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Nascar 2020 Season Nascar 2020 Season

07-18-2020 , 10:56 PM
I lost in trucks DFS again, everyone crashed. Should've just skipped like I was planning to
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07-19-2020 , 09:22 AM
Kyle/Eckes was the key combo since they're the only two who did anything.

Looking over past data I'm worried about Nemechek and McDowell. This should be a hot race with a slick surface like Atlanta and Kentucky. Both races he spun out (Kentucky twice!) and didn't place high. McDowell a similar story.

I think I'd rather pay for A Dill at 6.9k and LaJoie at 6.1k. Brennan Poole looks interesting too. Have him projected for 22 points which isn't a lot, but 4.9k can allow me to fit in both chase and truex
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07-19-2020 , 12:22 PM
Yea, I needed to play Eckes to do anything in Trucks. Whenever I play him he crashes though (guess I can say that about any non-KB truck driver).

Interesting note, I had McDowell and JHN in my first lineup with Harvick. Lajoie looks pretty good to me. Not sure about Poole, he's cheap but even removing the crashes his AP and AF don't look good. Outside of Daytona his highest finish is 24th, then 27th twice, and he needs 27th to hit a 22pt target.
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07-19-2020 , 12:45 PM
Chase to the back. Always someone every week. I dunno if it effects him much since he wasn't expected to dominate.

I think we're going to see weird pit strategy from Harvick again and he takes over in stage 3.

Right now trying to decide between

Harvick, Blaney, Byron, Reddick, A. Dillon, McDowell

or

swapping Byron/Mcdowell for JJ/LaJoie

This team hinges a lot on Blaney getting the lead early, leading most of stage 1, and then Harvick taking over mid-Stage 2 or early Stage 3. I always like LaJoie but I'm thinking Byron/McDowell is the safer bet. If there were expected to be crashes then I'd look at LaJoie.
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07-19-2020 , 12:53 PM
since the chart was so close on everything, here is what I bet

Kurt Busch > JJ -130 [-144]
Kurt Busch > Aric +118 [-117]
Logano > Keselowski -120 [-129]
Logano > Truex +100 [-114]
Blaney > Truex -120 [-146]
Kyle Busch > Hamlin -110 [-122]
Kyle > Chase Elliot -105 [-113]
Harvick > Hamlin -160 [-229]

Harvick win +400 [+291]
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07-19-2020 , 01:37 PM
Not gonna overreact to the Chase news like I usually do. Lot of time to move up, wasn't going to lead to begin with, and still should get a good share of fast laps. Gonna have a lot of tourney lineups with one of him or Truex
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07-19-2020 , 01:41 PM
You should more worry about his bad experiences in really hot and slick tracks instead of going to the back. Also he's lost the 2nd most spots on pit road this year. 1st? Joseph Logano

That's why he always looks good but never wins. Fighting against an inept crew
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07-19-2020 , 02:00 PM
lol. BetRivers has Harvick>Hamlin -143. Nice.
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07-19-2020 , 02:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by erroneous
lol. BetRivers has Harvick>Hamlin -143. Nice.
If your state has DraftKings (the sportsbook), BetRivers just clones DK with lower limits and a worse interface.
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07-19-2020 , 02:44 PM
fwiw Harvick is now -205 over Hamlin

Maybe that's why they limit you to $50 bets after 3 bets.

I know sportsbooks can do whatever they want but how is that not getting around problem gambling rules. By encouraging losers to bet more than others isn't that specifically targeting a group who can be identified as problem gamblers?
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07-19-2020 , 02:53 PM
You might be on to something there. They recently started advertising on the side of a homeless encampment in Denver. Took a pic the other day:



Maybe it’s time for the first Crowdsourced Syndicate Class Action.
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07-19-2020 , 03:03 PM
wow, modern day Bet On Sports

i'm rolling with Harvick/Blaney/JJ/Reddick/Dillon/LaJoie

outside of daytona LaJoie has ruined me every time I played him and things have been going too good recently so lets mix it up.
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07-19-2020 , 03:17 PM


how is aric having no brakes gonna screw us
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07-19-2020 , 03:19 PM
aric on pit road

obviously we knew this and thats why we faded him 100%
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07-19-2020 , 03:24 PM
Knew JHN and McDowell would be chalk but surprised about Bell being in the massive dupe train. Also has Aric + Blaney + Harvick which should be negatively correlated.
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07-19-2020 , 03:38 PM
lol JJ pit penalty of course
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07-19-2020 , 03:50 PM
idiots who pitted are going nowhere

can they hire us as nascar strategy consultants
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07-19-2020 , 03:59 PM
harvick blend violation

literally 0 blend violations all season

and our guys get them in back to back days
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07-19-2020 , 04:00 PM
and truex out of gas lol

2020 nascar is amazing
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07-19-2020 , 04:20 PM
crushing at the end of stage 1. please hold and have nemechek spin out so lajoie outscores him

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07-19-2020 , 04:31 PM
of course JJ drives into the wall when he has the fastest speed all day
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07-19-2020 , 04:37 PM
and now a 2 lap penalty for too many men over the wall

jesus christ
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07-19-2020 , 05:34 PM
well we haven't had a major wreck take out every value guy in a while

back to gambling season
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07-19-2020 , 05:37 PM
kyle tearing up that grass was pretty cool
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07-19-2020 , 06:05 PM
lol there's the JHN spin
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