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Old 09-24-2019, 05:11 PM   #1
ligastar
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Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Been working on a golf system and ready to roll it out. All plays are tournament match-ups.

[Pinnacle lines]

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Old 09-24-2019, 09:23 PM   #2
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re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I'm intrigued. I've been doing decent in DFS this year.
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Old 09-25-2019, 01:51 PM   #3
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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I'm intrigued. I've been doing decent in DFS this year.
Do you have action this week? If so, who are a couple of your key guys?
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Old 09-25-2019, 04:42 PM   #4
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Kinda can't go wrong up top, but we want some mid level guys who are playing well, but putting poorly. Putting is the most variable skill in golf.

I listen to a podcast, and these guys are great. Fantasy Golf Bag

Berger at 7500
Shelton at 7100
Steele (past champ) at 7400
Furyk (solid, but old) at 7400
Conners at 8400
Tringale at 7200
Grillo at 8800

Up too, I'm gravitating towards
Morikawa at 9400
Matsuyama at 10,500
Reavie at 9200

In a 1981 entry contest last week, I was the sole owner of Cameron Percy. Wish he played better in the 4th round.
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Old 09-26-2019, 08:20 AM   #5
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Thx for the heads-up on that podcast. In case it isn't clear in my OP, week 39 of the PGA Tour is the Safeway Open and on the Euro Tour is the Alfred Dunhill Links.

Good luck this week.
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Old 09-26-2019, 04:04 PM   #6
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

On the Euro side, I did a $5 single entry lineup with Finau, Mike L-V, Bobby Mac, Guido, Eddie Pep, EVR (who sits DFL right now). 76th out of 178 right now.

On the PGA side, I did 3 lineups in the $3 3-max.
1. Matsuyama, Morikawa, Reavie, Shelton, Tringale, Scott Brown
2. Morikawa, Grillo, Conners, Streelman, Berger, Vaughn Taylor
3. Im, Tringale, Grillo, Conners, Berger, Fritelli

GLGLGLGLGLGL
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Old 09-27-2019, 10:01 AM   #7
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

An awful 1st round for me on the Euro tour. Fortunately, it's a 54-hole cut this week on that tour.
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Old 09-27-2019, 08:07 PM   #8
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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Originally Posted by Precept24 View Post
On the Euro side, I did a $5 single entry lineup with Finau, Mike L-V, Bobby Mac, Guido, Eddie Pep, EVR (who sits DFL right now). 76th out of 178 right now.
After 2 days, 44/178. Top 30 cash.

Not doing great on the USA side either.
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Old 09-29-2019, 08:40 PM   #9
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Was lined up for a nice week until Fleetwood posted the low round today in the Euro event. Profit is profit though.

13.01 units risked
1.51 units earned
11.6% return
6-5 record
54.5% winning percentage

Losers: Im, Schenk, Rahm, Lowry, Finau

Winners: Piercy, Snedeker, Ortiz, Pavan, Horsfield, Lagergren

Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar View Post
Been working on a golf system and ready to roll it out. All plays are tournament match-ups.

[Pinnacle lines]

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Old 09-30-2019, 05:51 AM   #10
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

In for 7u, out for 5.67u. A little negative. Did well in NFL DFS.
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Old 10-01-2019, 09:44 AM   #11
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

All bets are tournament match-ups:

Shriners

Moore -101 Bradley
Morikawa +108 Matsuyama
Watson +109 Glover
Snedeker -101 Hadwin
Scheffler +103 Frittelli
Kokrak +108 An

Open de Espana

Wattel -100 Zanotti - 2 units
Larrazabal +103 Fisher
Shinkwin +105 Bjork
Bertasio +107 Winther
Morrison +105 Crocker
Cabrera Bello +109 S. Garcia
Karlberg +117 Campillo
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Old 10-07-2019, 02:53 PM   #12
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread



Last week

13.01 units risked

-0.59 units lost

-4.5% return

6-6 record

50% winning percentage



Overall

26.02 units risked

0.92 units earned

3.5% return

12-11 record

52.2% winning percentage
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Old 10-07-2019, 09:29 PM   #13
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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Old 10-08-2019, 01:12 PM   #14
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Played:

Griffin -125 > List
Ortiz -115 > Laird (small)
Perez +110 > Henley
Perez +100 > Champ
Harman + 140 > Stenson

so far
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Old 10-08-2019, 05:39 PM   #15
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

My Harman +136 is now +146 on Pinny. Surprised to see Harman become more of an underdog.

My Pavan +116 position is a nice one... Pavan is now -110.
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Old 10-08-2019, 06:08 PM   #16
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

In a Single Entry on DK, I went Willett, Pavan, Bezeidenhuit, Guido, Waring, and the lesser Molinari.
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Old 10-09-2019, 01:29 PM   #17
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Got Sabbatini, Macintyre, Wiesberger and Wallace all each way. Weisberger and Wallace 2 units and 1 unit on Sabbatini and Macintyre.

Overall thoughts on each way betting? I usually bet so that any each way coming in will break me even, or at least very close to it.

Sabbatini has been out of form and Wallace had a bit of a collapse after a great Thurs/Fri a few weeks ago, but thought the prices were ok.

Sabbatini @ 61.0
Macintyre @ 51.0
Wiesberger @ 34.0
Wallace @ 23.0

Sorry, don't know how to do American odds.
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Old 10-09-2019, 02:31 PM   #18
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by 4BetBoke View Post
Got Sabbatini, Macintyre, Wiesberger and Wallace all each way. Weisberger and Wallace 2 units and 1 unit on Sabbatini and Macintyre.

Overall thoughts on each way betting? I usually bet so that any each way coming in will break me even, or at least very close to it.

Sabbatini has been out of form and Wallace had a bit of a collapse after a great Thurs/Fri a few weeks ago, but thought the prices were ok.

Sabbatini @ 61.0
Macintyre @ 51.0
Wiesberger @ 34.0
Wallace @ 23.0

Sorry, don't know how to do American odds.
If you bet on an outright winner, do you have the option to choose no each-way or yes on each-way? I think this is the case right? If so, I think the way to go is to always pick the each-way option. Like you said, if you don't get the outright winner, it'd be nice to be in a position to nearly break even for the week if one of your horses has a really strong tournament.

Here's an odds converter:

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/pic...dds-converter/
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Old 10-09-2019, 03:43 PM   #19
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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Originally Posted by ligastar View Post
If you bet on an outright winner, do you have the option to choose no each-way or yes on each-way? I think this is the case right? If so, I think the way to go is to always pick the each-way option. Like you said, if you don't get the outright winner, it'd be nice to be in a position to nearly break even for the week if one of your horses has a really strong tournament.

Here's an odds converter:

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/pic...dds-converter/
I'm keeping it strictly European for now

Yes, the option is always there. Typically the each way bet will be 1/4 at places 1-5, or 1/5 at places 1-8. If the horse wins you get the EW win on top of the outright winner payout. This week I have 1/5 1-8.

For example: I'm in for 300 this week
50 ew on Wiesberger / Wallace (200)
25 ew on Sabbatini / Macintyre (100)

1,320 win on Wallace outright and 230 return on top 8
2,080 win on a Wiesberger outright and 340 return on top 8
1,550 win on Macintyre outright and 255 return on top 8
1,850 win on Sabbatini outright and 305 return on top 8

This is what a typical week of betting would look like for me, and of course I'd have the opportunity to hedge / lay on Sundays to take profit.
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Old 10-09-2019, 07:07 PM   #20
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Thanks for the explanation. Yeah it's key also that this gives you the option to hedge on Sundays too. Good luck.
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Old 10-10-2019, 04:49 AM   #21
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

have you guys factored in the weather advantage?
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Old 10-10-2019, 05:30 AM   #22
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Oh good,

Bezeidenhuit WDed
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Old 10-10-2019, 09:29 AM   #23
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I actually considered adding him to my line up late last night. Do bookies normally refund if a player W/D's before starting?

Macintyre had a flying start then played the last 12 holes 2 over. Decent start for my picks overall, but it's hard not to fancy Casey. Just don't think the price was there at all.

Anyone betting the Houston Open this week?
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Old 10-10-2019, 12:40 PM   #24
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Pick updates after round 1

T2 - Sabbatini @61.0 > 11.0
T3 - Wiesberger @34.0 > 12.0
T20 - Wallace @23.0 > 23.0
T20 - Macintyre @51.0 > 46.0

There are better odds available, but I've used the same site I bet on. Slight correction, though: my EW terms are 1/5 1-7, not 1-8. All in all this is more or less and ideal start for a 4 pick bet. Wallace and Macintyre are out late tomorrow, so hopefully they'll get some nice scoring conditions.
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Old 10-10-2019, 04:51 PM   #25
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Sabbatini in the mix!
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