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Old 06-27-2020, 06:14 PM   #626
DefNotRsigley
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

welp erik jones of course

at least he's super owned. erik jones chalk again tomorrow
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Old 06-27-2020, 06:36 PM   #627
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

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I think Almirola and Erik Jones are good long shots. I wouldn't put much on them. I took Jones at 17/1 and Almirola at 66/1
44 laps to go. Lets get this Almirola. Harvick in 2nd.
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Old 06-27-2020, 06:41 PM   #628
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

This race is today?! WTF, I thought cup races were on Sunday.
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Old 06-27-2020, 06:42 PM   #629
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Two cup races this weekend.

Was supposed to be Trucks/Cup today and XFin/Cup tomorrow. Now it's Cup today, Trucks/Xfin/Cup tomorrow
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Old 06-27-2020, 06:44 PM   #630
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Almirola's pit crew really ruined it there. Harvick's crew crushed it.
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Old 06-27-2020, 06:54 PM   #631
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Harvicks in a perfect spot to win. Everyone in front of him needs to pit and he will be fine to get to the end if it doesn't rain.
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Old 06-27-2020, 07:16 PM   #632
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

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.
1) Harvick
2) Hamlin

easy game guys

Of course I did the stupidest thing ever and over wrote my cash lineup with my single entry lineup (swapping Chase for Harvick) by accident when i decided to make my single entry lineup different than my cash with 2 minutes until lock, so we only made $118.25 instead of crushing. what a life.

Last edited by DefNotRsigley; 06-27-2020 at 07:26 PM.
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Old 06-27-2020, 07:34 PM   #633
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Pretty solid day with that Harvick performance, only played 20 lineups but had all of the optimal guys in the core I played (18 unique drivers for 20 lineups). Top one got 100th in the main $12 with 5/6 optimal but played Ty Dillon > Aric in that lineup. Just needed to trust the 2 dom build more or enter more lineups I guess.
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Old 06-27-2020, 08:27 PM   #634
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

xfin bets

To Win:
Gragson +550
Chastain +800

Chastain > Burton -115
Gragson > Cindric +100
Gragson > Briscoe +150
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Old 06-27-2020, 10:21 PM   #635
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Pocono race #2 rankings



DFS lineups might be all place differential guys.
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Old 06-27-2020, 11:05 PM   #636
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

I was just looking over my Nascar results for today and in Bookmaker H2H the rankings went

10-3 +7.2u

lets keep it up tomorrow. believe in the rankings
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Old 06-27-2020, 11:15 PM   #637
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Inversion with preset salaries doesn't seem great for DFS. First pass was Harvick/Logano/Erik/Aric/JJ/JHN. Not really sure about JHN or JJ for cash & pretty sure I want to play Reddick.

All of the top-end guys grade out well from the inversion so a lot of places to pivot for tournaments if ownership is going to concentrate somewhere.
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Old 06-28-2020, 12:48 AM   #638
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

You should see the top guys do much better tomorrow. They have all the data from their cars today and probably have guys running the analytics all night. Keselowski was pretty slow today (10th in green flag speed), but his guys will figure it out.

Chase Elliot was slow (19th) but he had transmission issues all day.

I really think Kyle Busch (finally) gets it done tomorrow. Harvicks pit team worries me a little for KB. Harvick wasn't the fastest car out there today but his pit crew is amazing and won him that race. Once there were 50 laps left and he was in 8th and everyone in front of him had to pit it was locked up.

Keselowski posted a video where you can see the type of data they're working with

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Old 06-28-2020, 12:54 AM   #639
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Kyle Busch opened at +350, I wouldn't bet that.

I'll take some Keselowski +1350 and Blaney +1550 and Kurt Busch +4400
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Old 06-28-2020, 09:43 AM   #640
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Any thoughts on the backup car guys? Not really sure how to adjust for it and there's a lot. Logano/Bowman/Jones/Chase most relevant and going to the back doesn't matter for Logano/Jones. Preece to the back maybe makes Kurt a good play for initial laps led?
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Old 06-28-2020, 09:53 AM   #641
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

I think Logano is a lock and Jones. Rest I wouldn't play.

Crafton gets hit in turn 1 of lap 1 and is out of the race. Nothing like losing 3 head to heads and a guy you put 100% in every lineup after ten seconds.
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Old 06-28-2020, 10:15 AM   #642
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

now Majeski is out. I hate trucks so much
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Old 06-28-2020, 10:21 AM   #643
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

It looks like more people are going to the back now too so Kurt could be really good for tournaments. Blaney too.

Blaney is going to the top 5 now because of Byron and Ryan Preece and is a fast car. I was already going to use him and possibly Kurt in SE, think going with both now.
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Old 06-28-2020, 10:45 AM   #644
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

possible help for us with poole into the wall and flat tire. tons of damage

every h2h and 50/50 is filled with

Chastain/Crafton/Majeski/Kligerman/Poole/Anderson

I went

Chastain/Crafton/Majeski/Kligerman/Eckes/Fogleman

We correctly predicted the chalk at least!
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Old 06-28-2020, 10:58 AM   #645
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

and Eckes gets in an accident on pit road

ban trucks

lol now fogleman accident on the restart

Last edited by DefNotRsigley; 06-28-2020 at 11:04 AM.
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Old 06-28-2020, 11:21 AM   #646
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

eckes was in the lead all by himself and blew his right rear tire with the freshest tires on the track

rip every dfs h2h, was up like 7k

rip solo 1st in the $10

rip eckes 13/1 to win for $1k

rip every eckes, ross chastain, and crafton h2h

never betting trucks again
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Old 06-28-2020, 12:15 PM   #647
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Played both your line and the chalk. Chalk lost to rake and was crushing all the rest before, Trucks are the worst
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Old 06-28-2020, 12:44 PM   #648
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Faded Herbst and Brown for the $10 in NXS (pretty low volume though), but played the other 4 and was only duped one other time. So if you see a prop for Briscoe/Gragson/Hemric/Graf to crash it's a mortal lock.
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Old 06-28-2020, 12:50 PM   #649
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

looks like xfin gonna be a **** show like trucks. brandon jones gone after the 1st lap.

lot of cash are cindric/little vs. hemric/graf. i went hemric/graf
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Old 06-28-2020, 12:55 PM   #650
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

and joe graf jr crashes on the restart

how does this happen to us every single time
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