NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc. - Page 5 - Sports Betting

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NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

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10-14-2018 , 08:02 PM

#101

Gonefishingmlb

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2018 Posts: 101

KC +3.5, KC +170

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10-14-2018 , 11:43 PM

#102

Howling

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 339

Quote:

Originally Posted by haTTTrick

panthers +1
bears -3

go mow lawns, rake the yards, look in the crouch, scounge as many dollars as you can.

this is a freeroll, no chance both lose.

Now I gotta wait for rain to so I can cut more lawns and build my bankroll back up.

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10-15-2018 , 12:02 AM

#103

haTTTrick

enthusiast

Join Date: Aug 2018 Posts: 53

Quote:

Originally Posted by haTTTrick

https://gyazo.com/deea70effc02624952093e583bf21357

can you hit pretty please?

$3200 parlay loses by 1 and 2 points, erdheTJfdgffffffffff///

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10-15-2018 , 10:00 PM

#104

preki

banned

Join Date: Aug 2017 Posts: 2,382

won some money on the chiefs/pats game, my buddy was generous to give me the pats straight up. I had a different guy offer me the same in the playoffs last year, jags vs pats. lol.

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10-15-2018 , 10:00 PM

#105

haTTTrick

enthusiast

Join Date: Aug 2018 Posts: 53

Quote:

Originally Posted by preki

won some money on the chiefs/pats game, my buddy was generous to give me the pats straight up. I had a different guy offer me the same in the playoffs last year, jags vs pats. lol.

people not in the loop are blinded by records

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10-17-2018 , 03:43 AM

#106

cobrakai111

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 3,947

Wanted to get the thoughts of people smarter than me about potential hedging.

I currently have a $500 bet on Mahomes to win MVP at 67-1 odds, obviously I'm pretty happy to have that kind of value on the frontrunner. Should I start thinking about hedging with Brees and/or Gurley at this point or still too early and too much variance in NFL with 10 weeks left to go?

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10-17-2018 , 03:54 PM

#107

stoffmakers

adept

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 1,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by cobrakai111

way too early

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10-17-2018 , 05:37 PM

#108

Francis_MH

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 10,386

I'd look into selling off a little bit of it or even try offering him at like 5 to 1 to win (Bovada is at 3:1) to get action - and it's probably best to do that now as his odds may never get this low as his hype may be peaking now. Seems like the easiest way to hedge instead of betting other guys so early. Haven't used it but could look at PropSwap to see what you can do as well.

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10-18-2018 , 03:18 AM

#109

cobrakai111

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 3,947

Interesting, hadn't heard of Proswap. I'll check that one out.

Quote

10-18-2018 , 12:14 PM

#110

rainmaker1855

adept

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 1,031

Leaning the under tonight. Total line has gone up 2.5 since open despite most money being on the over.

man, what happened to the promise from the NFL in the preseason about TNF being "really good again"? There was a whole campaign they did about how people would be shocked at how good the games will be. I love football but DEN @ ARI isn't exactly a marquee matchup.

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10-18-2018 , 03:58 PM

#111

Singasong2222

banned

Join Date: Oct 2016 Posts: 1,243

Denver because it landed on heads, crap games needs money make it watchable.

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10-18-2018 , 11:05 PM

#112

br3nt00

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 3,664

Keep that coin

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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10-21-2018 , 12:42 PM

#113

haTTTrick

enthusiast

Join Date: Aug 2018 Posts: 53

pats

allin

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10-21-2018 , 03:00 PM

#114

Singasong2222

banned

Join Date: Oct 2016 Posts: 1,243

Bet titans +6.5 think I will put winnings on Dallas

No idea why .

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10-22-2018 , 06:14 AM

#115

MacGuyV

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 22,298

Obv. the game could've landed wherever with Romo outcoaching both baffoons on the sidelines from the booth, but I have no idea why anyone thought Dallas was the clear better team going into that as the line said.

Next week's card is the worst I've seen. Not a single game to like.
Guess I'll ride this "undefeated fading Trubisky" streak provided there's 7+'s.
Maybe some Minnesota too; tough to sweep consecutive tough road games & I only like revenge games when the prior loser is home.

Sent from my SM-G950U1 using Tapatalk

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10-22-2018 , 07:10 AM

#116

mananamanana

enthusiast

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 68

Quote:

Originally Posted by MacGuyV

Bengals -1 v Bucs and Eagles -3 on neutral field both seem low.

Chiefs -whatever at home v Broncos free money. broncos away or at home so vastly different.

Also like Rams-9 v Packers, Saints +1,5 and probably put my whole BR on pats -6,5 and over teaser v Bills.

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10-22-2018 , 11:37 AM

#117

Gonefishingmlb

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2018 Posts: 101

Falcons -4

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10-22-2018 , 12:45 PM

#118

rainmaker1855

adept

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 1,031

tricky weekend, hope MNF can start the new week off right. Lotsa injuries on the falcons, so I'll go NYG in the "oh man am I betting on Eli Manning?!" game of the week.

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10-22-2018 , 03:23 PM

#119

Mike_McDee

grinder

Join Date: May 2011 Posts: 500

Yeah I'm in the 'fade Eli camp' tonight.

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10-22-2018 , 04:23 PM

#120

rainmaker1855

adept

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 1,031

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mike_McDee

Yeah I'm in the 'fade Eli camp' tonight.

generally a good place to live but the public money (72%) being driven a half point away from Falcons by "sharp" money is noteworthy

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10-22-2018 , 04:41 PM

#121

Gonefishingmlb

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2018 Posts: 101

Haha you're funny rainmaker. What about during the week, "sharp" money pushed the line to -6? Don't want to start an argument here, just funny that you only consider late line movement.

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10-22-2018 , 11:18 PM

#122

Gonefishingmlb

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2018 Posts: 101

Bow down to rainmaker, good call man!

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10-23-2018 , 03:21 AM

#123

Fubster

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 8,949

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gonefishingmlb

Haha you're funny rainmaker. What about during the week, "sharp" money pushed the line to -6? Don't want to start an argument here, just funny that you only consider late line movement.

lots of books that take actual large bets up their limits around thursday, lots of local type shops move in response those books blindly.

Quote

10-23-2018 , 04:34 AM

#124

Gonefishingmlb

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2018 Posts: 101

Thanks but that's not always the case though. I've seen both ways. Like the Colts for example line moved from -7.5 to -9 very early then when it's game time dropped back to -7.