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11-12-2018 , 09:24 PM

#4976

Gallagher_

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 176

I have 2 left in the .06 pool.

Tentatively planning on NO and PIT, but haven't put any time into it yet.

Quote

11-13-2018 , 11:00 AM

#4977

hilss

enthusiast

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 95

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gallagher_

Tentatively planning on NO and PIT, but haven't put any time into it yet.

How will you make your decision at this point?

Quote

11-14-2018 , 08:02 PM

#4978

br3nt00

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 3,664

I am far from a survival pro but isn't Steelers at jags much more of a trap than saints home vs eagles? Saving Steelers for their raiders game seems like the lock there, no?

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Quote

11-14-2018 , 08:09 PM

#4979

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,681

What do you mean by trap?

Quote

11-15-2018 , 12:57 AM

#4980

br3nt00

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 3,664

Quote:

Originally Posted by housenuts

What do you mean by trap?

higher chance of a surprise loss

at least thats been my interpretation of the word

Quote

11-15-2018 , 02:26 AM

#4981

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Been a lot less loling posting in this thread this year.

I have 3 traditional entries left.

Don’t have any New Orleans available. Taking Chargers in the only entry I have them available in. Taking Arizona. Probably taking Indianapolis for my last entry.

Fading Pittsburgh seems like the right play this week. They’ll be higher picked than Arizona & Indianapolis

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Quote

11-15-2018 , 11:44 AM

#4982

Bagliani

enthusiast

Join Date: Sep 2017 Posts: 93

Damn I’m the only one that likes Carolina this week? Arizona scares me because they might want the number 1 pick just as bad as Oakland does and decide to not show up. Pittsburgh is undeafted on the road this year but I do think saving them for week 14 is the best option. I think Carolina it is for me.

Quote

11-15-2018 , 12:33 PM

#4983

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,681

Quote:

Originally Posted by br3nt00

higher chance of a surprise loss

at least thats been my interpretation of the word

sounds like you should bet the Jax ML

Quote

11-15-2018 , 12:49 PM

#4984

h_ven

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 5,565

I haven't posted in here yet this year, but it still looks like people think they can handicap full game lines. Doesn't surprise me though.

Ya'll must be making a decent chunk betting ML and spreads?

Quote

11-15-2018 , 12:57 PM

#4985

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,766

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bagliani

I think a lot of people already used Carolina

Quote

11-15-2018 , 05:53 PM

#4986

Gallagher_

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 176

Quote:

Originally Posted by hilss

How will you make your decision at this point?

Still haven't really looked at it. At this stage for high buy-in stuff I'm trying to figure out entry by entry who people are taking.

NO seems like a lock on the one entry I can use them with. Not sure on the other, seems like ARI, PIT, CAR, and BAL are all potentials.

Quote

11-15-2018 , 07:22 PM

#4987

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,766

I would stay away from NO, unless we are in the same pools, then by all means please use them this week. Just my uneducated fish opinion.

Quote

11-15-2018 , 07:39 PM

#4988

Bagliani

enthusiast

Join Date: Sep 2017 Posts: 93

Lolol eddy you really don’t like the saints. I don’t have them available so I hope your right. I’m sure 3/4 of the people in my pool will be on them.

Quote

11-15-2018 , 08:28 PM

#4989

D_goat

banned

Join Date: Aug 2018 Posts: 410

Eddy also liked the raiders 2 weeks ago

Quote

11-16-2018 , 12:46 AM

#4990

PropPlayer

Sports Betting Mod

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 3,798

I snuck a little through with SEA. One each in 0.01 and 0.003 at Nitrogen.

I'm still very undecided with a lot of work to do on the rest.

Quote

11-16-2018 , 01:01 AM

#4991

Gallagher_

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 176

Going NO and CAR in the 0.06

Could see any two of: NO, BAL, CAR, and ATL in the 0.02

Quote

11-16-2018 , 11:40 AM

#4992

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,681

Don't want to think about it anymore. Took Zona.

4 left.

Assume one will be on Saints and one on Chargers.

Other person can choose between: ari, pit, atl - so long as not on ari, i like my ev.

Quote

11-16-2018 , 01:09 PM

#4993

D_goat

banned

Join Date: Aug 2018 Posts: 410

Quote:

Originally Posted by housenuts

Don't want to think about it anymore. Took Zona.

4 left.

Assume one will be on Saints and one on Chargers.

Other person can choose between: ari, pit, atl - so long as not on ari, i like my ev.

Ugh I know raiders suck but I hate taking bad teams against bad teams

Quote

11-18-2018 , 06:16 AM

#4994

Gallagher_

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 176

Went CAR and BAL in the 0.02

ARI, CAR, and ATL in the next smallest one (I forget the buy-in)

Quote

11-18-2018 , 11:08 AM

#4995

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

2 Arizona & 1 LA Chargers

Quote

11-18-2018 , 11:40 AM

#4996

g-p

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 6,705

Quote:

Originally Posted by housenuts

Don't want to think about it anymore. Took Zona.

4 left.

Assume one will be on Saints and one on Chargers.

Other person can choose between: ari, pit, atl - so long as not on ari, i like my ev.

pit locked in

gl

Quote

11-18-2018 , 01:51 PM

#4997

fortisque

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2014 Posts: 217

Made a very, very last minute decision to switch to BAL in the .06, mainly to have a bit of diversity instead of throwing everything on NO. They're also only slightly less likely to win than NO (-250 vs -300) and the advantage of being the only one on them this week. Hopefully don't come to regret this decision.

Saints in the .25

Quote

11-18-2018 , 02:38 PM

#4998

Gallagher_

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 176

EV in 0.06

LAC: 1.12
NOR: 1.11
BAL: 1.08
ARI: 0.99
CAR: 0.84 (ouch)

EV in 0.02

BAL: 1.19
CAR: 1.07
PIT: 1.05
ARI: 0.97
NOR: 0.93 (4 out of 9)

Quote

11-18-2018 , 02:39 PM

#4999

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Quote:

Originally Posted by fortisque

Made a very, very last minute decision to switch to BAL in the .06, mainly to have a bit of diversity instead of throwing everything on NO.

Very nice audible!

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Quote

11-18-2018 , 04:14 PM

#5000

PropPlayer

Sports Betting Mod

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 3,798

Arizona in pool i have most equity in. very diverse in rest.

Quote

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