I'll be taking the Saints tommorow. Really wish Nitro would have allowed chops but firstly they don't even own the software and secondly it doesn't make sense for marketing purposes and/or getting people to throw money on ML hedges. Only way to chop would be to "artificially" collude be agreeing to pick the same teams each week but there's no way to enforce it (basically Prisoner's Dilemma). For example especially week 15, I've got MIN and you have ATL, next option would be WSH -3.5 which is a way inferior option.
I'll also be happy to share picks, as mentioned, there's really no downside at all and it's pretty obvious which team I'll be picking, pretty much I'll just be picking the biggest ML favorite each week. As housenuts metioned, the optimal play is just to take the biggest ML favorite each week regardless what the other does.
I'll be happy for weeks where we both have similar size favorites to agree to pick the same team to reduce variance. Most likely SEA week 13, PIT week 14 looks like we'll be on the same teams.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gallagher_
Yeah, this BTC drop sucks. Although, can't complain too much considering it went up like 5x during the season last year.
I've been in contact on here with the other person left in the .06.
Not that I don't trust the guy, but is there any reason not to share who you're picking in a given week when it's heads up?
I can't think of any reason not to, and it would help him/me if we're making hedges via sports bets or if there's a chance to both pick the same team to reduce variance (if there is more than one equally attractive option for the week).
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Originally Posted by housenuts
Unless the team you have available is also likely to be your biggest available favorite in a future week, you are giving up EV every week you don't take the biggest favorite.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gallagher_
Yeah, had the same take-away (though I've never been H2H so worth a double-check).
In the case of coordinating a pick it would be when there are a couple of equally appealing options without a future play opportunity.