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Old 06-06-2020, 04:58 PM   #426
DefNotRsigley
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

lol why would cindric pit there. he was dusting everyone and only the cars who had issues and needed adjustments pitted
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Old 06-06-2020, 05:09 PM   #427
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Cindric tourching.
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Old 06-06-2020, 05:14 PM   #428
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

of the first 40 laps he's had 27 fastest laps

crazy he was +750
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Old 06-06-2020, 05:19 PM   #429
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Today is an exciting day between this and UFC. Plus the Cup race tomorrow.
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Old 06-06-2020, 05:27 PM   #430
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

hill on pit road, gg
alfredo a lap down because of throttle issues
snider crushing of course
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Old 06-06-2020, 05:29 PM   #431
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

and hill to the garage. game over
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Old 06-06-2020, 05:41 PM   #432
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Herbst with the crash to boot.
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Old 06-06-2020, 06:06 PM   #433
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

cindric has no tires left

everyone else has one set
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Old 06-06-2020, 06:21 PM   #434
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
cindric has no tires left

everyone else has one set
He should be ok if it stays green. Should be a good finish.
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Old 06-06-2020, 06:23 PM   #435
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

and caution. cindric done with those tires.

allgaier please
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Old 06-06-2020, 06:23 PM   #436
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Quote:
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He should be ok if it stays green. Should be a good finish.
Snap caution right after I type this obv.
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Old 06-06-2020, 06:26 PM   #437
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

lol briscoe, cindric, and allgaier too fast on pit road

to the back for the top 3
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Old 06-07-2020, 11:56 AM   #438
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Yesterday was rough but we have no quit. Never been looking more forward to a race in my life. O 5.5 cautions up to -300, got it at -200. Crushing lines. We are due for a big race. Let’s get it.
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Old 06-07-2020, 12:48 PM   #439
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

trucks was bad but xfinity was so much worse

I also like JJ to win at +1300. he won texas which is a similar track 5x in a row before they paved it (so it isn't as high tire wear as before) and he's had good success at ATL.

playing the probably often duplicated cash line of

harvick/elliott/truex/bell/custer/mcdowell

think a lot of people are gonna go jones over bell. have them about the same but bell has a higher floor

tournaments going big on JJ


i wonder if they'll count the competition caution as one in that bet. if yes then it's really o4.5
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Old 06-07-2020, 01:13 PM   #440
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Kurt Busch to the rear and has to do a pass through. Makes sense. Had everything done, was about to grab some brunch out at the newly reopened casinos and now need to re-do everything
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Old 06-07-2020, 01:19 PM   #441
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Was thinking JJ or Logano would be good tournament targets, seems like all the good plays are going to be high owned this week.

For Bell > Jones I think Bell needs a net 7 place diff vs. Jones in order to outscore in raw pts. Does that happen >50% for cash? Also have Keselowski as a top pt/$ play but not sure about his floor for cash since a decent amount of his projection is coming from fast/led laps which goes against Chase and Harvick.
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Old 06-07-2020, 01:42 PM   #442
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

i have a lot of jj/logano and jj/log/chase in the 150
keselowski has been great here too. lot of him in tournament but dunno about cash

one thing worrisome about chase is he's had kinda blah results at high tire wear tracks. he did get top 3 at chicago twice as a rookie and this is 2020 speedy chase, etc. Comp caution is at lap 25, so he could lose the lead then. He's killed it in the pits this year so might not be a problem?

i'm going to try to go under on jones in general. probably gonna go bust but need to do it with someone and he seemed like the best. it's just hard since he's so cheap and fits nicely in spots.

also on these high tire wear tracks restart speed is important. here's the 2020 restart speed rankings



i was ~40% kurt but i made it down to 20 or so. I think he'll get back on the lead lap and get a bunch of fastest laps. Only problem might be if people go laps down early on.
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Old 06-07-2020, 03:07 PM   #443
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Looks like there will be a small overlay in the FD $555. The $4 won't fill but should be close to no-rake. Don't like the scoring structure over there though
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Old 06-07-2020, 03:10 PM   #444
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

yea i only got lucky once on FD and won the thing. rest has been get 10th but get paid $10because their pricing is so bad. i just do cash there, win a lot, but lose rake on so many because of dup lineups.

I made a leverage chart, kinda hard to read some of the names (near reddick is Logano and Blaney right on top of each other)

probably late for today. i used a couple other peoples projections for ownership because i don't know how to do that and mine for points



below the line is leverage, so JJ, Logano looks good. No KB or Hamlin, but I guess can't take everyone.
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Old 06-07-2020, 03:49 PM   #445
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

looks like we cursed chase

horrible pit stop and now he's so behind lol

Logano in 1st tho. Lets get it
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Old 06-07-2020, 04:15 PM   #446
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

Keselowski to the back, why no cautions yet....
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Old 06-07-2020, 04:46 PM   #447
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

welp kenseth hit logano on pit road and bell involved too.

can't make this up folks
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Old 06-07-2020, 05:49 PM   #448
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

yes throttle issue for jones and a flat.

our fade works and something good happens to us for the first time ever
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Old 06-07-2020, 07:03 PM   #449
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

was leading the 150k front row for a couple laps when bowyer went down until dibenedetto went down

usual

crushed in h2h betting. harvick win will salvage a little.



nice roi here. hope you got the same lineup I posted above (truex/chase/harvick/custer/bell/mcdowell) - it crushed
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Old 06-07-2020, 07:09 PM   #450
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Re: Nascar 2020 Season

No I was heavy on Logano and Elliot which sunk me a bit. Nice wins though.
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