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Old 06-22-2020, 08:11 PM   #601
DefNotRsigley
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

what a disaster. big accident happens at the end too but since it was checkered they just end it
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Old 06-22-2020, 08:34 PM   #602
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Stupid Gase. Not much difference between him and Smithley at least. On to Pocono. Two opportunities to lose money. Nice.
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Old 06-22-2020, 08:37 PM   #603
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Results aside that was a fun race to watch. I had even car # (-180) which cashed and Bowman (+1800) which was a good sweat.
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Old 06-22-2020, 09:58 PM   #604
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Fun end, but really could've used that accident to happen a little sooner. Even lost a $500 H2H where opponent played Chase, at least he didn't take my invite for the second slate I guess.

Pocono doubleheader and another shot to lose at a 40% to first golf milly maker this week though.
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Old 06-22-2020, 10:07 PM   #605
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Quote:
Originally Posted by critiakx2 View Post
Fun end, but really could've used that accident to happen a little sooner. Even lost a $500 H2H where opponent played Chase, at least he didn't take my invite for the second slate I guess.

Pocono doubleheader and another shot to lose at a 40% to first golf milly maker this week though.
You have the heart of a champion and you arenít a variance bunny. Important in the DFS game.
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Old 06-22-2020, 10:21 PM   #606
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Quote:
Originally Posted by CodythePATRIOT View Post
You have the heart of a champion and you arenít a variance bunny. Important in the DFS game.
Yea the variance in those big GPPs is insane so you have to be comfortable with losing most days and occasionally getting a big score. Multiple sports, sites and a lot of cash volume (usually) helps. The H2H is more annoying to me since I'd been crushing the guy, he had a bad lineup, and my secondary cash lineup would've beat him.
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Old 06-25-2020, 07:05 PM   #607
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

these draws are the worst

i was hoping jones wouldn't be the chalk so of course he gets a horrible starting position so now he will be

same with christopher bell
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Old 06-26-2020, 01:15 AM   #608
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

DK priced Bell highest at $11.1k, wow. Looks like Toyota's have really crushed here the last few years for some reason. Kyle and Jones especially but not sure we if we can trust Kyle's car yet. Only 130 laps so far fewer dominator pts to go around.

They also released early pricing for Sunday, guessing they're going to another annoying start grid inversion?
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Old 06-26-2020, 10:42 PM   #609
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season



Pocono race 1 rankings.

Value plays: Jones, Suarez, Preece
Mid play: Byron, Bowyer
Dom: Harvick

Not a lot of laps, so 1-2 doms max.

Gonna be interesting when the comp caution happens (if at all). Stage 1 ends at lap 25. If they don't do a comp caution Almirola could be good. If the comp caution is like 10 or 15 then he will lose if people pit. More of a tournament play.

AD has been running real good. Could crush if he ends up in top 10.

Pocono track: Long flat - Indianapolis, Pocono. Element of randomness due to pit strategies. Fuel mileage matters and people can pit while green and not lose a lap.

Flat Tracks - Braking is more important. Hard to pass, only one line in the corner to pass.

Top 5 driver ratings last 5 races here:
1) Kyle Busch 131.4
2) Harvick 119.6
3) Hamlin 107.3
4) Truex 103.6
5) Jones 101.8 (which makes his price so bad)

Bowyer close too at 99.4.

Dont waste salary on the cheap guys. They don't do good here.

Last edited by DefNotRsigley; 06-26-2020 at 10:53 PM.
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Old 06-26-2020, 10:54 PM   #610
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

BTW this is an interesting race track. It's a triangle. There's three long straight stretches and weird corners on each. You want to focus on re-start speed and pit since its hard to pass.
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Old 06-26-2020, 11:37 PM   #611
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

here's the restart speeds for trucks and cup



cup:



last year Ross Chastain led the entire race. Him and Parker Kilgermann should be locks for cash. Parker is starting last and has a decent truck, so he will pass all the nobodies in the race like Jesse Igwiw, Dauzat, etc.

Crafton has always finished in the top 10 here, so he should be good too.

Ty Majeski looks good too.

I dunno about Austin Hill. His car broke down here last year. The car had a lot of issues last year but has been ok this year. The car has been fast this year too. So they might have fixed whatever was wrong.

Sauter has a chance to lead a lot early on, but I like Moffitt more.

Brandon Jones is in a Kyle Busch truck. His pit crew worries me. Kyle Busch trucks have been strong here. Eckes is also in one. He's cheap and don't need the laps led from him. He got track position too.

They only run 60 laps here, so not a lot of dom points. Especially with all the cautions and re-starts.

Think I'm going to fade Moffitt.

Bets:
Chastain > Hill -115
Chastain > Moffit -115

Purdy is an interesting one. He's done good here in ARCA and he's in Chase Elliot's truck. Good tournament play IMO.
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Old 06-27-2020, 12:03 AM   #612
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

one more

Auto Racing - NASCAR - Christian Eckes vs. Brandon Jones - Christian Eckes -115

Lets get these $250 truck losers
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Old 06-27-2020, 12:41 AM   #613
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

I just took Harvick to win Driver's Championship (+500) max bet. Let's go.
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Old 06-27-2020, 12:47 AM   #614
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

gonna be waiting for a while

drivers championship doesn't settle until november. i have him some +650 from earlier in the year.

I also took Harvick +630 to win Pocono Organics 325
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Old 06-27-2020, 12:51 AM   #615
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Nice. NASCAR GOAT. Should be a good race, I’ve been crushing these h2hs from your projections. DFS- still learning.
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Old 06-27-2020, 02:32 AM   #616
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

a bunch of the pocono organics 325 guys are 1k:1, assuming that's still a bad line?
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Old 06-27-2020, 08:17 AM   #617
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

I think Almirola and Erik Jones are good long shots. I wouldn't put much on them. I took Jones at 17/1 and Almirola at 66/1

Chase elliott is in that close to 1k range. I got a little of him at 9/1

Trucks I took Eckes at 8/1
Crafton +125 over Enfinger
Crafton +100 over Gilliand
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Old 06-27-2020, 10:21 AM   #618
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Just now looking at DK trucks. Brennan Poole and Tanner Gray decent options from back/mid for the price range? Not sure if I want to play one of Eckes/Sauter or just go all guys from back/mid
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Old 06-27-2020, 10:45 AM   #619
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Leaning towards Chastain/Crafton/Eckes/Majeski/Kligerman/TylerHill now for trucks. Don't know if how much I want to trust Tyler Hill though.
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Old 06-27-2020, 10:47 AM   #620
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Anderson might be good from the back. The only thing he lacks is track history. Good truck. Decent results in a small sample. I think I'm going Ty over him tho.

Spencer Boyd could be another good back guy.

OUtside of Daytona and one of the KB chalk weeks I've lost on every trucks race this year, so maybe fade everything. Crushed xfinity, ok on cup, -5k or so on trucks.
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Old 06-27-2020, 11:35 AM   #621
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

I went

Ross/Crafton/Eckes/Majeski/Kilgerman/Fogleman

Eckes is kind of a higher variance play. I think a lot of people will be running

Ross/Crafton/Kligerman/Ty/Jordan Anderson/Poole

I'm thinking there's not going to be a lot of passing and Eckes will stay up in the top 5.
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Old 06-27-2020, 11:41 AM   #622
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

This is pretty free, right? I'm ready to dump and get owned.

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Old 06-27-2020, 11:43 AM   #623
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

should be ok, but now he will probably lead every single lap

wouldn't be nascar without rain. trucks delayed until tomorrow morning

usually it isn't this bad, but rescheduling everything on the east coast in the summer ruined it
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Old 06-27-2020, 12:09 PM   #624
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Wow, reschedule makes for 3 races tomorrow if weather permits. Think additional rubber/tire on the track makes for more crashes in the cup race sunday?
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Old 06-27-2020, 03:56 PM   #625
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Went with more concentrated exposures and less randomness on this run. Questioning 60% Buescher but feel good about the rest of the stands.
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