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NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc.

05-22-2017 , 01:14 PM
Wow someones really hitting the Spurs ML, down to +562 now
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 01:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jackitos
There are 2 kinds of teasers there.

One gives 13pts, and if you tie, you lose. -120

The other gives 6 points, but a tie demotes it to a 3 team. The demoting one gives +300 odds.
Gotcha, well I'm prob the wrong person to ask about teasers so I don't wanna even go there hah hopefully someone else can chime in.
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 01:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ProfBets
Gotcha, well I'm prob the wrong person to ask about teasers so I don't wanna even go there hah hopefully someone else can chime in.
I was mainly just curious about the spreads and OU given. Like where the hell do you lean, because these games are gonna be tough
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 01:17 PM
i like the +300 one also
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 01:18 PM
Complete side note: I'm up 110 units for the week.
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 04:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jackitos
Complete side note: I'm up 110 units for the week.
haha sheesh im down 10
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 04:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FrankyRizzo
haha sheesh im down 10
I bet cavs and GS hard on 2 days .
Had a 36 unit day on Cavs and a 24 unit day on GS.

The rest is just random things... 10 units on a tennis bet.

Was 18-5. 3 were bets that i took advice on for hockey , when I should have avoided. 1 was a max bet in the cavs game where they won by 46, 12 units.

I should be up more, but I'm definitely great with the current outcome.
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 04:57 PM
i put that 4 team teaser in lol
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 05:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FrankyRizzo
i put that 4 team teaser in lol
hahah, the +300 one?

I only bet GS-7 1H.
Really not even sure how I feel about it.
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 05:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jackitos
hahah, the +300 one?
yes youre running good, i gotta follow before i forget about it
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 05:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FrankyRizzo
yes youre running good, i gotta follow before i forget about it
I didn't bet it, man!

I haven't collected my thoughts on these games. I may just skip this game and be happy with the winnings.
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 05:13 PM
This is all of my action tonight. And it's just mainly gamble. I just want something to sweat, and I don't feel good enough to actually bet this game like I normally would.

GL all!!

NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 05:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ProfBets
Wow someones really hitting the Spurs ML, down to +562 now
Bovada has it down to +500...SA getting 11.5 and the O/U presently still at 218.

I'd like to think SA won't thoroughly suck again, but today's movement seems too much like people expecting a repeat of last night and loading up on the dog.
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 06:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by michelle227
Bovada has it down to +500...SA getting 11.5 and the O/U presently still at 218.

I'd like to think SA won't thoroughly suck again, but today's movement seems too much like people expecting a repeat of last night and loading up on the dog.
I agree, that's the only explanation. Didn't think the Spurs were gonna get swept though but doesn't it even give GS more motivation to finish them off today knowing they'll have more rest then CLE after that loss yesterday?

I've been watching the Spurs the entire season and playoffs and think +11 or +12 is too many points but idk I'm gonna go that route, if I do might try the alternative +7.5 +200 as well, again the only good play seems to be the Over but it's getting almost too high.

Lee is another loss defensively ontop of Kawhi obv but I just don't see much fight left in them and Pop even seemed to throw in the towel too easily in game 3 like he's had enough of them. Not to mention complete no shows by LMA lately, although I get it the matchup is a lot harder vs Draymond.

I've seen them win a lot when everyone's counted them out though and when it's against the consensus pick especially in the playoffs but I just don't see it like in the HOU or MEM series before this and obv much different/worse opponents.

Last edited by ProfBets; 05-22-2017 at 06:32 PM.
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 06:40 PM
GS -11 tonight.

I think totally the opposite. +11 +12 are so comfortable to pick SA especially they lost by 12 pts last game and WOW boston has proved dog can win big without their key player. Let those Spurs believers chase their money lol
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 06:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ProfBets
I agree, that's the only explanation. Didn't think the Spurs were gonna get swept though but doesn't it even give GS more motivation to finish them off today knowing they'll have more rest then CLE after that loss yesterday?
I can very easily see GS coaches using last night as their motivation to go out and kick butt tonight, the example of what complacency can lead to.

Quote:
I've been watching the Spurs the entire season and playoffs and think +11 or +12 is too many points but idk I'm gonna go that route, if I do might try the alternative +7.5 +200 as well, again the only good play seems to be the Over but it's getting almost too high.
concur about too many points...even with the injuries, SA has shown against HOU that they could put together at least one night of awesome performance with a star on the bench.

What makes this difficult from a betting perspective is you never know who on the bench may actually step up AND you don't know whether GS may use it as a night off for some of the starters, effectively giving an extra day of rest while allowing reserves to get meaningful minutes. When that occurs, games can get high scoring or they can get ugly in a hurry...and O/U lines get crumpled up when that happens

This may be a good one to just look at the alternate spreads for fewer units...or look at the player-specific props.

GS winning the series was a foregone conclusion even before it started, and I don't care whether it had been HOU or SA. HOU/SA just beat each other up too much to be effective against GS...although the lack of defense would have made for some sky-high O/U lines had it been HOU instead of SA in this series...
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 06:47 PM
If it ends up with a lot of bench mins on either team, I like the Over even more. SA has soo many bench players that will never stop launching 3s and driving to the basket in absolute garbage time, not even running down the play clock, that are actually pretty decent at shooting, maybe not defending apart from Dedmon occasionally.
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 06:54 PM
Gasol total assists line at 1.5 seems really low. Even though he's only had 1 assist in each of the games in this series so far and isn't getting much run, his time should increase with Lee out. And he looks for assists it's not a coincidence, had 5, 2, 3, 4, 3, 1 in the HOU games although a lot easier matchup obv.

Idk if ya'll r familar with rotogrinders tools but courtIQ is pretty good for seeing the usage increases/decreases of teams when said player(s) are out.
https://rotogrinders.com/courtiq

W/Parker, Kawhi, Lee out, it has Gasol at a 26.1% usage rate, barely behind LMA (who hasn't even showed up in this series yet) for the top, and Gasol's usage increases 4.9% with these players out.

*In the 3 games Lee was completely out vs Jazz, Timberwolves, and Hornets Gasol had 13/12/3, 11/7/2, and 5/5/3 games (Pts/Reb/Ast). Gasol even is averaging 2.3 assists for the entire season.

Last edited by ProfBets; 05-22-2017 at 07:14 PM.
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 08:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jackitos
This is all of my action tonight. And it's just mainly gamble. I just want something to sweat, and I don't feel good enough to actually bet this game like I normally would.

GL all!!

Also took Nashville. I like the teaser sweat. Gl
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 10:13 PM
Gasol 2 assists at H although I didn't take it hah even after all that research.

Took GS -7 1st H and O218 on full game.
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 10:26 PM
I'm on par or won all of them so far.
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 11:15 PM
Made a last minute 4 unit bet on Ginobli 9.5 pts.

6 for 6.
+14 unit night....
I was supposed to bet much, but I'm an addict.
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 11:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FrankyRizzo
Also took Nashville. I like the teaser sweat. Gl
You sweating if you took Spurs points.

GL MAN
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 11:28 PM
very very small profit night.

I knew the Over 2nd H was the play, it started at 107pts but quickly went up to 109pts and I ended up betting the U 109pts cuz I thought there was a middle between my O 218 and U 225 which there was, but I recalled way too many 2nd H bets I've made where that damn 1 pt or even 0.5 pt line movement didn't hit and screwed me. Also knew that Gasol O1.5 assists was the play but thought I was over thinking things and didn't wanna risk significant funds on some stupid player prop out of the blue.

Anyone have tips on when you just can't get out of ur own head?
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote
05-22-2017 , 11:30 PM
Wow thank you Anderson for banging that 3 with 10 seconds left haha. The teaser is alive!

Won Nashville ML and over 2h
NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. Quote

      
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