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National Basketball Association 2011-12 National Basketball Association 2011-12

02-22-2012 , 07:55 PM
You know Joe Johnson isn't playing?

Edit: nvm, couldn't find confirmation. He's listed as doubtful tho.
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02-22-2012 , 07:57 PM
Yeah that's the only thing stopping me from loading up.

Man I have a strong feeling on this tho. Hrmph

ETA: Meh, I threw 3u more in. Not a crazy amount
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02-22-2012 , 11:13 PM
any update on Ty Lawson?

nevermind:

Ty Lawson will not play Wednesday due to his ankle injury.
Andre Miller gets a boost, and Lawson should be pulled from lineups if you still can. Our guess is Lawson will be good to go after the All-Star break. Feb 22 - 10:14 PM

Last edited by Boobaloo; 02-22-2012 at 11:22 PM.
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02-23-2012 , 10:36 AM
Dayum I saw that the Knicks were +10, by the time I got around to betting it they were +9

I still think that's way too many points to give the Knicks. Put 10.5u on them at +9

Might add more later
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02-23-2012 , 02:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyFondue
Dayum I saw that the Knicks were +10, by the time I got around to betting it they were +9

I still think that's way too many points to give the Knicks. Put 10.5u on them at +9

Might add more later
Good to see that i'm not even really a basketball fan and I saw the line and threw half a unit on even though I don't follow closely at +10 thinking the line should be 7ish instead, turns out all my friends who follow closely seem to agree. Hold plz.
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02-23-2012 , 06:59 PM
OKC -7.

Knicks match up poorly with Heat. Have problems with pick n roll turnovers, Heat defend the pick n roll really well.

Last edited by just_mo; 02-23-2012 at 07:24 PM.
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02-23-2012 , 07:42 PM
Threw 13.5u more on Knicks +10 (-103)

Guess it's time for some run good and a Jeremy Lin show
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02-23-2012 , 08:06 PM
You have a quarter of your roll in play betting against this Heat team?
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02-23-2012 , 08:31 PM
yeah 10 pts seems like a lot but i just can't bring myself bet against the heat at home here when they've started straight up crushing teams (like they have always been supposed to when healthy) and now have a hyped up game where they should be highly motivated to show linsanity what's up. i'm hoping for a close game but can easily envision a heat blowout

on lakers +7 tonight
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02-23-2012 , 09:04 PM
Ya I'm not really willing to bet on Heat -10 but I'm also def not willing to bet they WON'T cover 10. Knicks lookin good so far though, Heat offense looking stagnant. No good offball cuts or 3p kickouts. I'm on the under for this game and the Lakers game.
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02-24-2012 , 03:06 PM
Anyone else think 275 is ridiculously high for the chuck/shaq game?

I thought it would be 260ish and I would have contemplated the over, but 275 is crazy.
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02-24-2012 , 03:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nickthetick
Anyone else think 275 is ridiculously high for the chuck/shaq game?

I thought it would be 260ish and I would have contemplated the over, but 275 is crazy.
Past scores

2011 Rookies 148, Sophomores 140 = 288
2010 Rookies 140, Sophomores 128 = 268
2009 Rookies 116, Sophomores 122 = 238
2008 Sophomores 136, Rookies 109 = 245

Average of last 4 = 260

I figure you're right and it is a bit high but 275 isn't crazy.

Last edited by Robification; 02-24-2012 at 03:30 PM. Reason: 275 isn't crazy
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02-24-2012 , 03:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Robification
Past scores

2011 Rookies 148, Sophomores 140 = 288
2010 Rookies 140, Sophomores 128 = 268
2009 Rookies 116, Sophomores 122 = 238
2008 Sophomores 136, Rookies 109 = 245

Average of last 4 = 260

I figure you're right and it is a bit high but 275 isn't crazy.
I'm thinking that with the new format, the players might take it a bit more seriously. They're on an actual team now, and not just thrown in with their fellow rookies and sophomores. I'm hoping that each of the teams play a couple more possessions of defense.
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02-24-2012 , 05:29 PM
I know this is degen of me but anyone think there's value on +4 on I think it was Team Chuck in the rookie game? I mean it's basically a pickup game that nobody takes seriously, isn't it just a tossup?
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02-24-2012 , 05:36 PM
Wait till close public is gonna pound shaq
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02-24-2012 , 07:07 PM
It is crazy how much I am entertaining betting this game after reading this thread, I'd never consider it normally lol. The under especially looks kinda enticing.
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02-24-2012 , 07:57 PM
fwiw, steve kerr said on the bs report that blake will hardly play. Team Chuck at +5.5 is starting too look even better,
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02-24-2012 , 08:15 PM
I'm on the under and Team Shaq.
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02-24-2012 , 08:32 PM
I was also thinking the new format would lend itself to more defense being played....especially with older former star nba players drafting and coaching the teams and playing for bragging rights....I've been looking around for others that have the same opinion.

Also, I took a look at the "simple rating" on 82games.com, expecting to find an advantage in the total team +- team statistic when I add up the Shaq players vs Charles players and the Charles players actually have a higher total simple rating. This is a simple stat, hence the name, however it measures their production vs their counterpart on the court. I do really like Rubio and Lin to setup their teammates quite nicely in this format though.

Therefore IMO....

Under looks quite good
Charles looks ok

GL
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02-24-2012 , 08:37 PM
Wall + Cousins dominated last year. Wall feels very slighted at going in the 5th round. I keep talking myself into taking that +5.5 to go with the under.
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02-24-2012 , 10:21 PM
am I the only one who didnt know this is a 40 minute game?? glad I took the under although its prob a bad bet if it was 48 min like i thought.
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02-24-2012 , 10:53 PM
Hindsights 20/20 i know, i know.....but regretting already not putting more on cousins +1.5 over blake pts +rbs. Kerr admitted that blake wasnt going to play much at all before the game!
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02-25-2012 , 12:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Robification
I'm on the under and Team Shaq.
Whoops.
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02-25-2012 , 01:13 AM
The end of that game was jokes. Thought i was golden with 2 mins left...then starts the improvised dunk contest.
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02-25-2012 , 10:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nickthetick
The end of that game was jokes. Thought i was golden with 2 mins left...then starts the improvised dunk contest.
and yet the 2h under hit

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