Quote:
Originally Posted by PropPlayer
Survivor Grid actually considers all of that green and has Denver as being the highest +EV pick. Obviously I hadn't looked at it in advanced though as my #2 thought on most EV was Jets which they have #5 but very close to 2nd. I didn't run the math but had it pretty close and Denver is highest EV this week but that relies that the pools #'s will match the ones they are basing it on. Pools I've played in the past never do.
SurvivorGrid actually does not consider all that Green. EV is only based on this week's win percentage vs popularity. I have a small issue with their calculation but it's close enough. Taking future value into account is much harder, since you would have to estimate future popularity too.
The name of the game is basically weighing this week's EV vs Future Value. You've also got to make sure you don't get left with a dry week with no good picks, and once you get to the endgame there can be some interesting picks.
Some weeks it's easy to do, some weeks it's hard. I consider this a hard week and I will be spreading my picks out.