Nascar 2020 Season - Page 39 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

why do i always lose on trucks? because this is who i am going with

Kyle/Eckes/Lessard/Poole/Fogleman/Cobb

i just withdrew from any h2h above $100. minimizing the damage

for GPP whats everyones strat. I think a lot of people will go the "fade KB for leverage" strat and focus on cindric/allg/gragson/briscoe and the i don't care if i chop 100 ways i'm a winner crowd will go KB with one of those guys.

I'm going meta them and fade cindric/allg/briscoe/gragson and focus on KB + mid guys strat

Quote

07-18-2020 , 01:58 PM

#952

critiakx2

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Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 349

My strategy is to not play trucks and treat NXS like a big multiplier rather than WTA. Playing KB and trying to find pivots elsewhere.

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07-18-2020 , 03:10 PM

#953

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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Quote:

Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley

xfin

herbst > alfredo
allgaier > chastain
h. burton > chastain
allgaier > h. burton
brandon jones > haley

herbst crashes on the 2nd lap because someone pushes him from behind lol

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07-18-2020 , 03:32 PM

#954

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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wow allgaier almost dumped cindric. no idea how he saved that

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07-18-2020 , 03:42 PM

#955

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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KYLE BUSCH SPEEDING PIT ROAD

JUST AS HE TAKES FIRST

LOL

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07-18-2020 , 03:48 PM

#956

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kyle weatherman done.

gonan get so much leverage by fading him and bean

Earnhardt too! Dodging bullets today outside of herbst h2h. no dfs for him

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07-18-2020 , 04:00 PM

#957

critiakx2

journeyman

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 349

Cash looking decent, have some h2hs that are just McLeod vs. Starr so losing by a couple place diff pts there. Had Herbst in one gpp lineup that was only duped twice, oh well.

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07-18-2020 , 04:20 PM

#958

critiakx2

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Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 349

BJ Mcleod is the worst. Probably gonna lose to Weatherman lineups now too with how he's dropping

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07-18-2020 , 04:26 PM

#959

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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beating the 2 chalk lineups

Kyle/Cindric/Sieg/Howard/Weather/Starr seems the more popular one

Kyle.Cindric/Sieg/Howard/Little/McLeod the other

I swapped Sieg for Josh Williams.

Just need McLeod and Williams to hold on

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07-18-2020 , 04:47 PM

#960

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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sieg done looks like

running so hot today

if i went starr over BJ I'd have #1 in almost all the SE. starr hasn't pitted for a while so c'mon BJ

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07-18-2020 , 05:06 PM

#961

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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allgaier pass thru penalty

how can you predict these things

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07-18-2020 , 05:29 PM

#962

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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Quote:

Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley

I don't see value in fading KB here. It's a track he dominates at vs. worse competition. None of these xfin drivers this year are good. Cindric/Briscoe/Gragson don't compare to Bell/Reddick/Custer of the last couple of years.

i took these

herbst > alfredo LOSS -1.15
allgaier > chastain WIN +1
h. burton > chastain WIN +1
allgaier > h. burton WIN +1
brandon jones > haley WIN +1

all -115

KB easy win. 4-1 +2.85u only loss was herbst crash even after the allgaier penalty. Alfredo finished 10 laps down. What could have been

might have crushed DK? scoring froze. i know i beat the two super chalk lines so definitely ending up

unfrozen mini crush

in for ~3k out for ~5.2k. min cashing all the SE and won almost every double up. lost a big h2h tho

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07-18-2020 , 05:39 PM

#963

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damn if i went starr > bj would have gotten 2nd in every single entry and 14th in the spotter. about a 3k swing

at least i can cover all the trucks losses

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07-18-2020 , 05:48 PM

#964

critiakx2

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Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 349

Yea ended up winning pretty much everywhere except for the starr 1v1, Sieg fade was the key to winning today (Weatherman too). Was winning everything when BJ > Starr but sadly couldn't hold.

Assuming the projection was close we got leverage since the Starr line was more popular, but BJ Mcleod & his team in general have been fades so maybe Starr was the better play.

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07-18-2020 , 05:53 PM

#965

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Starr got a little lucky by his pitting/caution cycle. Then he decided to just stay out there at the end when everyone was laps down due to green flag pitting.

Same situations screwed Williams as he pitted pre caution and ended up 4 laps down and couldn't get off it.

Earnhardt was a big benefit of not pitting too and was chalky.

This trucks slate looks sad. 0% of my h2h's are taken. GPPs only half full. This is probably the end for big trucks tournaments with baseball starting up.

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07-18-2020 , 06:27 PM

#966

critiakx2

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Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 349

Maybe I'll have to play Trucks if it's the last slate before it dies. Still going with Jennifer Jo Cobb? Not sure who's gonna be owned but probably just want to go with fades in tournaments since there's usually a lot of crashes for trucks here

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07-18-2020 , 06:36 PM

#967

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not sure. might just close my eyes and click on names

I'm thinking about going back to the OG line of

Gray/Fogle/Kraus/Poole/Enfinger/Kyle

I really like Enfinger here but I'm just worried about the negative correlation with Kyle

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07-18-2020 , 06:41 PM

#968

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lol KB DQ'd off his xfinity win. failed post race inspection

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07-18-2020 , 06:44 PM

#969

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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wow i was looking at cup and blaney has been in the optimal for 7 of the last 10 races

and we played him 8 times. 7 of those he was optimal (once he crashed)

no wonder we been crushing cash in the last couple months

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07-18-2020 , 06:49 PM

#970

critiakx2

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Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 349

Pretty sure post-race inspection DQs don't impact DK scoring, same thing happened earlier this year. Plus they already paid out

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07-18-2020 , 07:33 PM

#971

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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yea DK is fine. Sportsbooks depends on their rules

Good for xfin I guess since Kyle said he's retiring at 100 wins. So now he gets another race. Back down to 97 or however he had.

since this might be the end of trucks i entered the 1k single entry with

Kyle/Eckes/Gray/Poole/Self/Cobb

gonna go for the early end to the night

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07-18-2020 , 08:48 PM

#972

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and tanner gray to the garage

i was looking for one overowned guy to fade and almost did him.

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07-18-2020 , 08:54 PM

#973

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lol goodnight

bye xfin profits

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07-18-2020 , 09:29 PM

#974

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brennan poole too

every

single

person

we draft in trucks this happens to

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07-18-2020 , 10:13 PM

#975

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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Quote:

Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley

so i made bets anyway

Hill +900
Eckes +1400
Enfinger +3000

Eckes > Chastain WIN +1
Moffitt > Haley WIN +1
Zane > Haley LOSS -1.15 (CRASH)
Gililand > Rhodes LOSS -1.15 (GILILAND CRASHED BY RHODES)
Crafton > Ankrum Win +1
Friesen > Gray Win +1 (crash went our way)

all -115

Zane > Haley biggest edge

4-2 +1.7u!

eckes almost won too

made money in dFS with 3 upside down due to eckes. If I played what I thought was the "chalk" which really wasn't that chalky would have super crushed.

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