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Old 05-19-2020, 11:33 PM   #151
DefNotRsigley
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Couple props:

A ford Wins Toyota 500 +175. Harvick, Keselowski, and Logano are all driving Fords.
Another on Harvick to Win +550

Both times I bet that early and market moved opposite way, whoops.
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Old 05-20-2020, 03:07 PM   #152
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Winning car number is even -225, have fair at -292
Matt Kenseth Top 5 +450

Nascar just announced tonight the competition caution is lap 25 and it's not the modified caution from Sunday - so people can be passed. This is bad IMO for all those guys up front like Logano, Bowyer, Blaney. Less chance they'll lead laps before Harvick, Kurt, Hamlin, etc. catch them. Harvick is really in a great spot again with the #1 stall. He gained so many spots last race due to it outside of the one time his pit crew screwed up. I wouldn't be surprised if Harvick is leading after lap 25.

I would X out Preece and Ty Dillon. Small chance they do anything meaningful now.

Rain is also moving, they might actually race tonight.
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Old 05-20-2020, 05:33 PM   #153
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Already out on Preece and Dillon but was big on Logano, Bowyer & Blaney. Think it's reasonable to play no one from front row or should still play at least one?
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Old 05-20-2020, 05:45 PM   #154
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

For those I personally X'd out Blaney but he could be good. I put Logano and Bowyer into a group and set max 1 from the group since I feel only one will get the dominator points and pay off. When the caution news came out I went from about 30% of each to about 20% each.

21% Logano
22% Bowyer

Could be good tho, I'm just worried that only one will do good but unsure which one. And with the other news there's less time for either to lead giving less laps led, etc. I'm also worried Hamlin is gonna jump up to 1st early on. Went big on him in tournaments.

For cash I kinda took a high risk lineup. All the "balanced" ones I built had either Logano or Bowyer. I opted instead to shove in Harvick which left me with Quin Hoff or Poole. Went Poole. Not really smart but what can you do. Probably should have went Hoff for the lower floor.

Last edited by DefNotRsigley; 05-20-2020 at 05:52 PM.
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Old 05-20-2020, 06:05 PM   #155
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Looks like the $500K field agrees-- 20% Logano 19% Bowyer

Truex 11%, Kenseth 13%, Jones 18% owned in gpp look kinda good to me.
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Old 05-20-2020, 06:08 PM   #156
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

here's ownership across the big 3. turns out even 20% is above field

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Old 05-20-2020, 06:17 PM   #157
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

with my %



seems i'm way under on Stenhouse, so need him to wreck again. Reddick too.

I'm surprised Hamlin is so low owned.

I kinda wish Harvick bombs now for tournament, but in cash I got

Harvick/JJ/Byron/Kurt/Cole/Poole for cash on DK

and

Stenhouse/Harvick/JJ/Bowman/Jones on FD

Stenhouse on FD not too worried about since everyone has him due to being so cheap.

Also penalty for Truex and LaJoie. Both to the back due to inspection failure which they mentiond after lock. So nice for our Truex bets.
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Old 05-20-2020, 06:36 PM   #158
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

btw if you do h2h, the lineups i'm seeing in the last week are ridiculous

$500 h2h guy has

Hamlin, Logano, JJ, Reddick, Kenseth, Preece

and a couple others jammed in Logano and Bowyer. Only 6 of my $500 filled and 4 people have preece lol
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Old 05-20-2020, 06:43 PM   #159
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Looks like we agreed on Truex/Kenseth/Jones ownership plays. I have a bit of Bell who you faded and didn't play Suarez. Hopefully they're able to race tonight
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Old 05-20-2020, 08:15 PM   #160
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

lol went way over on nemechek and he crashes on the first lap

hamlins car is broken

business as usual

bowyers super fast to start
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Old 05-20-2020, 08:24 PM   #161
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
lol went way over on nemechek and he crashes on the first lap

hamlins car is broken

business as usual

bowyers super fast to start
Brutal.... Nemechek crashes and I am like

Standard NASCAR obv. Bowyers looking like the GOAT.
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Old 05-20-2020, 08:46 PM   #162
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

so much for the best pit stall for harvick jesus
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Old 05-20-2020, 08:54 PM   #163
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

RIP Preece?
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Old 05-20-2020, 08:57 PM   #164
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

beuscher might have saved preece, he could stay on the lead lap. if he goes a lap down tho then yea. maybe i'll actually win something against the people who started him because i'm losing everything else
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Old 05-20-2020, 09:06 PM   #165
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

yes stenhouse

RIP 45% of field
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Old 05-20-2020, 09:17 PM   #166
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

LOL where did Harvick come from... that was extremely random
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Old 05-20-2020, 09:23 PM   #167
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

was just starting to crush and custer died
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Old 05-20-2020, 09:35 PM   #168
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

rain starting

so close to first. only would split w/one person. pre pit so it's legit.



hope they go a couple more and poole gets a good start

need wallace and lajoie to have bad starts. and maybe elliot.
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Old 05-20-2020, 09:40 PM   #169
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

The in-car interview in the middle of the race. NASCAR is truly the GOAT.
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Old 05-20-2020, 10:10 PM   #170
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

this is amazing

keselowski stayed out

kenseth cautioned

now there's only 4 cars on the lead lap and one is poole. shoving him into cash was brilliant meta move

gonna cash this kese to win bet lol
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Old 05-20-2020, 10:30 PM   #171
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

lol kyle busch intentionally wrecked chase elliot because he tried to pass him
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Old 05-20-2020, 10:40 PM   #172
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
lol kyle busch intentionally wrecked chase elliot because he tried to pass him
Truly a legend, they don't want to say it. Welcome to the show rookie.
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Old 05-20-2020, 10:41 PM   #173
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

its over early, hamlin wins

sucks only 20 laps to go and had 3rd/4th with 2nd having major damage
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Old 05-20-2020, 10:53 PM   #174
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

womp womp

Kyle > Truex -115 WIN +1
Kese > Kyle +115 LOSS -1
Kyle > Bowman -110 WIN +1
Harvick > Truex -120 WIN +1
Harvick > Hamlin -115 LOSS -1.15
Harvick > Bowman -120 WIN +1
Kese > Truex +115 WIN +1.15
Kese > Bowman +100 WIN +1
Logano > Elliot +105 WIN +1
Elliot > Jimmie -115 LOSS -1.15
Logano > Jimmie -115 WIN +1
Logano > Kurt -115 WIN +1
Logano > Erik Jones +100 LOSS -1
Erik Jones > Jimmie -115 WIN +1
Erik > Byron -115 WIN +1
Kurt Busch > Byron -115 LOSS -1.15
Cole Custer > Bell -115 LOSS -1.15
11-6 +4.55u

To Win:
Harvick +450 LOSS -1
Keselowski +1150 LOSS -1
Kevin Harvick +215 vs. Kyle Busch, Hamlin, Truex Jr LOSS -1
Brad Keselowski +325 vs. Bowman, Kurt Bush, Elliott WIN +3.25
Clint Bowyer +305 vs. Almirola, Dibenedetto, Reddick LOSS -1
A ford Wins Toyota 500 +175 LOSS -1
Harvick to Win +550 LOSS -1
Matt Kenseth Top 5 +450 LOSS -1
Winning car number is even -225 LOSS -2.25 (7 of top 8 were even)
1-8 -6u


and lost like 2K on DK because of the rain, won ~$1400 on FD. Poole's car broke and he lost 30 points which put me out of almost everything except high stakes h2h's

elliot getting dumped killed all tournaments. fun stuff
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Old 05-20-2020, 11:02 PM   #175
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Yeah, I was on the ford to win, harvick to win and keselowski to win. pretty annoying end to the race with the rainout.. nascar is one of the most tilting sports ive watched to lose in
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