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Old 10-23-2018, 10:22 AM   #126
Singasong2222
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Wow what a finish for spread bets.

I bet pats , feel for falcons bets sick cover by the giants

If giants could play like they do in garbage time they have winning record lol.
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Old 10-23-2018, 12:03 PM   #127
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gonefishingmlb View Post
Haha you're funny rainmaker. What about during the week, "sharp" money pushed the line to -6? Don't want to start an argument here, just funny that you only consider late line movement.
it's not so much only considering the late movement, but generally I think late action carries a little more weight and should be looked at a little more closely than early action given how you see line manipulations etc by both bettors and books. that's what I think at least, but I'm open to other opinions on the matter.

regardless, even though I had the NYG side of things I can confidently say that ending was gross. sorry to any ATL backers.
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Old 10-23-2018, 07:19 PM   #128
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

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Originally Posted by rainmaker1855 View Post
it's not so much only considering the late movement, but generally I think late action carries a little more weight and should be looked at a little more closely than early action given how you see line manipulations etc by both bettors and books. that's what I think at least, but I'm open to other opinions on the matter.

regardless, even though I had the NYG side of things I can confidently say that ending was gross. sorry to any ATL backers.
are you sayyyyying, you'll donate to some giants $ to some of us that took that brutal beat? :}
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Old 10-23-2018, 10:06 PM   #129
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Back Miami +7.5 should be a Texans win so since I love to self abuse am betting Miami should be 0 fun and painful to watch.
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Old 10-24-2018, 05:47 AM   #130
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Packers off a bye getting 10.5 at Rams. GB sounds like a great bet.
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Old 10-24-2018, 11:32 AM   #131
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@haTTTrick - the check is in the mail haha

we go from a riveting MNF to an equally amazing TNF game. Gimme the dog again and take MIA anything over a TD
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Old 10-27-2018, 10:48 AM   #132
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Played well in offence dolphins . Texans look good

Back jags as they played like crap and should lose

At home and maybe Blake or there defence play?
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Old 10-27-2018, 10:50 AM   #133
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thought dolphins was +14.5 was good lol nope
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Old 10-29-2018, 12:39 PM   #134
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I can hear the eye rolling already but man, betting the NFL is so effing hard. So many games have so many moments of what appears to be randomness that ultimately move the outcome one way or the other. I mean did you guys catch that Gurley run/stop short of the goal? I'm not saying he was wrong but that kinda stuff is just so random and one off that it makes you sick as a bettor (and I wasnt even burned on that one personally.) I honestly think I may just be done with betting NFL for a while and focus on CFB...

That being said, I'm taking the over tonight and praying Derek Anderson finds some old magic to get up 10 points for his team or that BB does his usual and will run up the score on a division opponent.

BOL all.
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Old 10-29-2018, 01:17 PM   #135
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Best of luck to you too. I like Bills +14 tonight.
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Old 10-30-2018, 11:34 AM   #136
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

well who knew it would be a legit FG fest and the first TD would scored in the 4Q...

tough night for sharp Bills backers too... that 90 yard pick 6 was a real dagger.

Anyone like any future plays at the halfway point? I think PIT +1400 to win the SB may be worth a look.
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Old 10-30-2018, 03:10 PM   #137
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

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Originally Posted by rainmaker1855 View Post
well who knew it would be a legit FG fest and the first TD would scored in the 4Q...

tough night for sharp Bills backers too... that 90 yard pick 6 was a real dagger.

Anyone like any future plays at the halfway point? I think PIT +1400 to win the SB may be worth a look.
Can get Pit +2100

I like that and Panthers +2700

Also maybe eagles +3000

Last edited by Nonfiction; 10-30-2018 at 03:21 PM.
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Old 10-30-2018, 03:35 PM   #138
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

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Can get Pit +2100

I like that and Panthers +2700

Also maybe eagles +3000
wow, my boogie is hosing me...I got +1600, +2500 and +2000 respectively.

I wish the Panthers had done something around the trade deadline (ala Eagles picking up Tate or Houston picking up Thomas.)
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Old 10-31-2018, 03:18 PM   #139
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

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wow, my boogie is hosing me...I got +1600, +2500 and +2000 respectively.

I wish the Panthers had done something around the trade deadline (ala Eagles picking up Tate or Houston picking up Thomas.)
If you use bitcoin at all you can bet on nitrogen which has slightly shaded pinny lines afaik? Low limits though for these futures tho, like $250-$500:


Last edited by Nonfiction; 10-31-2018 at 03:19 PM. Reason: shameless referral link
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Old 10-31-2018, 08:54 PM   #140
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

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Originally Posted by rainmaker1855 View Post
wow, my boogie is hosing me...I got +1600, +2500 and +2000 respectively.

I wish the Panthers had done something around the trade deadline (ala Eagles picking up Tate or Houston picking up Thomas.)
I never understand what it means when someone says respectively like that, translate?
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Old 11-01-2018, 08:25 AM   #141
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

in the same order

in this case referencing the other guys order of pit panthers eagles
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Old 11-01-2018, 04:09 PM   #142
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Even a stopped clock (and Jon Gruden) are right every once in a while. Gimme those Raiders on the ML to beat the banged up Niners.
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Old 11-02-2018, 06:45 PM   #143
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

crazy raiders were like 4th in odds to win superbowl year or two ago.
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Old 11-02-2018, 06:52 PM   #144
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Tough week IMO. Only really like the Rams and the titans ATS. Steelers at +3 is nice too but I think it's down to +2.5 now


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Old 11-03-2018, 04:30 PM   #145
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Like ravens m\l don't like Pittsburgh they are cheap outfit that won't win

Falcon flaco to win . 58% win chance so I would advise people to place £58 as every £ has 1% chance and my profit computer has a green light and a funny song and says it good bet you play.
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Old 11-05-2018, 03:54 PM   #146
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Been running well but my picks posted on 2+2 have been garbage relative to outcomes the last few weeks (so I may well be fade material, at least on here). I know I know classic story...

that being said, I really like the Titans coming off the bye tonight against DAL. What is most exploitable (secondary) about Tennessee's defense isn't the Cowboys strong suit. I think it'll be a gut it out kinda game but I like TEN to win SU. I'll take them +5 and sprinkle ML

Good weekend/day yesterday though for the public. a LOT of public teams came through.
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Old 11-05-2018, 07:12 PM   #147
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NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Is it only +5? Dam I thought it was like +6.5 and was thinking who in earth would take Dallas as a TD favorite

Can't wait to see how the titans screw this up!

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Old 11-06-2018, 12:07 AM   #148
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

I took the Titans after a bad weekend. After the second fumble, I almost switched the channel, was looking like a blowout.
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Old 11-06-2018, 11:26 AM   #149
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boy oh boy did the Titans try to mess this up right out of the gate. but honestly once you got past the first two drives it was pretty clear which was the right side.

I'm honestly surprised Tennessee got the final touchdown and broke the over too, but 3/3 in the RZ converting TDs and 11/14 on third down against a top tier defense. Titans arent that good, that's just good game planning and DAL crapping the bed.

should be a good TNF to watch this week (finally.) though next MNF's game is laughable as well (Giants vs Niners...stink bowl.)
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Old 11-07-2018, 11:59 AM   #150
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

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Can get Pit +2100

I like that and Panthers +2700

Also maybe eagles +3000
Wound up betting all of these, love all of them. FO now has panthers as ~8% to win superbowl, and Eagles are looking like a lock to win the east with the total collapse of the redskins to injuries. Meanwhile Pit beat the ravens and are pretty much a lock to win the north, but they are also likely the 4th best team in the AFC at best.

Current odds on nitrogen are:
Panthers +1300
Eagles +1600
Steelers +1700

Kinda bummed that one of my bets loses this week to the other but meh.
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