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Old 01-21-2019, 09:02 AM   #276
RichGangi
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

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I'm liking both dogs....
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Old 01-21-2019, 01:42 PM   #277
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Pats lost the TO battle 0-2 on the road against the #1 O in the conference and the likely MVP of the league and they still won? yea, I'll be betting large on T Brady and Pats in the SB. As long as the Pats slow the run and force Goff to throw I think they will cover easily. Brady's first SB win was against the Rams and so will his last SB win.
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Old 01-21-2019, 03:25 PM   #278
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

The superbowl will be a totally different game, Brady won't be playing against a garbage D who'll let him march up and down the field. If Goff doesn't let the pressure get to him, I think the Rams win comfortably.

P.S. Mahomes took his team to the conference championship game with the 31st ranked defense in the league. Give that guy some help and he'll be unstoppable.
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Old 01-22-2019, 04:48 PM   #279
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

I think coaching is a tie but for QB matchups in high pressure games I gotta think experience matters. Gimme the pats ML!


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Old 01-23-2019, 07:56 AM   #280
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

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The superbowl will be a totally different game, Brady won't be playing against a garbage D who'll let him march up and down the field. If Goff doesn't let the pressure get to him, I think the Rams win comfortably.


You mad, bro?
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Old 01-23-2019, 12:00 PM   #281
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

I'm still sticking with my original pick (for now) but I've actually been hearing some fairly compelling arguments for LAR in this game. A lot of comparisons can be made to the Atlanta Falcons team a few years ago which (if he hadnt completely stopped running the ball) should of probably beaten the pats handily. If Gurley and CJA can combo up and take it out of Goffs hands AND that D-line can keep pressure on Brady it may be a better game. Pats already being bet up to -2.5 and we are 1.5 weeks out.

Prop bet lines come out this Thursday....cannot wait to start piling through those bad boys.
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Old 01-23-2019, 02:32 PM   #282
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

sagarin has these two virtually dead even.
strength of schedule rams are 10 points superior.
the EV is taking the rams and the money line
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Old 01-24-2019, 09:18 AM   #283
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Tease Rams to +8.5 seems like a solid idea ... ?


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Old 01-25-2019, 12:44 PM   #284
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

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Rodgers Hail Mary . That’s what I need to get win

Lost week after week after week . Only bet nfl so that’s all I lose on

Only two weeks left so thrown my first Hail Mary bet on chiefs -3 rams +3

Bet as big a double as I can afford. If lose at least only one game left for me to give them my money

Feel like use walking into bookies and putting my money on counter and saying here take my money. Easier and less stress. Still have more chance winning then my picks.
Had to work and would be unable to watch rams vs saints game live. Cashed out and rams won.

Annoying so instead of backing Kansas City I thought if I back New England and they win then it will feel good as the double would of lost.

That’s my strategy when I bet lol. Most of the time it bites me in the arse. Felt good watching New England converted 3 3rd downs in o/t.

Going for rams and points. Surely the goat Brady will be fatigued at age 41 after whole season.
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Old 01-25-2019, 01:01 PM   #285
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

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Going for rams and points. Surely the goat Brady will be fatigued at age 41 after whole season.
Surely!

Not saying it's a bad bet, but the logic behind it sure is imo. GL tho!
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Old 01-26-2019, 08:11 PM   #286
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

41 he has played every game nearly and how many 3rd downs can a team make?

They had everything go there way.

NFC the over and rams treble. Falcons and Seahawks gave the pats two superbowls, if luck is meant to even out the pats should fumble at 1 yard line up by 6 and rams recover for 99 yards touchdown on last play.
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Old 01-29-2019, 07:23 AM   #287
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Decided to cross the 3 and take Rams +3.5 -149 at a local which is right on the pinny no vig line. Might take their ml as well.
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Old 01-31-2019, 02:43 AM   #288
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

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41 he has played every game nearly and how many 3rd downs can a team make?
Brady on 3rd vs. Rams' D > Goff on 3rd vs. Pats' D

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They had everything go there way.

NFC the over and rams treble. Falcons and Seahawks gave the pats two superbowls, if luck is meant to even out the pats should fumble at 1 yard line up by 6 and rams recover for 99 yards touchdown on last play.
If Brady didn't throw that pick, that game would have been almost over after one quarter.
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Old 01-31-2019, 09:54 AM   #289
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Leaning NE -2.5 (-110)
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Old 02-01-2019, 04:52 PM   #290
Singasong2222
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Bet rams and over. Cashed out and just bet rams m/l

Hard get single win and will be less enjoyable if low scoring.
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Old 02-01-2019, 05:17 PM   #291
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Let's goooo!




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Old 02-02-2019, 06:03 AM   #292
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

I found this bet:

How many times will Giselle Bundchen be shown on TV during CBS broadcast?
over 1.5 = -192; 2/1; 1.5
under 1.5 = +135; 4/3; 2.35

Over looks like free money to me?! What am I missing?
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Old 02-04-2019, 02:19 PM   #293
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Goth and Brady = mvcrap

Rams score 3 points just wtf . They average 32 points a game and there biggest game ever they score 3 points against a average d.

Lol if think can pick a game on a regular basis on nfl. Impossible
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Old 02-04-2019, 05:42 PM   #294
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Lol the books definitely cleaned up, lowest scoring sb in NFL history.

Whew time to move to basketball!

What'd I learn this year? Do the opposite of what I think makes sense.


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Old 02-07-2019, 06:30 AM   #295
Singasong2222
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Pats are a anomaly they should not be as good as they are. Not the best offensive team and not the best defensive team. They have same salary caps as other teams and have lowest draft picks every year. So any one would think surely just a coach and goat at 41 can’t keep doing what they do every year.

They do and even though we all want them to lose they just lol us and win win win.

From now on and just never betting against them . Unlucky pats with my luck they will be the new browns when I start back them.

Was a idiot backing Dallas for future bet this Super Bowl. So to keep up the idiot in me am backing
Spoiler:
this year. Which is a bad bet I know but as long as they can get close or in playoffs that would be ok.
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Old 02-07-2019, 09:02 AM   #296
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Re: NFL 2018–1 season picks, discussion, etc.

Quote:
we all want them to lose
No, No we "all" don't. Some of us want them to keep on winning.
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