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National Basketball Association 2011-12 National Basketball Association 2011-12

01-14-2012 , 01:38 PM
Minn/Atl o188
GS -3
Por/Hou u195
NY/OKC o197
NO/Mem o176
Chi -13.5
Sac/Dal u194.5
tw 1u

Phi -7.5
GS/Cha u192
tw 2u

52-47-1 +5.3u ytd
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-14-2012 , 02:32 PM
gsw/cha u191 -105
tor/chi o176.5 -105
njn/uta u190.5 -103
sac/dal u195 -105

if nyk/okc moves to 198 or por/hou to 197 the unders might be worth a play

17-12-1 +3.12u
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-14-2012 , 02:51 PM
Pacers -3.5 vs. Celtics

Pacers (8-3) vs. Celts (4-6)
Pacers are undefeated 4-0 at home
Celts 1-3 on road
8 days ago Pacers are 6 pt dog at Boston and won by 13

Am i missing something or should the Pacers be about a 10 pt fave here??
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-14-2012 , 06:24 PM
Here are my under bets so far, I'm waiting on 2 games to see if they can move favorably before I bet them.

All apart of my JonFon Bets The Under On Every Game System

Boston Celtics/Indiana Pacers Under 181½ -108*
Philadelphia 76ers/Washington Wizards Under 186 -105*
Minnesota Timberwolves/Atlanta Hawks Under 188 -105*
Golden State Warriors/Charlotte Bobcats Under 190½ -105*
Portland Trailblazers/Houston Rockets Under 196 -105*
New York Knicks/Oklahoma City Thunder Under 197 -105*
New Jersey Nets/Utah Jazz Under 190½ -105*
Sacramento Kings/Dallas Mavericks Under 195 -105*
Los Angeles Lakers/Los Angeles Clippers Under 189 -103*

All to win 1u
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-14-2012 , 07:43 PM
Tried to wait for a better line, didn't work. Adding

New Orleans Hornets/Memphis Grizzlies Under 174½ -105*
Toronto Raptors/Chicago Bulls Under 176½ -105*

To win 1u
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-15-2012 , 04:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyFondue
Here are my under bets so far, I'm waiting on 2 games to see if they can move favorably before I bet them.

All apart of my JonFon Bets The Under On Every Game System

Boston Celtics/Indiana Pacers Under 181½ -108* W
Philadelphia 76ers/Washington Wizards Under 186 -105* L
Minnesota Timberwolves/Atlanta Hawks Under 188 -105* W
Golden State Warriors/Charlotte Bobcats Under 190½ -105* L
Portland Trailblazers/Houston Rockets Under 196 -105* L
New York Knicks/Oklahoma City Thunder Under 197 -105* W
New Jersey Nets/Utah Jazz Under 190½ -105* L
Sacramento Kings/Dallas Mavericks Under 195 -105* W
Los Angeles Lakers/Los Angeles Clippers Under 189 -103* L

All to win 1u
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyFondue
Tried to wait for a better line, didn't work. Adding

New Orleans Hornets/Memphis Grizzlies Under 174½ -105* L
Toronto Raptors/Chicago Bulls Under 176½ -105* W

To win 1u
Meh. 5-6 on the day (-1.26u)

YTD JonFon's Under system is 12-15 (-3.62u)

As I'm getting a hang of this system, 'beating' the closing line isn't nearly as important as trying to get the under on the highest number. So if it opens at 190 and closes at 195, it's obv better to wait til it's been bet up.

Seems obvious.

Still guaranteeing profit on this system
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-15-2012 , 05:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SchererBoy
1-1 tonight... -1u.... **** you refs and heat free throws.

+12u for the season
Do you not have to pay juice or something... how do you go 1-1 for -1 unit? Seems like you don't know how to grade yourself or are doing something very weird.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-15-2012 , 05:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SchererBoy
Bad picks last night, to go 0-2 for -2.6u

+10.9u for the season

Heat have lost 3 straight, Lakers have won 5 straight, Kobe's scored 40+ in the last 3 of those, so I'm still happy
And once again, losing a -160 and a game on the spread at say -110 then you lose 2.7 units not 2.6 units.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-15-2012 , 12:44 PM
GS +5
Utah/Den o185.5
PHX/San o197
tw 1u

GS/Det u188
tw 2u

54-54-1 -0.5u ytd
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-15-2012 , 02:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyFondue
Meh. 5-6 on the day (-1.26u)

YTD JonFon's Under system is 12-15 (-3.62u)

As I'm getting a hang of this system, 'beating' the closing line isn't nearly as important as trying to get the under on the highest number. So if it opens at 190 and closes at 195, it's obv better to wait til it's been bet up.

Seems obvious.

Still guaranteeing profit on this system
Do you not understand that these are essentially the same thing?

Seems obvious
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-15-2012 , 02:41 PM
^^ curious what his definition of the closing line was. to be fair, he never guaranteed he knew what he was talking about, only gtd profit.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-15-2012 , 03:56 PM
gsw/det u188 -105
uta/den u207.5 -104

18-15-1 +.99u
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-15-2012 , 03:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by secretsinthedirt
Utah/Den o185.5
what is this
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-15-2012 , 05:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ClayRaiken
^^ curious what his definition of the closing line was. to be fair, he never guaranteed he knew what he was talking about, only gtd profit.
Hahaha. Wp. Ya basically.

Here is what I'm on today:

Warriors ML (+165) for 1.7u

And my under bets:

Warriors/Pistons u187 (-105)
Jazz/nuggets u207.5 (-104)
Sun/Spurs u197 (-108)

All to win 1u
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-15-2012 , 09:41 PM
ridiculous beat for the under in the det/gsw game. 19 points scored in the last 2:15 in a 15 point game, including a "meaningless" 3 for prince at the buzzer.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-15-2012 , 11:04 PM
I sweat that game as well and pondered that 3 point shot. It actually cost me from chopping, so I wasn't going to win, but I didn't want to lose, either.

Game was interesting. Glad I took Warriors ML.

The scoring started at a moderate tempo and slowly picked up speed. It was on pace to go easily under by the end of the 1st Q. By the end of the 3rd it was looking very close.

Oh well
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-15-2012 , 11:19 PM
still waiting on assani locks
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-16-2012 , 12:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyFondue
Here is what I'm on today:

Warriors ML (+165) for 1.7u W (2.8u)

And my under bets:

Warriors/Pistons u187 (-105) L (Closed at 187.5 -105)
Jazz/nuggets u207.5 (-104) W (Closed at 206.5 -105
Sun/Spurs u197 (-108) W (Closed at 197.5 -102)

All to win 1u
Better day today than I've been having lately. I got close to getting pretty good lines compared to closing. I got quite a bit better lines compared to opening

Ended today: +3.75u

And JonFon's Bet The Under In Every Game System:

YTD: 14-16 (-2.67u)

Unfortunately, most of tomorrow's games totals have moved down slightly since they opened, hopefully the squares will pound the overs for me
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-16-2012 , 01:30 AM
JohnnyFondue: How are the multichance teasers working out for you? I'm trying them out tomorrow.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-16-2012 , 05:13 AM
Heh ive actually ran pretty well on them, though I'm sure they're -EV. I decided to not post me because they get kinda complicated, and sometimes I do them for micro units(to win lots of units) so they aren't that exciting when I go 5/6 or whatever.

They're still fun though. I also like the progressive parlays. That way if you miss one leg you still win heaps.

Maybe I'll include what I estimate to be really profitable legs. But proh not, Ill just stick with my unders system and straight bets.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-16-2012 , 07:51 AM
Off to sleep, here are my early game under bets:

Chicago Bulls/Memphis Grizzlies Under 177 -110*
Milwaukee Bucks/Philadelphia 76ers Under 187 -110*
Houston Rockets/Washington Wizards Under 189 -110*
Cleveland Cavaliers/Charlotte Bobcats Under 193½ -110*
Portland Trailblazers/New Orleans Hornets Under 181½ -110*
Toronto Raptors/Atlanta Hawks Under 177½ -110*

All to to win 1u

Sticking with my system here. I am going to bed so I can't get the cheaper juice that's important. Gonna be close.

I'm also on:

Chicago Bulls -4 (-110) for 2.1u

I also really like OKC tomorrow, but I won't bet it until mid-day tomorrow. Hopefully the line doesn't move too much before then.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-16-2012 , 11:48 AM
NY +2
Chi/Mem o177
Hou/Was u190.5
Cle/Cha o194
Por/NO u182
Atl -10.5
Minn -7
OKC/Bos u187
tw 1u

NY/Orl u192
Tor/Atl o177.5
tw 2u

56-56-1 -1.8u ytd
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-16-2012 , 01:08 PM
what's going on with chicago memphis ? Public is at 80% on CHI and the line went from -4.5 to -2. Not sure what to make of that

for tonight I have

Under 183.5 (DAL/LAL) -107
Under 195.5 (SAC/MIN) -102 (now at 197.5)

Last edited by babar86; 01-16-2012 at 01:14 PM.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-16-2012 , 01:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by babar86
what's going on with chicago memphis ? Public is at 80% on CHI and the line went from -4.5 to -2. Not sure what to make of that

for tonight I have

Under 183.5 (DAL/LAL) -107
Under 195.5 (SAC/MIN) -102 (now at 197.5)
Rose is questionable, supposedly a true game time decision. Was wearing a boot(toe) when he arrived today.

I am with you and the Sac/min under, it has moved to 197.5 (pinny) from opening at 192. Also on Memp/Chi Over 174. Gl.

Last edited by EarlyCuyler; 01-16-2012 at 01:52 PM.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-16-2012 , 01:50 PM
chi/mem o174 -105

more later

19-16-1 +.94u
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote

      
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