NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. - Page 24 - Sports Betting

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05-17-2017 , 09:41 PM

#576

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

1H down. Let's gooooooo

Quote

05-17-2017 , 09:44 PM

#577

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

Tough bets this second half.
Leaning celts - 4. Not touching the OU

Quote

05-17-2017 , 09:52 PM

#578

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProfBets

good 1st H, keep it up.

Don't like any of these 2nd H lines at all, staying off.

Yeah same.
As much as I have at risk, risking <4 units seems not worth it to gamble. Literally a coin flip.

If I were to bet, would take under 107.5 and celts -4

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:02 PM

#579

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

3-0 ship it. Huge swing +36 units

GJ all

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:04 PM

#580

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Was really close to hitting the Under 219.5 before tip lol glad I didn't, 100 pts at half.

CLE to win 1st H and CLE win Final +100
and had CLE -3 buy 1/2 a point lol.

GG, ez $

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:09 PM

#581

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

That line was way ****ed.
I thought they might split in Boston, but I don't think so now. I was going to bet ML Boston, but i really don't think so.

Thoughts?

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:11 PM

#582

ZachL

veteran

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 3,058

Sometimes it is that easy I guess

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:25 PM

#583

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Nice to have any easy one for a change, cuz it's NEVER easy lol maybe 1 of 100 bets.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:32 PM

#584

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jackitos

That line was way ****ed.
I thought they might split in Boston, but I don't think so now. I was going to bet ML Boston, but i really don't think so.

Thoughts?

Idk i don't think so, too early to tell though, clocking out for the night.

I'd prob take CLE up to -6 ish for the next game but depends.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:37 PM

#585

OMGmartingale

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 440

Yeah that line really ****ed with my head the last three days.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:44 PM

#586

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

Quote:

Originally Posted by OMGmartingale

Yeah that line really ****ed with my head the last three days.

As soon as I saw -3.5, I booked it ASAP. No delay, no doubt.

Quote

05-18-2017 , 12:11 AM

#587

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

Was gonna sleep, but line opened at -5.5, so i bet 8 units on it. I don't know if Boston wins a game now. They didn't look good at all, but they did miss a ton of open 3s. Maybe I'll chill and stay with that bet only, and bet hard on home games.

Quote

05-18-2017 , 12:14 AM

#588

OMGmartingale

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 440

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jackitos

As soon as I saw -3.5, I booked it ASAP. No delay, no doubt.

I hit the opening ml. But then got weirded out that it never really moved.

Quote

05-18-2017 , 05:02 AM

#589

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

So do gsw and cavs both make the finals undefeated ?

Quote

05-18-2017 , 08:46 AM

#590

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

Quote:

Originally Posted by grumpy64

So do gsw and cavs both make the finals undefeated ?

I dunno.

I think maybe spurs take 1 if Leonard comes back.

I originally thought Cavs in 5, but last night was pretty bad. Totally not sure.

Quote

05-18-2017 , 09:38 AM

#591

FrankyRizzo

adept

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 971

Quote

05-18-2017 , 10:54 AM

#592

rainmaker1855

adept

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 1,031

Quote:

Originally Posted by grumpy64

So do gsw and cavs both make the finals undefeated ?

tough to bet on a Pop team getting swept; especially when they played so well with KL in G1 and we haven't seen him come back yet. so for SAS I'd say no sweep.

Cavs v Celts is really interesting - it all depends on whether or not CLE will commit to defense every game. I dont know the exact percentages, but 4 game sweeps (barring serious injury to a key player or two) I feel like are pretty rare. So I'd lean no on there as well; but of the two this one is more likely IMO

Quote

05-19-2017 , 04:22 PM

#593

OMGmartingale

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 440

Everyone on clev again cept mo?

Quote

05-19-2017 , 04:37 PM

#594

FrankyRizzo

adept

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 971

lol i took

cle 1h -2
cle whole game -5.5
cle 1st team to score 10
cle 1st team to score 20

when i do that i usually lose all so gl me

Quote

05-19-2017 , 06:11 PM

#595

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

I'm not gonna bet anymore on g2. I got an 8 unit bet out for cle - 5.5

I originally thought Boston was going to win game 2, so i bet against my gut. I'm mad about it

Quote

05-19-2017 , 06:12 PM

#596

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

Quote:

Originally Posted by FrankyRizzo

lol i took

cle 1h -2
cle whole game -5.5
cle 1st team to score 10
cle 1st team to score 20

when i do that i usually lose all so gl me

If you're sure Cle gonna win, why not bet moneyline? Or is that a sucker bet?

Quote

05-19-2017 , 06:47 PM

#597

OMGmartingale

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 440

I can't see a path to victory for Bos but obviously market disagrees with me from the line. I guess if celts win one thinking is it is most likely game 2. Idk. Bulls swept celts at home to start playoffs.

Quote

05-19-2017 , 07:45 PM

#598

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Interesting what I just dug up, with Green starting, it's 0-4 Over/Unders in the playoffs and 3-6 including regular season.

Was already kinda liking the Under before that, especially the 1st H number. It's gone to 202, 205pts in the 2 regular season games in Boston vs Cavs, and it was 100 pts at half in game 1. Most of the 121 points in the 2nd H that hit the over barely by 1 pt were garbage time points.

Last edited by ProfBets; 05-19-2017 at 07:54 PM.

Quote

05-19-2017 , 08:22 PM

#599

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

if you believe in any of that narrative stuff...

Rachel Nichols
@Rachel__Nichols

1) @NBAonTNT announces that Russ, James Harden & Kawhi are the three Finalists for MVP.
2) Someone tells LeBron, 15 minutes before tipoff
3)

(I'd say take with a grain of salt)