation on Survivor Grid shows that Denver is the superior pick this week.